Greeting Section 3A Followers,
Well I am guessing seeds will come out sometime this week. Playoffs only a week a way! Should be fun to see what happens. I really believe that any of the top 6 teams can win this section!
Seeds are determined by the Coaches:
Here are my thoughts if I was a betting man….
Which I am not this year….
I think 7-9 seeds should be pretty simple:
9 seeds Fairmont (2-16-1)- Only 2 wins this year were swept by Worthington and spilt with Redwood Valley. Bright spot Colton Cunning kid has been steady in the nets sees close to 40 to 50 shots a nights only a sophomore something to build on Fairmont.
8 seed Worthington (2-15-0)- Swept Fairmont but got swept by Redwood Valley. Losing to Redwood last week cost the Trojans the 7 seed. This is a senior heavy team I thought for sure they would be better then they were this year. However, Rylan in the nets can get very hot the Trojans in this years down 3A could pull off a cinderalla upset.
7 seed Redwood Valley- (3-11-0)- Beating Worthington in OT last week sewed up the 7 spot for Redwood. Has been a tough year for Redwood very short on numbers and game only playing around 16 game schedule this year….. OUCH not good for their program.
Reason Why Seeds 7-9 are Easy:
Everyone of these 3 teams plays each other and going by head to head match ups it makes things simple... Where as you will see as we move forward the problem in this Section is that we lack those head to head match ups in some key seed debates
Seeds 6 and 5 get tricky:
6 seed Hutchinson (5-17-0)- Coaches vote and the majority of the teams voting have played Windom and not Hutch. Also, very tough put a team with a (5-17-0) any higher then 6. Last year LDC was (5-20-0) and got the 6 seed. I think Hutch is still very dangerous they have a lot of talent on this team but have not put it together at all own a (1-4-0) Section 3A Record and are currently in the Basement of the Wright County. To me it screams 6 SEED……
5 seed Windom (12-9-0)- Winning 12 games possibly 13 if they take care of Redwood on Tuesday should give them a 5 seeds. They have a win over Marshall, which helps because Hutch lost to Marshall. They have a decent Section 3A Record (6-3-0), which is much better then Hutch. Could argue strength of schedule I suppose but still a 12 win team with better in Section Record I think justifies a 5 seeds here.
The Solution to this debate is Simple:
This one was Sticky to sort out here is an easy solution if Hutch doesn’t like this thought PUT WINDOM ON YOUR SCHEDULE! Same rant I will talk about later but its not like Hutch didn’t know Windom would be decent last year they played in the playoffs it was a 6-5 game. Hutch needs to play more section teams because playing and getting hammered by Wright County Teams night after night really proves nothing. Windom needs more games and better teams…Would make sense on both ends to play.
Seeds 3 and 4 get more tricky:
Seed 4 Marshall (11-9-1)- This one is tough they one good wins over Luverne & Hutch but also were beaten by Windom and beaten soundly by Luverne the 2nd meeting and swept by New Ulm. The deciding factor here is they lost to LDC head to head. Pros are they own a better Section 3A record (8-5-0) then LDC however, generally you look at head to head when teams are this close Litch wins the ending argument.
Seed 3 Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato (8-14-0)- Not a very good record but own wins over Redwood a split with Hutch and the big one here is they beat Marshall head to head. Negatives are they don’t play most of the Section they don’t play most of the section and own a below .500 record. There bad loss is Hutch where as Marshall’s is windom.
Tough call but Head to Head most likely Wins Out:
This one is such a Toss up Marshall has wins over Luverne and Hutch but LDC beat Marshall head to head….. I think it could either way. I just think in the end coaches look at head to head and give the Dragons the nod.
Then comes Seeds 1 and 2: More of a uncertainty
Seed 2 Luverne (20-3-1)- They have a very good overall record they have blown out most 3A teams they have played this year. However, the early December loss to Marshall stings. They have a better overall record then New Ulm by a lot. However New Ulm is unbeaten in the Section and but Marshall Twice Luverne did not… But looking at common opponents New Ulm Spilt with Dodge County and Luverne Swept Dodge County. But Dodge county is not 3A team and Marshall. Just some common opponents argument.
Seed 1 New Ulm (11-12-1) they are the 3 time defending section and own an undefeated Section 3A record. That is the good the bad is they are below .500 and they didn’t play Section 3A teams (Luverne, Windom, Redwood Valley & Worthington). Not playing those teams could hurt them in seeds. They do play a tough schedule though and are 3 time champs. The undefeated Section record is why I put them at #1 and being that they are number one till someone in this section knocks them no matter what they get seeded.
REALLY DON’T GET WHY NEW ULM AND LUEVERNE DON’T PLAY… would make this a lot easier. Not like New Ulm didn’t know Luverne would be good this year and not like Lueverne couldn’t use better opponents on their schedule. Makes since for both teams.
This is such a toss up here is why:
Section teams like (Windom, Redwood Valley, Worthington) have seen Luverne and been out scored 54 to 4 in those 6 games by Lueverne. The coaches vote do they vote a team they have seen twice and been thoroughly handled by #1 or a team like New Ulm who will not play them but claims to their undefeated Selective 3A Schedule argument.
I could honestly see it going either way…… Like I said last year easy way to fix this play everyone in your section at least once then this whole mess gets easier. Not sure if my thoughts matter to anyone and again it is the coaches in this Section opinions that will matter in the end.
Sincerely,
Your SW Source Of Hockey Knowledge
3AScout