Lakeviewing wrote:Nice breakdown, but there were a lot of breakdowns in some of the top ten teams this past week. Maybe the schedule is getting against the top teams or may be the lower teams are stepping up their play against the higher rated teams.karl(east) wrote:Well, that was certainly an eventful week, wasn't it? Trying to put these together turned into quite the headache after Upset Night in the NWSC. Suddenly the field of teams fighting for a state title appears to have grown, and though the team on top is inching away from the pack a bit, it's very difficult to sort everyone out.
1. Bloomington Jefferson
-Had their closest call of the season to date against Moorhead on Saturday, but came out on top. Though it shows how beatable they are, winning a game in OT against another good team is usually good for a team's confidence. They'll need it on Tuesday night.
This week: Tues at #2 Eden Prairie, Sat vs. Eastview
2. Eden Prairie
-Also had a close call on Saturday, blowing a 3-goal 3rd-period lead before winning in OT. Like Jefferson, they aren't winning with authority lately, but they're winning, and the competition in this poll isn't, for the most part. The showdown for #1 on Tuesday should be a great one.
This week: Tues vs. #1 Bloomington Jefferson, Thurs vs. Apple Valley
3. Duluth East
-The beneficiaries of the slaughter in the standings immediately above them. Sure, they're not playing very hard teams right now, but they are moving through their schedule with efficiency and leaving little room for doubt. The ugly losses are fading further into the rear-view mirror, and unlike many of the other top teams right now, there's no sense that they're getting beaten up physically or tired. Huge rivalry game Tuesday.
This week: Tues at Cloquet, Sat vs. Stillwater
4. Edina
-Suffered another loss that did not look good, but rebounded with a thorough dismantling of Wayzata. I'm giving them some benefit of the doubt, assuming that they've figured things out and are reverting to form. If that proves not to be the case, they'll fall a lot further next week.
This week: Thurs vs. Hopkins, Sat at Buffalo
5. Benilde-St. Maragaret's
-While the rest of the Metro gets caught up in the carnage, this team has very quietly and effectively gone about its business. Like East, they're doing it against weak teams, but they have won 7 in a row against MSHSL competiton and beaten the team immediately behind them in the rankings. Busy week ahead, with a big one on Saturday.
This week: Tues vs. St. Francis, Thurs vs. Totino-Grace, Sat at #10 Holy Angels
6. Minnetonka
-Followed up a huge win with a disappointing in-section loss that dulled the momentum a little bit. How they finish the season will be crucial for how they look going into the brutality of 6AA. The Wayzata game has major section-seeding implications.
This week: Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Armstrong, Sat at #14 Wayzata
7. Maple Grove(!)
-Welcome to the state scene, Maple Grove. A large, convincing win over Centennial was the stunner of the week and threw the NWSC and 5AA into an utter mess. They have a little time to rest on their laurels before the Blaine rematch next week. They're for real, and there's no doubting that now.
This week: Thurs at Andover, Sat at Osseo
8. Centennial
-Just when it seemed like the Cougars were about to peak, they've hit a wall and suddenly have very serious question marks about them. I might have dropped Blaine and Centennial a bit far, but the middle of these rankings are very tight, and in this case I felt I had to give precedence to recent events. A very busy week ahead with two absolutely huge NWSC games on the docket.
This week: Tues vs. North Metro, Thurs at #11 Elk River, Sat at #9 Blaine
9. Blaine
-A very poor weak for a team that also looked very good last time I was ranking them. Again, the importance of the Centennial game cannot be understated, even if the rankings have changed a bit.
This week: Thurs at North Metro, Sat vs. #8 Centennial
10. Holy Angels
-They keep on sliding backwards in these rankings through no fault of their own. I feel a bit bad about it, especially when applying the same logic used for East and Benilde, but their overall achievements don't match those two teams, I had to make room for Maple Grove, and I couldn't bring myself to drop any of the higher-ranked losers any further. They have a real chance to prove themselves this week, finally.
This week: Tues at Hutchinson, Sat vs. #5 Benilde-St. Margaret's
11. Elk River
-The Elks crashed the NWSC party with a huge win over Blaine, finally beating one of the tough teams they've gone up against this year. Duluth East should be paying attention to what this team is doing now that they've made a statement. If they can knock off Centennial too, look out.
This week: Tues at Osseo, Thurs vs. #8 Centennial, Sat at Coon Rapids
12. Moorhead
-Looking at the body of work, this is a bit of a stretch. But the Spuds have proven over the past 8 days that they can play with absolutely anyone, and that maybe 8AA won't be such a pushover after all. This week, they can focus on shoring up their standing in the section.
This week: Tues vs. Brainerd, Sat at St. Cloud Tech
13. Woodbury
-They're continuing to win, but not in a manner that suggests they should be taken seriously at a statewide level. A pair of crucial SEC games this week will give us a better idea of where they stand.
This week: Thurs vs. Cretin-Derham Hall, Sat vs. Roseville
14. Wayzata
-Have done worse against Edina every time they've played them, which is really not a good sign regarding the direction they're headed in the state's deepest section. The Minnetonka game Saturday will be huge for them.
This week: Tues at Buffalo (seriously, of all the games this week, FSN chose this one??!!), Sat vs. #6 Minnetonka
15. Hill-Murray
-It's practically a toss-up between the Pioneers and Hopkins for this spot. I'm giving it to Hill for their first really strong win since The Incident, as they beat STA. A major section game looms on Thursday.
This week: Thurs vs. Tartan, Sat at Richfield
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With 2 weeks to go in the regular season, I'll do the section-by-section thing again.
1AA
No ranked teams.
Mayo has taken the lead in the race for the 1 seed, but it's still a mess involving the Lakevilles, and Century and Owatonna are capable of causing problems too. Same old story, essentially.
2AA
1 Bloom. Jefferson
4 Edina
10 Holy Angels
The real thing to note here is Burnsville, which nearly beat EP on Saturday. They've really come together and are capable of upsetting Jefferson in the section semis if enough things go right. If I had to rank them, I'd give them #17. Just what this section needed, another good team to cause problems.
3AA
13 Woodbury
I'm really not impressed by what I'm seeing out of Woodbury lately. Cretin has quietly won 6 in a row and is crawling back into the picture, along with a capable Eagan team and maybe Apple Valley too. Big game this week between Woodbury and CDH.
4AA
15 Hill-Murray
Who would have guessed...the #1 seed in the section will probably be decided in this week's Hill-Tartan game. Stillwater is playing terribly but for some reason WBL can't beat them. WBL is injury-riddled but talented and probably falls in around #18. And Roseville is still hovering in the picture too. A mess, and the matchups that result from the seeding may be very significant in deciding who ends up at State.
5AA
7 Maple Grove
8 Centennial
9 Blaine
The numbers say it all here. 3 very good teams with shots at the section title. Should be an excellent race down the stretch, and getting the #1 seed is very significant.
6AA
2 Eden Prairie
5 Benilde
6 Minnetonka
14 Wayzata
(16) Hopkins
Loaded and confusing. I thought the top 3 were separating themselves a bit, but then Hopkins had to go and upset Tonka. I wouldn't even try making a call on this one yet.
7AA
3 Duluth East
11 Elk River
This section's teams moved up the standings a bit this past week. It's still very much East's to lose, and as they seem wont to do, the top teams in the section are coming on strong at the end of the year.
8AA
12 Moorhead
Roseau, after seemingly putting to bed any chance of a southern team winning with a resounding 6-0 win over Tech last week, came back and tied them this week, leaving me very unsure about them. Moorhead appears to have a pretty good lead, but Roseau is still very capable of beating them.
Whew, there you go...looks to be another excellent week.
Here is may personal rankings.
#1 Centennial- Some big wins and some bad losses, they will be there.
#2 Tonka- Big wins, and a let down against a good goalie- Fons
#3 Edina- Needs to regroup and focus on Section play
#4 Jefferson- Poor Lake shedule, and no top 10 wins- only EP, but 0 losses
#5 Holy Angels- Poor conference, but too talented not to be in the top 5
#6 Blaine- Above average team in an average conference
#7 Duluth East- Average schedule, but is just peaking
#8 EP- Poor Lake schedule, but did beat Tonka and Hopkins
#9 Benilde- Below average schedule, but are talented- good goaltender.
#10 Maple Grove- Good team and will be competitive down the stretch.
#11) Hopkins- Great goalie and solid 1st line.
#12) Wayzata. A lot of ups and downs. Needs to get some big wins.
#13) Burnsville- Average goaltender, but top 1st line that will score.
#14) Woodbury-
#15) Moorhead/Hill Murray
What has happened to the White Bear, Stillwater, Anoka, Grand Rapids, Roseau teams?
Just my thought.
Way too West Metro biased. Hopkins? ahead of Woodbury Sorry. Woodbury is a top 10 team easily. Why Brunsville and Wayzata are there leaves questions.