State AA seeding

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karl(east)
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Post by karl(east) »

50in15 wrote:Are we sure Rapids doesn't get the 5 over maple grove? I prefer Rapids is unseeded instead of section 7 vs. 8 matchup again but I have my doubts.
There's a case for Rapids, at least. There are a few common opponents against whom they don't have the same result: GR split two with ER (MG lost both), MG beat Andover twice (GR only tied them), MG beat East (GR split), and MG split with Holy Family, winning the later game (GR lost).

GR had two losses against non-top competition (Bemidji, Cloquet). MG had one (Blaine).

It's close, but I'd still tip it to MG.
Immigrant Fan
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Post by Immigrant Fan »

Small point of order, Grand Rapids tied Andover in regular season and beat them in Section quarterfinal match-up.
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north_bear
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Post by north_bear »

Immigrant Fan wrote:Small point of order, Grand Rapids tied Andover in regular season and beat them in Section quarterfinal match-up.
Come on karl you should know that!
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HappyHockeyFan
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Post by HappyHockeyFan »

Here's how Happy see's it:

2 Hill-Murray/Stillwater
7 Lakeville South

3 Maple Grove
6 Grand Rapids

1 Eden Prairie
8 Wayzata

4 St Thomas Academy
5 Moorhead
It's not the Best players, it's the Right players! HB
Joe2015
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Post by Joe2015 »

If Stillwater wins:

1 - Eden Prairie
2 - Stillwater
3 - St. Thomas Academy
4 - Maple Grove
5 - Moorhead
Unseeded - Grand Rapids, Wayzata, Lakeville South

If Hill-Murray wins:

1 - Eden Prairie
2 - St. Thomas Academy
3 - Maple Grove
4 - Moorhead
5 - Hill-Murray
Unseeded - Same

Just my guess
Trout
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Post by Trout »

[quote="Joe2015"]If Stillwater wins:

1 - Eden Prairie
2 - Stillwater
3 - St. Thomas Academy
4 - Maple Grove
5 - Moorhead
Unseeded - Grand Rapids, Wayzata, Lakeville South

If Hill-Murray wins:

1 - Eden Prairie
2 - St. Thomas Academy
3 - Maple Grove
4 - Moorhead
5 - Hill-Murray
Unseeded - Same

Just my guess[/quote]

This looks good. I may put Moorhead ahead of Maple Grove but that would be the only change. 3 unseeded the same and top 3 the same.
Green and White Fan
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Post by Green and White Fan »

If somehow Rapids plays Moorhead in the first round, then the high school league has lost all credibility and the state tournament is nothing more than a metro love fest!
Doc Holliday
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Post by Doc Holliday »

karl(east) wrote:
50in15 wrote:Are we sure Rapids doesn't get the 5 over maple grove? I prefer Rapids is unseeded instead of section 7 vs. 8 matchup again but I have my doubts.
There's a case for Rapids, at least. There are a few common opponents against whom they don't have the same result: GR split two with ER (MG lost both), MG beat Andover twice (GR only tied them), MG beat East (GR split), and MG split with Holy Family, winning the later game (GR lost).

GR had two losses against non-top competition (Bemidji, Cloquet). MG had one (Blaine).

It's close, but I'd still tip it to MG.
I've been saying the same thing reading these posts as 50in15: why is Maple Grove getting so much love as a seed & Grand Rapids getting none?

Also, to throw in: Grand Rapids beat Edina & Eden Prairie.
BodyShots
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Post by BodyShots »

50in15 wrote:Are we sure Rapids doesn't get the 5 over maple grove? I prefer Rapids is unseeded instead of section 7 vs. 8 matchup again but I have my doubts.
OUCH, I just fell off my chair reading this comment! #-o

Are you telling me a team that its section coaches seeded 4th, would get the 5th seed at the state tournament. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Matter of fact, I hope it does happen. Just to show how insane the seeding's were for Section 7AA. Somebody call the CCCP!

If Cloquet won section 7AA, they would be the 8th seed at state. :idea:
Doc Holliday
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Post by Doc Holliday »

I think most people think the 4 seed in 7AA was wrong, but to a lesser extent, it wouldn't be that crazy if they nabbed a seed at state. They'll get a little cred for winning 7AA, kind of like winning 6AA. Holy Family may have been given the #1 seed (Stillwater may have had something to say about that though) if they had beat EP.

Edina in 2009 was the 2 seed in 2AA & got the 1 seed at state.
EP last year was the 2 seed in 6AA & got the 1 seed. Also, in 2014, they were a 2 (may have even been a 3) & they got the 3 seed at state.
Wayzata was a 3 seed in 6AA in 2013 & got the 4th seed at state.

I'm sure there are a bunch of other examples. I do think the coaches look at the team & really won't think about where someone was seeded in sections.
boblee
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Post by boblee »

The hole in a lot of the logic on here is that it isn't a ranking system. It is a coaches vote. Coaches have biases for many reasons. EP, for example, was beaten by Grand Rapids. it's likely that they seed Rapids higher. Some teams also want to try to dictate matchups, which can wrench the whole thing. Most people on the "bored" were quite far off in their predictions last year.
Zamman
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Post by Zamman »

Why not wait for the field to be complete before you all put Stillwater in there. They need to win before you seed them. Besides, rankings mean squat when the coaches pick the seeds.
MWS coach
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Post by MWS coach »

boblee wrote:The hole in a lot of the logic on here is that it isn't a ranking system. It is a coaches vote. Coaches have biases for many reasons. EP, for example, was beaten by Grand Rapids. it's likely that they seed Rapids higher. Some teams also want to try to dictate matchups, which can wrench the whole thing. Most people on the "bored" were quite far off in their predictions last year.
The CRUX of what is wrong with both section and state seeding. Not blaming a coach for trying to get the optimal match up for their team, I would do the same thing, but if you are seeding it SHOULD be based upon "best" team, not your own interest. Why seed if involves self dealing instead of trying to create most balanced bracket? Rotate matchups of sections, I get this can match a 1 and 2 in quarters, but at least it eliminates the conflict of interest.
Doc Holliday
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Post by Doc Holliday »

MWS coach wrote:The CRUX of what is wrong with both section and state seeding. Not blaming a coach for trying to get the optimal match up for their team, I would do the same thing, but if you are seeding it SHOULD be based upon "best" team, not your own interest. Why seed if involves self dealing instead of trying to create most balanced bracket? Rotate matchups of sections, I get this can match a 1 and 2 in quarters, but at least it eliminates the conflict of interest.
I also think it's easier to do this now that 1-5 are seeded.

Initially I liked the idea of seeding & wanting to avoid the 1 vs. 2 quarterfinal matchup, but maybe it's not such a bad thing? Maybe just seed 1 & 2? Sure there will be some controversy, but you'd most likely be playing a good team regardless. Just an easy way to solve avoiding a quarterfinal if there's a head & shoulders top 2 going into the tournament (2014 Edina & Lakeville North for example).
Green and White Fan
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Post by Green and White Fan »

I still like the old way where you rotated the sections each year. All bias is gone. So you sometimes see a state championship in the first round. Big deal, only one team can win anyway. So a team takes consolation instead of 2nd, does anyone really care two weeks later.
boblee
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Post by boblee »

I'd rather have the coaches decide than Let's Play Hockey or a computer or YHH or FollowThePuck or Karl. Those teams got there. Those teams are the ones that play.
WestMetro
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Post by WestMetro »

I'd just as soon stick with LPH where GR will be 6 and play STA 3.

Then Rapids would play SW in semis and EP in finals
hockey59
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Post by hockey59 »

If SW wins: 12 noon SW vs LVS 2pm STA vs GR 6pm EP vs WZ 8pm MG vs MH

If HM wins: 12 noon STA vs LVS 2pm MG vs HM 6pm EP vs WZ 8pm MH vs GR So the Northern MN fans better pull for SW to win. In any event, 17 loss WZ should be plAying #1 EP... that will be pure irony and entertainment!
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Post by elliott70 »

page stat is the only way to go.
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Post by east hockey »

elliott70 wrote:page stat is the only way to go.
Interesting. Not in favor necessarily, but what if?

(after last night's updates)

AA (if Stillwater wins)

1. Eden Prairie
2. St. Thomas Academy
3. Stillwater
4. Moorhead
5. Maple Grove

Unseeded: Grand Rapids, Lakeville South, Wayzata

If Hill-Murray wins:

1. Eden Prairie
2. St. Thomas Academy
3. Moorhead
4. Hill-Murray

5-8 stay the same

Lee
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ryguyMN
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Post by ryguyMN »

boblee wrote:I'd rather have the coaches decide than Let's Play Hockey or a computer or YHH or FollowThePuck or Karl. Those teams got there. Those teams are the ones that play.
Isn't the Let's Play Hockey rankings also the coaches poll? I see the Minnesota Hockey Coaches Association (MCHA) logo next to the rankings.

If true, then the state seeds will follow similar logic to the LPH rankings since the coaches seed the teams.

Did Grand Rapids have a big enough win to leapfrog Moorhead? They would have to jump four spots. I don't think that 2OT win over DE did it, IMO.

March 1st LPH rankings:
10. Moorhead
11. Hill-Murray
12. Duluth East
13. Grand Rapids
boblee
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Post by boblee »

ryguyMN wrote:
boblee wrote:I'd rather have the coaches decide than Let's Play Hockey or a computer or YHH or FollowThePuck or Karl. Those teams got there. Those teams are the ones that play.
Isn't the Let's Play Hockey rankings also the coaches poll? I see the Minnesota Hockey Coaches Association (MCHA) logo next to the rankings.

If true, then the state seeds will follow similar logic to the LPH rankings since the coaches seed the teams.

Did Grand Rapids have a big enough win to leapfrog Moorhead? They would have to jump four spots. I don't think that 2OT win over DE did it, IMO.

March 1st LPH rankings:
10. Moorhead
11. Hill-Murray
12. Duluth East
13. Grand Rapids
There are only like 10-15 voters for the LPH poll and we don't get to know who they are.
goldy313
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Post by goldy313 »

boblee wrote:The hole in a lot of the logic on here is that it isn't a ranking system. It is a coaches vote. Coaches have biases for many reasons. EP, for example, was beaten by Grand Rapids. it's likely that they seed Rapids higher. Some teams also want to try to dictate matchups, which can wrench the whole thing. Most people on the "bored" were quite far off in their predictions last year.
You don't understand the system in place then.

Coaches rank the seven teams besides their own, the high and low rankings are thrown out giving each team 5 scores. The 5 scores are then totaled up and the teams are placed 1-5 accordingly. One coach can not, by himself, influence the rankings.
boblee
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Post by boblee »

goldy313 wrote:
boblee wrote:The hole in a lot of the logic on here is that it isn't a ranking system. It is a coaches vote. Coaches have biases for many reasons. EP, for example, was beaten by Grand Rapids. it's likely that they seed Rapids higher. Some teams also want to try to dictate matchups, which can wrench the whole thing. Most people on the "bored" were quite far off in their predictions last year.
You don't understand the system in place then.

Coaches rank the seven teams besides their own, the high and low rankings are thrown out giving each team 5 scores. The 5 scores are then totaled up and the teams are placed 1-5 accordingly. One coach can not, by himself, influence the rankings.
I understand the situation very well. And no, one coach cannot dictate, but I am saying that each coach (and team) has a specific perception, probably unlike all of ours. Those together gave EP the 1 seed last year and put Bemidji and Rapids in the 4-5 game.

"You don't understand the system in place then." ... You must not know who I am or my background. That's fine. I understand how this works. Very, very well.
hadenuf
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Post by hadenuf »

boblee wrote:
goldy313 wrote:
boblee wrote:The hole in a lot of the logic on here is that it isn't a ranking system. It is a coaches vote. Coaches have biases for many reasons. EP, for example, was beaten by Grand Rapids. it's likely that they seed Rapids higher. Some teams also want to try to dictate matchups, which can wrench the whole thing. Most people on the "bored" were quite far off in their predictions last year.
You don't understand the system in place then.

Coaches rank the seven teams besides their own, the high and low rankings are thrown out giving each team 5 scores. The 5 scores are then totaled up and the teams are placed 1-5 accordingly. One coach can not, by himself, influence the rankings.
I understand the situation very well. And no, one coach cannot dictate, but I am saying that each coach (and team) has a specific perception, probably unlike all of ours. Those together gave EP the 1 seed last year and put Bemidji and Rapids in the 4-5 game.

"You don't understand the system in place then." ... You must not know who I am or my background. That's fine. I understand how this works. Very, very well.
Let me guess....a backup high school goalie? :lol:
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