Scores (sorted by team) through January 18, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 8 1, 0.7, 7.9, 8.65, 7.49 2,Minnesota State,___________________ 18 4 1, 1.5, 7.2, 8.65, 8.14 3,Harvard,___________________________ 11 3 2, 1.4, 7.1, 8.53, 7.86 4,Miami,_____________________________ 14 8 0, 0.8, 7.6, 8.37, 7.83 5,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 4 4, 1.0, 7.4, 8.37, 8.83 6,Boston University,_________________ 13 4 4, 1.2, 7.2, 8.37, 7.72 7,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 7 1, 1.1, 7.3, 8.34, 6.78 8,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 15 5 3, 1.1, 7.2, 8.28, 8.08 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 6 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.26, 7.15 10,North Dakota,______________________ 16 5 2, 1.2, 7.0, 8.20, 8.81 11,Minnesota,_________________________ 11 7 2, 0.8, 7.3, 8.14, 7.06 12,Denver,____________________________ 13 7 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.11, 8.44 13,Michigan,__________________________ 13 7 0, 0.8, 7.3, 8.03, 9.45 14,Yale,______________________________ 11 4 2, 1.0, 6.9, 7.92, 8.70 15,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 9 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.86, 9.39 16,Boston College,____________________ 13 8 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.85, 7.80 17,Vermont,___________________________ 15 6 2, 0.9, 6.9, 7.82, 6.35 18,Colgate,___________________________ 14 7 1, 0.8, 6.9, 7.72, 8.07 19,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 6 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.94 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 11 10 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 8.15 21,Providence,________________________ 14 8 1, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 6.33 22,St Cloud State,____________________ 9 12 1, -0.4, 8.0, 7.55, 7.09 23,Penn State,________________________ 11 7 3, 0.6, 6.9, 7.50, 7.43 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 8 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.46, 7.94 25,Union,_____________________________ 11 10 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.42, 6.64 26,Bemidji State,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.0, 7.4, 7.38, 7.10 27,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 12 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.38, 8.14 28,Cornell,___________________________ 7 8 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 6.94 29,Alaska,____________________________ 12 11 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.16 30,Ferris State,______________________ 11 13 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.12, 6.89 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 11 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 6.96 32,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 8 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 7.27 33,Northeastern,______________________ 8 11 4, -0.5, 7.6, 7.07, 8.25 34,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 8 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 5.92 35,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 5 4, 1.2, 5.8, 7.03, 7.06 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 11 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 6.71 37,Ohio State,________________________ 7 11 2, -0.6, 7.5, 6.86, 6.52 38,Michigan State,____________________ 7 11 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 7.40 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 11 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.69, 6.22 40,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 11 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.47, 6.34 41,Maine,_____________________________ 8 15 1, -0.7, 7.2, 6.44, 7.54 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 16 1, -1.0, 7.4, 6.34, 8.04 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 7 3, 0.2, 6.1, 6.28, 6.60 44,RIT,_______________________________ 8 10 4, 0.1, 6.1, 6.19, 6.60 45,Bentley,___________________________ 10 10 3, 0.2, 5.9, 6.12, 5.94 46,Colorado College,__________________ 5 14 1, -1.5, 7.6, 6.08, 7.30 47,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 13 3, -1.6, 7.6, 6.02, 7.27 48,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 3, -1.2, 7.2, 6.02, 6.08 49,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 10 5, 0.1, 5.9, 5.97, 5.56 50,Canisius,__________________________ 10 8 6, 0.0, 5.9, 5.88, 7.49 51,Massachusetts,_____________________ 7 16 0, -1.2, 7.0, 5.86, 6.07 52,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 19 1, -1.7, 7.4, 5.69, 7.63 53,Brown,_____________________________ 4 13 0, -1.7, 7.3, 5.55, 6.65 54,Air Force,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.7, 6.2, 5.50, 5.35 55,Princeton,_________________________ 2 14 1, -2.1, 7.4, 5.27, 4.87 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 15 3, -1.2, 6.2, 5.08, 3.65 57,American International,____________ 3 16 5, -1.4, 6.2, 4.84, 4.61 58,Army,______________________________ 5 16 2, -1.3, 5.8, 4.59, 4.28 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 17 2, -1.9, 6.2, 4.31, 4.50 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 18 4 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.63 2,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 4 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.62 3,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 15 6 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.59, 7.26 4,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 8 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.57, 6.99 5,Harvard,___________________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.52, 7.30 6,North Dakota,______________________ 16 5 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.51, 7.53 7,Miami,_____________________________ 14 8 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.23 8,Boston University,_________________ 13 4 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.18 9,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 15 5 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.47, 7.22 10,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 7 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 6.78 11,Denver,____________________________ 13 7 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.42 12,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 6 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.57 13,Yale,______________________________ 11 4 2, 0.4, 6.9, 7.36, 7.61 14,Vermont,___________________________ 15 6 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.35, 6.76 15,Michigan,__________________________ 13 7 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 8.16 16,Providence,________________________ 14 8 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 6.91 17,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 8 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 7.36 18,Colgate,___________________________ 14 7 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.57 19,Minnesota,_________________________ 11 7 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 6.89 20,Boston College,____________________ 13 8 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.46 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 8.04 22,St Cloud State,____________________ 9 12 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 7.23 23,Penn State,________________________ 11 7 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.13, 6.96 24,Alaska,____________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.71 25,Northeastern,______________________ 8 11 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 7.52 26,St Lawrence,_______________________ 11 10 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.08, 7.37 27,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 8 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.06, 7.02 28,Cornell,___________________________ 7 8 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 6.87 29,Robert Morris,_____________________ 15 5 4, 0.4, 6.6, 7.00, 6.84 30,Ohio State,________________________ 7 11 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 7.10 31,Union,_____________________________ 11 10 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.99, 6.71 32,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 11 3, -0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 6.59 33,Bemidji State,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.2, 7.2, 6.95, 6.76 34,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 7 3, 0.2, 6.7, 6.93, 7.09 35,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 11 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.87 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 11 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 6.79 37,Ferris State,______________________ 11 13 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.91, 6.99 38,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 8 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.91, 6.30 39,New Hampshire,_____________________ 8 12 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 7.41 40,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 16 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.85, 7.31 41,Michigan State,____________________ 7 11 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 7.09 42,Colorado College,__________________ 5 14 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.78, 7.16 43,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.74, 7.15 44,Maine,_____________________________ 8 15 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.74, 7.12 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 11 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.73, 6.75 46,Canisius,__________________________ 10 8 6, 0.1, 6.6, 6.67, 7.47 47,Bentley,___________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 6.7, 6.66, 6.70 48,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 19 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.64, 7.45 49,Massachusetts,_____________________ 7 16 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.60, 6.64 50,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 13 3, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 7.20 51,RIT,_______________________________ 8 10 4, -0.1, 6.7, 6.58, 6.86 52,Air Force,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.57, 6.79 53,Brown,_____________________________ 4 13 0, -0.5, 7.1, 6.55, 6.76 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 10 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.54, 6.15 55,Princeton,_________________________ 2 14 1, -0.7, 7.1, 6.42, 6.23 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 15 3, -0.4, 6.7, 6.34, 5.81 57,American International,____________ 3 16 5, -0.5, 6.7, 6.16, 5.86 58,Army,______________________________ 5 16 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.15, 5.87 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 17 2, -0.6, 6.7, 6.04, 6.10 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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