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2003-04 Virginia High School Hockey Computer Ratings

Virginia HS Hockey Scores -these scores are what the ratings are based upon. Please send missing VA scores to Justin Crawford for consolidation. Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next or between different ratings lists). A teams listed W-L-T record reflects only those games that have been reported and are in the scores database. Apologies in advance for not being able to accept scores that are not reported in the proper format as described above. Current minimum of 3 reported scores to be listed. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when calculating the rankings. As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores. The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details. Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Langley,VA,_________________________ 9 4 0, 0.8, 6.4, 7.19, 7.19 2,Stonebridge,VA,_____________________ 7 2 0, 2.1, 4.1, 6.21 3,Forest Park,VA,_____________________ 11 3 3, 0.7, 5.1, 5.86, 5.06 4,North Stafford,VA,__________________ 6 3 2, 1.1, 4.7, 5.82, 7.31 5,Hylton,VA,__________________________ 8 1 1, 2.1, 3.4, 5.47 6,Westfield,VA,_______________________ 7 2 0, 1.8, 3.5, 5.25 7,Loudon Cty/Loudon Vly/Heritage,VA,__ 7 3 1, 1.2, 4.0, 5.22, 4.73 8,Osbourn Park,VA,____________________ 6 2 1, 0.5, 4.1, 4.63 9,Bishop O'Connell,VA,________________ 0 4 1, -2.4, 6.9, 4.49 10,Broad Run,VA,_______________________ 6 3 0, 1.2, 3.1, 4.30 11,Robinson,VA,________________________ 6 4 1, 0.7, 3.4, 4.11, 4.63 12,Centreville,VA,_____________________ 6 4 0, 1.2, 2.8, 3.99, 5.18 13,Madison/Marshall,VA,________________ 4 4 1, 0.1, 3.3, 3.45 14,Osbourn,VA,_________________________ 4 5 1, 0.1, 3.4, 3.45, 3.95 15,Woodbridge,VA,______________________ 2 4 1, -0.6, 3.9, 3.36 16,Paul VI,VA,_________________________ 8 5 0, 0.4, 2.8, 3.21, 3.78 17,Yorktown/W&L,VA,____________________ 7 3 0, 1.4, 1.8, 3.20, 3.46 18,Hayfield,VA,________________________ 7 7 0, -0.1, 2.7, 2.65, 2.65 19,Bishop Ireton,VA,___________________ 2 8 0, -1.5, 3.7, 2.20, 1.74 20,Chantilly,VA,_______________________ 4 7 0, -1.0, 3.0, 2.00, 2.33 21,West Springfield,VA,________________ 5 6 0, -1.0, 2.9, 1.95, 1.84 22,Woodson,VA,_________________________ 2 7 1, -1.3, 3.1, 1.84, 1.82 23,McLean,VA,__________________________ 3 6 0, -1.1, 2.6, 1.52 24,Oakton,VA,__________________________ 2 6 0, -1.5, 3.0, 1.49 25,Potomac Falls,VA,___________________ 1 8 0, -2.1, 3.1, 0.99 26,Lake Braddock/Fairfax,VA,___________ 2 7 0, -1.2, 2.0, 0.83 27,Herndon,VA,_________________________ 1 9 0, -2.3, 3.0, 0.64 28,Potomac/Garfield/Colonial Forge,VA,_ 1 6 0, -2.6, 2.4, -0.24 29,Stonewall,VA,_______________________ 0 9 0, -3.7, 2.7, -0.93 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Langley,VA,_________________________ 9 4 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.74, 6.84 2,Forest Park,VA,_____________________ 11 3 3, 0.4, 6.1, 6.52, 6.36 3,Stonebridge,VA,_____________________ 7 2 0, 0.6, 5.8, 6.33 4,Hylton,VA,__________________________ 8 1 1, 0.7, 5.6, 6.28 5,North Stafford,VA,__________________ 6 3 2, 0.2, 6.0, 6.24, 6.59 6,Osbourn Park,VA,____________________ 6 2 1, 0.4, 5.9, 6.23 7,Loudon Cty/Loudon Vly/Heritage,VA,__ 7 3 1, 0.4, 5.8, 6.18, 6.06 8,Westfield,VA,_______________________ 7 2 0, 0.6, 5.6, 6.15 9,Bishop O'Connell,VA,________________ 0 4 1, -0.8, 6.7, 5.92 10,Broad Run,VA,_______________________ 6 3 0, 0.3, 5.4, 5.76 11,Robinson,VA,________________________ 6 4 1, 0.2, 5.6, 5.74, 5.75 12,Centreville,VA,_____________________ 6 4 0, 0.2, 5.4, 5.63, 5.83 13,Paul VI,VA,_________________________ 8 5 0, 0.2, 5.4, 5.61, 5.90 14,Osbourn,VA,_________________________ 4 5 1, -0.1, 5.7, 5.57, 5.48 15,Woodbridge,VA,______________________ 2 4 1, -0.3, 5.8, 5.55 16,Madison/Marshall,VA,________________ 4 4 1, 0.0, 5.5, 5.52 17,Yorktown/W&L,VA,____________________ 7 3 0, 0.4, 5.1, 5.48, 5.78 18,Hayfield,VA,________________________ 7 7 0, 0.0, 5.4, 5.42, 5.29 19,West Springfield,VA,________________ 5 6 0, -0.1, 5.4, 5.35, 5.35 20,Chantilly,VA,_______________________ 4 7 0, -0.2, 5.4, 5.23, 5.36 21,Bishop Ireton,VA,___________________ 2 8 0, -0.6, 5.6, 5.03, 5.15 22,McLean,VA,__________________________ 3 6 0, -0.3, 5.3, 5.02 23,Woodson,VA,_________________________ 2 7 1, -0.5, 5.5, 4.98, 4.86 24,Oakton,VA,__________________________ 2 6 0, -0.5, 5.4, 4.94 25,Potomac/Garfield/Colonial Forge,VA,_ 1 6 0, -0.6, 5.4, 4.77 26,Herndon,VA,_________________________ 1 9 0, -0.8, 5.4, 4.66 27,Potomac Falls,VA,___________________ 1 8 0, -0.8, 5.4, 4.65 28,Lake Braddock/Fairfax,VA,___________ 2 7 0, -0.6, 5.1, 4.57 29,Stonewall,VA,_______________________ 0 9 0, -1.0, 5.4, 4.40

last updated 2/10/04