Scores (sorted by team) through March 1, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 6 3, 1.5, 7.3, 8.78, 8.47 2,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 24 8 2, 1.3, 7.3, 8.58, 9.09 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 12 3, 0.6, 8.0, 8.53, 7.73 4,Boston University,_________________ 21 7 5, 1.2, 7.2, 8.47, 7.95 5,North Dakota,______________________ 24 6 3, 1.2, 7.3, 8.42, 9.02 6,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 11 3, 0.8, 7.4, 8.22, 7.79 7,Miami,_____________________________ 20 11 1, 0.6, 7.6, 8.18, 7.51 8,Denver,____________________________ 19 11 2, 0.7, 7.5, 8.17, 8.82 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.4, 7.7, 8.16, 7.91 10,Yale,______________________________ 17 7 5, 1.1, 6.9, 8.07, 8.96 11,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 16 1, 0.1, 7.9, 8.00, 8.94 12,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 5, 0.4, 7.5, 7.94, 8.41 13,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 0.6, 7.3, 7.93, 7.99 14,Michigan,__________________________ 19 11 0, 0.8, 7.1, 7.92, 7.67 15,Providence,________________________ 21 11 2, 0.8, 7.1, 7.90, 8.03 16,Harvard,___________________________ 15 11 3, 0.7, 7.2, 7.90, 6.51 17,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 18 10 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.87, 8.56 18,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 13 3, 0.8, 7.0, 7.86, 7.82 19,Bowling Green,_____________________ 19 10 5, 0.5, 7.2, 7.75, 5.61 20,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 6.92 21,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 9 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.65, 8.01 22,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 17 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.58, 9.85 23,Colgate,___________________________ 19 11 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.58, 8.77 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.48, 5.67 25,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 10 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 6.84 26,Northeastern,______________________ 16 14 4, -0.1, 7.5, 7.41, 6.77 27,Alaska,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 8.29 28,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36, 6.66 29,Penn State,________________________ 16 12 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 6.40 30,Notre Dame,________________________ 15 16 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 8.14 31,Michigan State,____________________ 14 14 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.22, 7.70 32,Cornell,___________________________ 11 12 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 6.47 33,Ferris State,______________________ 14 19 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.04, 7.53 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 14 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 6.85 35,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 16 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.96, 5.65 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 18 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.75, 6.08 37,Maine,_____________________________ 13 20 3, -0.5, 7.2, 6.72, 6.92 38,Robert Morris,_____________________ 22 7 5, 1.1, 5.6, 6.71, 5.44 39,Ohio State,________________________ 11 17 2, -0.7, 7.3, 6.67, 7.67 40,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 20 4, -0.8, 7.3, 6.46, 7.19 41,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 17 7, -0.8, 7.2, 6.43, 5.04 42,RIT,_______________________________ 15 14 5, 0.4, 5.9, 6.29, 7.55 43,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 21 2, -1.1, 7.3, 6.23, 5.99 44,Colorado College,__________________ 6 23 2, -1.5, 7.7, 6.17, 7.49 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 23 3, -1.2, 7.3, 6.08, 6.69 46,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 22 4, -1.2, 7.2, 6.00, 6.35 47,Brown,_____________________________ 8 18 3, -1.2, 7.1, 5.93, 7.42 48,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.2, 5.7, 5.91, 4.77 49,Canisius,__________________________ 16 11 7, 0.3, 5.6, 5.90, 6.59 50,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 24 2, -1.5, 7.4, 5.90, 5.89 51,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 22 4, -1.7, 7.6, 5.89, 5.99 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 13 16 5, 0.0, 5.8, 5.80, 5.47 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 14 4, 0.0, 5.8, 5.76, 4.55 54,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 17 6, -0.5, 5.9, 5.42, 6.76 55,Air Force,_________________________ 14 19 4, -0.4, 5.8, 5.40, 4.60 56,Princeton,_________________________ 4 21 3, -1.9, 7.2, 5.34, 4.84 57,Army,______________________________ 8 20 4, -1.1, 5.7, 4.62, 4.93 58,American International,____________ 4 23 7, -1.4, 5.9, 4.48, 3.36 59,Niagara,___________________________ 5 25 4, -1.7, 6.1, 4.35, 6.20 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 24 6 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.67, 8.08 2,Minnesota State,___________________ 24 6 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 7.43 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.57, 7.27 4,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 24 8 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.55, 7.59 5,Miami,_____________________________ 20 11 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 7.57 6,Boston University,_________________ 21 7 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.50, 7.15 7,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.50, 7.19 8,Denver,____________________________ 19 11 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.64 9,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.57 10,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36, 7.23 11,Providence,________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.47 12,Bowling Green,_____________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 6.30 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 7.29 14,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 16 1, -0.0, 7.4, 7.32, 7.78 15,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.49 16,Yale,______________________________ 17 7 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.56 17,Michigan,__________________________ 19 11 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.08 18,Vermont,___________________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.00 19,Colgate,___________________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.78 20,Northeastern,______________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.23, 7.05 21,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 7.68 22,Harvard,___________________________ 15 11 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 6.83 23,Alaska,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 7.87 24,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 10 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.17, 7.20 25,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 13 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 6.91 26,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.15, 6.47 27,Penn State,________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.07, 6.50 28,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 17 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.06, 8.05 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 14 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 7.25 30,Cornell,___________________________ 11 12 6, -0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 6.98 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 15 16 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.03, 7.43 32,Michigan State,____________________ 14 14 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.03, 7.19 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.31 34,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 2, 0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 6.78 35,Ferris State,______________________ 14 19 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 7.43 36,Robert Morris,_____________________ 22 7 5, 0.4, 6.5, 6.95, 6.41 37,Ohio State,________________________ 11 17 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 7.26 38,Maine,_____________________________ 13 20 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.03 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 17 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.47 40,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 18 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.79, 6.29 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 21 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 6.84 42,Colorado College,__________________ 6 23 2, -0.5, 7.3, 6.75, 6.95 43,Rensselaer,________________________ 10 23 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 6.90 44,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.72, 6.74 45,Brown,_____________________________ 8 18 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 7.21 46,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 24 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.68, 6.53 47,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.67, 6.39 48,Canisius,__________________________ 16 11 7, 0.1, 6.5, 6.66, 7.07 49,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 6.5, 6.64, 6.14 50,RIT,_______________________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 7.32 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.62, 5.93 52,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 22 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.61, 6.90 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.47, 6.75 54,Air Force,_________________________ 14 19 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.46, 6.31 55,Princeton,_________________________ 4 21 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.45, 6.30 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.74 57,Army,______________________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 6.5, 6.17, 6.21 58,Niagara,___________________________ 5 25 4, -0.6, 6.7, 6.07, 6.69 59,American International,____________ 4 23 7, -0.6, 6.6, 6.06, 5.78 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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