Scores (sorted by team) through February 22, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 23 6 2, 1.5, 7.2, 8.75, 8.70 2,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 24 7 1, 1.5, 7.2, 8.63, 9.92 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 12 1, 0.6, 8.0, 8.57, 8.55 4,Boston University,_________________ 19 6 5, 1.2, 7.2, 8.43, 8.20 5,North Dakota,______________________ 22 6 3, 1.1, 7.2, 8.31, 9.14 6,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 10 3, 0.9, 7.4, 8.29, 9.42 7,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.25, 7.94 8,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 10 3, 0.5, 7.7, 8.13, 7.37 9,Denver,____________________________ 18 10 2, 0.7, 7.4, 8.09, 8.08 10,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 14 1, 0.2, 7.9, 8.08, 9.47 11,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 11 3, 0.9, 7.1, 8.01, 9.14 12,Harvard,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.8, 7.2, 8.01, 6.93 13,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 4, 0.4, 7.6, 7.99, 8.49 14,Yale,______________________________ 16 7 4, 1.1, 6.9, 7.99, 8.14 15,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 9 5, 0.7, 7.3, 7.96, 7.26 16,Boston College,____________________ 18 10 3, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.78 17,Michigan,__________________________ 17 11 0, 0.7, 7.2, 7.83, 6.95 18,Vermont,___________________________ 18 11 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.78, 7.09 19,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 17 10 5, 0.6, 7.2, 7.78, 6.67 20,Providence,________________________ 19 11 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.75, 7.27 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 14 4, 0.0, 7.7, 7.69, 7.23 22,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 8 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.65, 8.46 23,Colgate,___________________________ 18 11 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.59, 7.66 24,Penn State,________________________ 16 10 4, 0.6, 6.9, 7.47, 7.16 25,Northeastern,______________________ 15 12 4, 0.0, 7.4, 7.44, 8.31 26,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 8.38 27,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 17 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 9.05 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.15 29,Cornell,___________________________ 11 11 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.21 30,Union,_____________________________ 14 16 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 5.36 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 14 15 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 9.03 32,Michigan State,____________________ 13 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 7.54 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.09 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 13 6, -0.2, 7.3, 7.11, 6.89 35,Ferris State,______________________ 14 18 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.03, 6.98 36,Robert Morris,_____________________ 21 6 5, 1.2, 5.7, 6.86, 6.73 37,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 17 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.28 38,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.80, 7.26 39,Ohio State,________________________ 9 17 2, -0.9, 7.4, 6.50, 6.17 40,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 20 2, -1.0, 7.3, 6.33, 7.57 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 19 4, -1.0, 7.3, 6.31, 5.40 42,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 17 7, -0.9, 7.2, 6.31, 4.56 43,RIT,_______________________________ 13 14 5, 0.3, 5.9, 6.17, 5.89 44,Bentley,___________________________ 16 11 5, 0.3, 5.8, 6.07, 6.43 45,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 20 4, -1.2, 7.2, 6.01, 6.09 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 23 2, -1.4, 7.3, 5.98, 4.93 47,Canisius,__________________________ 15 10 7, 0.3, 5.7, 5.96, 6.59 48,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 20 4, -1.6, 7.6, 5.96, 5.95 49,Colorado College,__________________ 5 23 1, -1.8, 7.7, 5.93, 5.95 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 12 4, 0.2, 5.7, 5.90, 5.96 51,Brown,_____________________________ 8 17 2, -1.2, 7.1, 5.90, 8.47 52,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 23 2, -1.6, 7.4, 5.88, 5.56 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 16 5, 0.0, 5.8, 5.77, 4.61 54,Princeton,_________________________ 4 19 3, -1.8, 7.2, 5.40, 5.61 55,Air Force,_________________________ 13 18 4, -0.5, 5.8, 5.37, 4.74 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 10 17 6, -0.6, 6.0, 5.32, 6.27 57,Army,______________________________ 7 19 4, -1.1, 5.8, 4.65, 5.24 58,American International,____________ 3 22 7, -1.5, 6.0, 4.48, 3.37 59,Niagara,___________________________ 4 24 4, -1.8, 6.0, 4.21, 5.34 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 23 6 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 7.33 2,North Dakota,______________________ 22 6 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.61, 8.16 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 12 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.58, 7.56 4,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 24 7 1, 0.5, 7.0, 7.57, 7.91 5,Miami,_____________________________ 19 10 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 7.74 6,Boston University,_________________ 19 6 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.05 7,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 6.75 8,Denver,____________________________ 18 10 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.46 9,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 8 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.66 10,Bowling Green,_____________________ 18 9 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 6.82 11,Boston College,____________________ 18 10 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.24 12,St Cloud State,____________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.36, 7.96 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.72 14,Providence,________________________ 19 11 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.31, 7.09 15,Vermont,___________________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.17 16,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 17 10 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 6.85 17,Yale,______________________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.32 18,Harvard,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.02 19,Northeastern,______________________ 15 12 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 7.45 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.44 21,Michigan,__________________________ 17 11 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 6.88 22,Colgate,___________________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.28 23,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.62 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 14 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 6.94 25,Alaska,____________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 7.63 26,Penn State,________________________ 16 10 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.15, 6.87 27,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.34 28,Cornell,___________________________ 11 11 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.10 29,Northern Michigan,_________________ 13 13 6, 0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.16 30,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 14 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 6.24 31,Michigan State,____________________ 13 13 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.16 32,Notre Dame,________________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.70 33,Robert Morris,_____________________ 21 6 5, 0.5, 6.5, 7.00, 6.99 34,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 17 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.79 35,Ferris State,______________________ 14 18 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.97, 7.31 36,Union,_____________________________ 14 16 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.11 37,Maine,_____________________________ 13 18 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.32 38,Ohio State,________________________ 9 17 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 6.82 39,Clarkson,__________________________ 11 17 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.84, 6.39 40,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 17 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.84, 6.50 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 20 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 7.30 42,Bentley,___________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 6.6, 6.72, 6.93 43,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 20 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.71, 6.57 44,Brown,_____________________________ 8 17 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 7.75 45,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.69, 6.49 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 23 2, -0.4, 7.1, 6.69, 6.23 47,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 19 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.69, 6.45 48,Colorado College,__________________ 5 23 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.68, 6.48 49,Canisius,__________________________ 15 10 7, 0.2, 6.5, 6.68, 6.95 50,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 23 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.66, 6.22 51,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 20 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.63, 6.77 52,RIT,_______________________________ 13 14 5, -0.0, 6.6, 6.56, 6.58 53,Princeton,_________________________ 4 19 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.47, 6.63 54,Air Force,_________________________ 13 18 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.45, 6.11 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 16 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.44, 6.33 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 10 17 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.41, 6.70 57,Army,______________________________ 7 19 4, -0.4, 6.6, 6.18, 6.47 58,American International,____________ 3 22 7, -0.6, 6.6, 6.05, 5.74 59,Niagara,___________________________ 4 24 4, -0.6, 6.6, 6.02, 6.37 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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