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30-NOV-2016 LSQRank Girls HS Computerized ranking

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30-NOV-2016 LSQRank Girls HS Computerized ranking

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2016 3:14 pm
by LSQRANK
The first LSQrank computerized rankings of the season for girls hockey is out for the 2016-17 season. Expect lots of movement up/down over the next month as more data is collected and processed. LSQRank simply uses the score differential of each game outcome as though it represents an elevation difference between surveying benchmark stations. A Least Squares solution is computed to determine the the most likely elevation of each benchmark (ie. hockey team) based on the entire season's game results to date. The data shown below was computed using the basic version options, which makes no adjustments for shots on goal, pp/pk, empty-net-goals, etc. The highest elevation is nominally set to 1000.000 feet. As the season progresses, with more game data collected (> 12 games each team) the predicted elevations can be used to predict approximate score differentials for up-coming games.

This week, Blaine HS is rated no.1 in MN/WI/ND/SD


Code: Select all

LSQRank 30-NOV-2016  Girls HS

LSQRANK State Tier Score                              Team      LG      SEC CLS     GP (WW-LL-TT) percent
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     1  MN     HS  1000.0000                        Blaine      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
     2  MN     HS   999.0630                    Centennial      MnHSHL   5  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
     3  MN     HS   998.8284                         Edina      MnHSHL   6  AA      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
     4  MN     HS   998.6476                    MapleGrove      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
     5  MN     HS   998.3613                         Breck      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 5- 1- 0) 0.833  
     6  MN     HS   998.2833                   EdenPrairie      MnHSHL   2  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
     7  MN     HS   998.2571                   Hill-Murray      MnHSHL   4  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
     8  MN     HS   998.0793            ElkRiver/Zimmerman      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
     9  MN     HS   997.1946                         Blake      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 4- 1- 1) 0.750  
    10  MN     HS   996.3830          Brainerd/LittleFalls      MnHSHL   8  AA      2  ( 2- 0- 0) 1.000 
	                                                                           
    11  MN     HS   995.5580               Delano/Rockford      MnHSHL   6   A      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
    12  MN     HS   994.9877                 WhiteBearLake      MnHSHL   4  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    13  MN     HS   994.9798                         Eagan      MnHSHL   3  AA      4  ( 3- 0- 1) 0.875  
    14  MN     HS   994.9299                        Roseau      MnHSHL   8  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    15  MN     HS   994.9028                LakevilleNorth      MnHSHL   1  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    16  MN     HS   994.7943                    Minnetonka      MnHSHL   2  AA      4  ( 1- 1- 2) 0.500  
    17  MN     HS   994.7781               ThiefRiverFalls      MnHSHL   8   A      7  ( 7- 0- 0) 1.000  
    18  MN     HS   994.7623                    MoundsView      MnHSHL   4  AA      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    19  MN     HS   994.7610                   SouthStPaul      MnHSHL   4   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    20  MN     HS   994.6479                LakevilleSouth      MnHSHL   1  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    21  MN     HS   994.6208                    ForestLake      MnHSHL   7  AA      2  ( 1- 0- 1) 0.750  
    22  MN     HS   994.6207                    Hutchinson      MnHSHL   2   A      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
    23  MN     HS   994.3068     SpringLakePark/CoonRapids      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    24  MN     HS   994.0860                       Wayzata      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    25  MN     HS   994.0513             NorthWrightCounty      MnHSHL   8  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600 
	                                                                           
    26  MN     HS   993.9416                      Shakopee      MnHSHL   2  AA      5  ( 2- 0- 3) 0.700  
    27  MN     HS   993.8760                       Warroad      MnHSHL   8   A      5  ( 2- 2- 1) 0.500  
    28  MN     HS   993.8602             Cretin-DerhamHall      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 2- 2- 1) 0.500  
    29  MN     HS   993.8022                 St.PaulUnited      MnHSHL   4   A      9  ( 7- 1- 1) 0.833  
    30  MN     HS   993.7119                EastGrandForks      MnHSHL   8   A      5  ( 4- 0- 1) 0.900  
    31  MN     HS   993.6896                  Hopkins/Park      MnHSHL   6  AA      7  ( 5- 2- 0) 0.714  
    32  MN     HS   993.6031                    Alexandria      MnHSHL   6   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
    33  MN     HS   993.5321                      Eastview      MnHSHL   3  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    34  MN     HS   993.5293             Chaska/Chanhassen      MnHSHL   2  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    35  MN     HS   993.4944                 MoundWestonka      MnHSHL   2  AA      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
    36  MN     HS   993.4750                    RiverLakes      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    37  MN     HS   993.3900                   AppleValley      MnHSHL   3  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    38  MN     HS   993.3588          GrandRapids/Greenway      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    39  MN     HS   993.3058                       Andover      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    40  MN     HS   993.1322         MooseLake-WillowRiver      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
    41  MN     HS   992.9827                     EastRidge      MnHSHL   3  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    42  MN     HS   992.7720                      St.Cloud      MnHSHL   8  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    43  MN     HS   992.7620            Proctor/Hermantown      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    44  MN     HS   992.6848                    Farmington      MnHSHL   1  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    45  MN     HS   992.6834         Benilde-St.Margaret's      MnHSHL   6  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    46  MN     HS   992.6313              Hibbing/Chisholm      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    47  MN     HS   992.5747                     PriorLake      MnHSHL   2  AA      8  ( 3- 4- 1) 0.438  
    48  MN     HS   992.4015                     Roseville      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    49  MN     HS   992.3128                    Burnsville      MnHSHL   3  AA      6  ( 2- 3- 1) 0.417  
    50  MN     HS   992.3086            HolyFamily/Waconia      MnHSHL   2  AA      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300 
	                                                                           
    51  MN     HS   992.2910                      Moorhead      MnHSHL   8  AA      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
    52  MN     HS   992.1896            Sartell/SaukRapids      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    53  MN     HS   992.1368                        Rogers      MnHSHL   5  AA      6  ( 4- 1- 1) 0.750  
    54  MN     HS   992.0898                    Northfield      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
    55  MN     HS   992.0322                    Stillwater      MnHSHL   4  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    56  MN     HS   991.9728  RochesterJohnMarshall/Lourde      MnHSHL   1  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    57  MN     HS   991.9247                     NewPrague      MnHSHL   2   A      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300  
    58  MN     HS   991.9001                   DodgeCounty      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    59  MN     HS   991.8839                  ChamplinPark      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    60  MN     HS   991.8160                     Princeton      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 5- 1- 0) 0.833  
    61  WI     HS   991.6745                St.CroixValley      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 0- 1) 0.750  
    62  MN     HS   991.6486                         Orono      MnHSHL   2   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    63  MN     HS   991.6445                  North/Tartan      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    64  MN     HS   991.5670                    St.Francis      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    65  ND     HS   991.5126                      Bismarck      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 1- 0- 0) 1.000  
    66  MN     HS   991.2247                 PrairieCentre      MnHSHL   6   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
    67  MN     HS   991.2075              Cambridge-Isanti      MnHSHL   7  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    68  WI     HS   991.1838              CentralWisconsin      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
    69  MN     HS   990.9842                         Anoka      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    70  WI     HS   990.8819                        Hudson      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
    71  MN     HS   990.8152                       Buffalo      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    72  MN     HS   990.7950                       RedWing      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    73  WI     HS   990.7448             EauClaire-Altoona      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    74  WI     HS   990.5651                       BayArea      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    75  MN     HS   990.4773            InternationalFalls      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
	                                                                           
    76  MN     HS   990.4494                DuluthMarshall      MnHSHL   7   A      6  ( 2- 2- 2) 0.500  
    77  MN     HS   990.3690                   Minneapolis      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
    78  WI     HS   990.3457                     FondduLac      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    79  MN     HS   990.3403            ParkofCottageGrove      MnHSHL   3  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    80  WI     HS   990.2433                    WesternWis      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    81  MN     HS   990.1780                        NewUlm      MnHSHL   2   A      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    82  WI     HS   989.9642                  HaywardCo-Op      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
    83  MN     HS   989.9365                  Totino-Grace      MnHSHL   5   A      5  ( 0- 4- 1) 0.100  
    84  MN     HS   989.8718   RobbinsdaleArmstrong/Cooper      MnHSHL   6  AA      7  ( 1- 4- 2) 0.286  
    85  MN     HS   989.8313                      Irondale      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    86  ND     HS   989.7986                     WestFargo      NDHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    87  MN     HS   989.7455          Cloquet-Esko-Carlton      MnHSHL   7  AA      2  ( 0- 2- 0) 0.000  
    88  MN     HS   989.5803          BloomingtonJefferson      MnHSHL   2  AA      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
    89  MN     HS   989.5771                   MankatoEast      MnHSHL   3   A      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    90  MN     HS   989.5421                      Owatonna      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    91  WI     HS   989.4249                    RockCounty      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    92  MN     HS   989.3699                     Rosemount      MnHSHL   3  AA      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    93  MN     HS   989.3013                  ChisagoLakes      MnHSHL   5   A      4  ( 0- 4- 0) 0.000  
    94  MN     HS   989.1100                    HolyAngels      MnHSHL   5   A      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    95  MN     HS   989.0463                      Woodbury      MnHSHL   4  AA      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
    96  MN     HS   989.0284                      Hastings      MnHSHL   3  AA      7  ( 1- 6- 0) 0.143  
    97  MN     HS   988.9741                 RochesterMayo      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    98  ND     HS   988.8190              FargoNorth/South      NDHSHL   0   A      2  ( 2- 0- 0) 1.000  
    99  MN     HS   988.7000                     Faribault      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   100  MN     HS   988.6598                   HenrySibley      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
                                                                            
   101  MN     HS   988.5126                   FergusFalls      MnHSHL   6   A      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
   102  MN     HS   988.4473                        Duluth      MnHSHL   7  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   103  MN     HS   988.1994                     Mahtomedi      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   104  MN     HS   987.8903                       Luverne      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   105  MN     HS   987.7186                       Willmar      MnHSHL   6   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   106  MN     HS   987.6595                       Bemidji      MnHSHL   8  AA      7  ( 0- 7- 0) 0.000  
   107  MN     HS   987.5826                    NorthMetro      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   108  WI     HS   987.5594              SuperiorSpartans      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   109  MN     HS   987.4798                      St.Peter      MnHSHL   2   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   110  ON     HS   987.4773               FortFrances(ON)      ONHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   111  WI     HS   987.3654            Point-Rapids/Marsh      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   112  WI     HS   987.1786                   USMWildcats      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 0- 2- 1) 0.167  
   113  MN     HS   987.0305                        Simley      MnHSHL   4   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   114  MN     HS   987.0130                      Fairmont      MnHSHL   3   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
   115  WI     HS   986.9818               SunPrairieCo-op      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 0- 1- 1) 0.250  
   116  WI     HS   986.8698               BlackRiverFalls      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
   117  MN     HS   986.7239               Eveleth-Gilbert      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 0- 4- 0) 0.000  
   118  MN     HS   986.6828                    NorthShore      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300  
   119  WI     HS   986.6072                     MetroLynx      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   120  MN     HS   986.4077                        Austin      MnHSHL   1   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   121  MN     HS   986.3257                   MankatoWest      MnHSHL   3   A      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
   122  MN     HS   986.2883                 NorthernLakes      MnHSHL   6   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   123  MN     HS   986.1653              RochesterCentury      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   124  MN     HS   986.1358                        Windom      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
   125  MN     HS   986.1057                 St.PaulBlades      MnHSHL   4   A      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167 
                                                                            
   126  WI     HS   986.0453                      Onalaska      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
   127  MN     HS   985.8601               MinnehahaUnited      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
   128  ND     HS   985.7986                    DevilsLake      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   129  WI     HS   985.7798                AppletonUnited      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 1- 2- 2) 0.400  
   130  MN     HS   985.7736      Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato      MnHSHL   2   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   131  WI     HS   985.4287            LakeshoreLightning      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
   132  WI     HS   985.1616                       Viroqua      WiHSHL   0   A      1  ( 1- 0- 0) 1.000  
   133  ND     HS   985.1414                   FargoDavies      NDHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
   134  MN     HS   985.1296                  DetroitLakes      MnHSHL   8   A      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
   135  WI     HS   985.0957                NorthlandPines      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   136  WI     HS   984.3146                       Waupaca      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 0- 3- 1) 0.125  
   137  MN     HS   984.3077                      Marshall      MnHSHL   3   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   138  WI     HS   984.2318                    Brookfield      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   139  ND     HS   984.1414                    GrandForks      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   140  MN     HS   983.8192                    ParkRapids      MnHSHL   8  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
   141  MN     HS   983.8190                     Crookston      MnHSHL   8   A      7  ( 1- 6- 0) 0.143  
   142  MN     HS   983.0945                        Waseca      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   143  WI     HS   982.8024       ChippewaFalls/Menomonie      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 0- 2- 0) 0.000  
   144  WI     HS   982.5978               BadgerLightning      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   145  MN     HS   981.4659                     AlbertLea      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
   146  WI     HS   980.9900                     Arrowhead      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   147  WI     HS   980.2767                 WSFLGBlizzard      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   148  WI     HS   979.1616                      Icebergs      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   149  ND     HS   978.8190                     Jamestown      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   150  MN     HS   978.7262                        Winona      MnHSHL   1   A      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   151  MN     HS   978.3711                   Worthington      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   152  WI     HS   977.5651            BeaverDam/Randolph      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   153  MN     HS   977.4228                 Morris/Benson      MnHSHL   6   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  

Done LSQ solution.

Re: 30-NOV-2016 LSQRank Girls HS Computerized ranking

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2016 8:01 pm
by itsfoilcoach
LSQRANK wrote:The first LSQrank computerized rankings of the season for girls hockey is out for the 2016-17 season. Expect lots of movement up/down over the next month as more data is collected and processed. LSQRank simply uses the score differential of each game outcome as though it represents an elevation difference between surveying benchmark stations. A Least Squares solution is computed to determine the the most likely elevation of each benchmark (ie. hockey team) based on the entire season's game results to date. The data shown below was computed using the basic version options, which makes no adjustments for shots on goal, pp/pk, empty-net-goals, etc. The highest elevation is nominally set to 1000.000 feet. As the season progresses, with more game data collected (> 12 games each team) the predicted elevations can be used to predict approximate score differentials for up-coming games.

This week, Blaine HS is rated no.1 in MN/WI/ND/SD




Code: Select all

LSQRank 30-NOV-2016  Girls HS

LSQRANK State Tier Score                              Team      LG      SEC CLS     GP (WW-LL-TT) percent
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     1  MN     HS  1000.0000                        Blaine      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
     2  MN     HS   999.0630                    Centennial      MnHSHL   5  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
     3  MN     HS   998.8284                         Edina      MnHSHL   6  AA      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
     4  MN     HS   998.6476                    MapleGrove      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
     5  MN     HS   998.3613                         Breck      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 5- 1- 0) 0.833  
     6  MN     HS   998.2833                   EdenPrairie      MnHSHL   2  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
     7  MN     HS   998.2571                   Hill-Murray      MnHSHL   4  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
     8  MN     HS   998.0793            ElkRiver/Zimmerman      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
     9  MN     HS   997.1946                         Blake      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 4- 1- 1) 0.750  
    10  MN     HS   996.3830          Brainerd/LittleFalls      MnHSHL   8  AA      2  ( 2- 0- 0) 1.000 
	                                                                           
    11  MN     HS   995.5580               Delano/Rockford      MnHSHL   6   A      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
    12  MN     HS   994.9877                 WhiteBearLake      MnHSHL   4  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    13  MN     HS   994.9798                         Eagan      MnHSHL   3  AA      4  ( 3- 0- 1) 0.875  
    14  MN     HS   994.9299                        Roseau      MnHSHL   8  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    15  MN     HS   994.9028                LakevilleNorth      MnHSHL   1  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    16  MN     HS   994.7943                    Minnetonka      MnHSHL   2  AA      4  ( 1- 1- 2) 0.500  
    17  MN     HS   994.7781               ThiefRiverFalls      MnHSHL   8   A      7  ( 7- 0- 0) 1.000  
    18  MN     HS   994.7623                    MoundsView      MnHSHL   4  AA      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    19  MN     HS   994.7610                   SouthStPaul      MnHSHL   4   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    20  MN     HS   994.6479                LakevilleSouth      MnHSHL   1  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    21  MN     HS   994.6208                    ForestLake      MnHSHL   7  AA      2  ( 1- 0- 1) 0.750  
    22  MN     HS   994.6207                    Hutchinson      MnHSHL   2   A      4  ( 4- 0- 0) 1.000  
    23  MN     HS   994.3068     SpringLakePark/CoonRapids      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    24  MN     HS   994.0860                       Wayzata      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    25  MN     HS   994.0513             NorthWrightCounty      MnHSHL   8  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600 
	                                                                           
    26  MN     HS   993.9416                      Shakopee      MnHSHL   2  AA      5  ( 2- 0- 3) 0.700  
    27  MN     HS   993.8760                       Warroad      MnHSHL   8   A      5  ( 2- 2- 1) 0.500  
    28  MN     HS   993.8602             Cretin-DerhamHall      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 2- 2- 1) 0.500  
    29  MN     HS   993.8022                 St.PaulUnited      MnHSHL   4   A      9  ( 7- 1- 1) 0.833  
    30  MN     HS   993.7119                EastGrandForks      MnHSHL   8   A      5  ( 4- 0- 1) 0.900  
    31  MN     HS   993.6896                  Hopkins/Park      MnHSHL   6  AA      7  ( 5- 2- 0) 0.714  
    32  MN     HS   993.6031                    Alexandria      MnHSHL   6   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
    33  MN     HS   993.5321                      Eastview      MnHSHL   3  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    34  MN     HS   993.5293             Chaska/Chanhassen      MnHSHL   2  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    35  MN     HS   993.4944                 MoundWestonka      MnHSHL   2  AA      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
    36  MN     HS   993.4750                    RiverLakes      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    37  MN     HS   993.3900                   AppleValley      MnHSHL   3  AA      6  ( 4- 2- 0) 0.667  
    38  MN     HS   993.3588          GrandRapids/Greenway      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    39  MN     HS   993.3058                       Andover      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    40  MN     HS   993.1322         MooseLake-WillowRiver      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
    41  MN     HS   992.9827                     EastRidge      MnHSHL   3  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    42  MN     HS   992.7720                      St.Cloud      MnHSHL   8  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    43  MN     HS   992.7620            Proctor/Hermantown      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    44  MN     HS   992.6848                    Farmington      MnHSHL   1  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    45  MN     HS   992.6834         Benilde-St.Margaret's      MnHSHL   6  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
    46  MN     HS   992.6313              Hibbing/Chisholm      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    47  MN     HS   992.5747                     PriorLake      MnHSHL   2  AA      8  ( 3- 4- 1) 0.438  
    48  MN     HS   992.4015                     Roseville      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    49  MN     HS   992.3128                    Burnsville      MnHSHL   3  AA      6  ( 2- 3- 1) 0.417  
    50  MN     HS   992.3086            HolyFamily/Waconia      MnHSHL   2  AA      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300 
	                                                                           
    51  MN     HS   992.2910                      Moorhead      MnHSHL   8  AA      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
    52  MN     HS   992.1896            Sartell/SaukRapids      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    53  MN     HS   992.1368                        Rogers      MnHSHL   5  AA      6  ( 4- 1- 1) 0.750  
    54  MN     HS   992.0898                    Northfield      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
    55  MN     HS   992.0322                    Stillwater      MnHSHL   4  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    56  MN     HS   991.9728  RochesterJohnMarshall/Lourde      MnHSHL   1  AA      7  ( 4- 3- 0) 0.571  
    57  MN     HS   991.9247                     NewPrague      MnHSHL   2   A      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300  
    58  MN     HS   991.9001                   DodgeCounty      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    59  MN     HS   991.8839                  ChamplinPark      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    60  MN     HS   991.8160                     Princeton      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 5- 1- 0) 0.833  
    61  WI     HS   991.6745                St.CroixValley      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 0- 1) 0.750  
    62  MN     HS   991.6486                         Orono      MnHSHL   2   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    63  MN     HS   991.6445                  North/Tartan      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    64  MN     HS   991.5670                    St.Francis      MnHSHL   7  AA      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    65  ND     HS   991.5126                      Bismarck      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 1- 0- 0) 1.000  
    66  MN     HS   991.2247                 PrairieCentre      MnHSHL   6   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
    67  MN     HS   991.2075              Cambridge-Isanti      MnHSHL   7  AA      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
    68  WI     HS   991.1838              CentralWisconsin      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 5- 0- 0) 1.000  
    69  MN     HS   990.9842                         Anoka      MnHSHL   5  AA      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
    70  WI     HS   990.8819                        Hudson      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
    71  MN     HS   990.8152                       Buffalo      MnHSHL   8  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    72  MN     HS   990.7950                       RedWing      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    73  WI     HS   990.7448             EauClaire-Altoona      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
    74  WI     HS   990.5651                       BayArea      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    75  MN     HS   990.4773            InternationalFalls      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 3- 1- 0) 0.750  
	                                                                           
    76  MN     HS   990.4494                DuluthMarshall      MnHSHL   7   A      6  ( 2- 2- 2) 0.500  
    77  MN     HS   990.3690                   Minneapolis      MnHSHL   5   A      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
    78  WI     HS   990.3457                     FondduLac      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    79  MN     HS   990.3403            ParkofCottageGrove      MnHSHL   3  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    80  WI     HS   990.2433                    WesternWis      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 2- 1- 1) 0.625  
    81  MN     HS   990.1780                        NewUlm      MnHSHL   2   A      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    82  WI     HS   989.9642                  HaywardCo-Op      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
    83  MN     HS   989.9365                  Totino-Grace      MnHSHL   5   A      5  ( 0- 4- 1) 0.100  
    84  MN     HS   989.8718   RobbinsdaleArmstrong/Cooper      MnHSHL   6  AA      7  ( 1- 4- 2) 0.286  
    85  MN     HS   989.8313                      Irondale      MnHSHL   4  AA      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
    86  ND     HS   989.7986                     WestFargo      NDHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    87  MN     HS   989.7455          Cloquet-Esko-Carlton      MnHSHL   7  AA      2  ( 0- 2- 0) 0.000  
    88  MN     HS   989.5803          BloomingtonJefferson      MnHSHL   2  AA      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
    89  MN     HS   989.5771                   MankatoEast      MnHSHL   3   A      5  ( 4- 1- 0) 0.800  
    90  MN     HS   989.5421                      Owatonna      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
    91  WI     HS   989.4249                    RockCounty      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
    92  MN     HS   989.3699                     Rosemount      MnHSHL   3  AA      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    93  MN     HS   989.3013                  ChisagoLakes      MnHSHL   5   A      4  ( 0- 4- 0) 0.000  
    94  MN     HS   989.1100                    HolyAngels      MnHSHL   5   A      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
    95  MN     HS   989.0463                      Woodbury      MnHSHL   4  AA      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
    96  MN     HS   989.0284                      Hastings      MnHSHL   3  AA      7  ( 1- 6- 0) 0.143  
    97  MN     HS   988.9741                 RochesterMayo      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
    98  ND     HS   988.8190              FargoNorth/South      NDHSHL   0   A      2  ( 2- 0- 0) 1.000  
    99  MN     HS   988.7000                     Faribault      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   100  MN     HS   988.6598                   HenrySibley      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
                                                                            
   101  MN     HS   988.5126                   FergusFalls      MnHSHL   6   A      6  ( 3- 3- 0) 0.500  
   102  MN     HS   988.4473                        Duluth      MnHSHL   7  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   103  MN     HS   988.1994                     Mahtomedi      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   104  MN     HS   987.8903                       Luverne      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   105  MN     HS   987.7186                       Willmar      MnHSHL   6   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   106  MN     HS   987.6595                       Bemidji      MnHSHL   8  AA      7  ( 0- 7- 0) 0.000  
   107  MN     HS   987.5826                    NorthMetro      MnHSHL   6  AA      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   108  WI     HS   987.5594              SuperiorSpartans      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   109  MN     HS   987.4798                      St.Peter      MnHSHL   2   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   110  ON     HS   987.4773               FortFrances(ON)      ONHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   111  WI     HS   987.3654            Point-Rapids/Marsh      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   112  WI     HS   987.1786                   USMWildcats      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 0- 2- 1) 0.167  
   113  MN     HS   987.0305                        Simley      MnHSHL   4   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   114  MN     HS   987.0130                      Fairmont      MnHSHL   3   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
   115  WI     HS   986.9818               SunPrairieCo-op      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 0- 1- 1) 0.250  
   116  WI     HS   986.8698               BlackRiverFalls      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 1- 1- 0) 0.500  
   117  MN     HS   986.7239               Eveleth-Gilbert      MnHSHL   7   A      4  ( 0- 4- 0) 0.000  
   118  MN     HS   986.6828                    NorthShore      MnHSHL   7   A      5  ( 1- 3- 1) 0.300  
   119  WI     HS   986.6072                     MetroLynx      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 1- 1- 1) 0.500  
   120  MN     HS   986.4077                        Austin      MnHSHL   1   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   121  MN     HS   986.3257                   MankatoWest      MnHSHL   3   A      5  ( 2- 3- 0) 0.400  
   122  MN     HS   986.2883                 NorthernLakes      MnHSHL   6   A      5  ( 1- 4- 0) 0.200  
   123  MN     HS   986.1653              RochesterCentury      MnHSHL   1  AA      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   124  MN     HS   986.1358                        Windom      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
   125  MN     HS   986.1057                 St.PaulBlades      MnHSHL   4   A      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167 
                                                                            
   126  WI     HS   986.0453                      Onalaska      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
   127  MN     HS   985.8601               MinnehahaUnited      MnHSHL   4   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
   128  ND     HS   985.7986                    DevilsLake      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   129  WI     HS   985.7798                AppletonUnited      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 1- 2- 2) 0.400  
   130  MN     HS   985.7736      Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato      MnHSHL   2   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   131  WI     HS   985.4287            LakeshoreLightning      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 3- 2- 0) 0.600  
   132  WI     HS   985.1616                       Viroqua      WiHSHL   0   A      1  ( 1- 0- 0) 1.000  
   133  ND     HS   985.1414                   FargoDavies      NDHSHL   0   A      3  ( 3- 0- 0) 1.000  
   134  MN     HS   985.1296                  DetroitLakes      MnHSHL   8   A      6  ( 1- 5- 0) 0.167  
   135  WI     HS   985.0957                NorthlandPines      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   136  WI     HS   984.3146                       Waupaca      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 0- 3- 1) 0.125  
   137  MN     HS   984.3077                      Marshall      MnHSHL   3   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   138  WI     HS   984.2318                    Brookfield      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 2- 1- 0) 0.667  
   139  ND     HS   984.1414                    GrandForks      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   140  MN     HS   983.8192                    ParkRapids      MnHSHL   8  AA      6  ( 2- 4- 0) 0.333  
   141  MN     HS   983.8190                     Crookston      MnHSHL   8   A      7  ( 1- 6- 0) 0.143  
   142  MN     HS   983.0945                        Waseca      MnHSHL   1   A      4  ( 2- 2- 0) 0.500  
   143  WI     HS   982.8024       ChippewaFalls/Menomonie      WiHSHL   0   A      2  ( 0- 2- 0) 0.000  
   144  WI     HS   982.5978               BadgerLightning      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   145  MN     HS   981.4659                     AlbertLea      MnHSHL   1   A      3  ( 1- 2- 0) 0.333  
   146  WI     HS   980.9900                     Arrowhead      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   147  WI     HS   980.2767                 WSFLGBlizzard      WiHSHL   0   A      4  ( 1- 3- 0) 0.250  
   148  WI     HS   979.1616                      Icebergs      WiHSHL   0   A      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   149  ND     HS   978.8190                     Jamestown      NDHSHL   0   A      1  ( 0- 1- 0) 0.000  
   150  MN     HS   978.7262                        Winona      MnHSHL   1   A      5  ( 0- 5- 0) 0.000  
   151  MN     HS   978.3711                   Worthington      MnHSHL   3   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   152  WI     HS   977.5651            BeaverDam/Randolph      WiHSHL   0   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  
   153  MN     HS   977.4228                 Morris/Benson      MnHSHL   6   A      3  ( 0- 3- 0) 0.000  

Done LSQ solution.
I found this an interesting ranking. I grabbed a top ten team here which was Breck. Checked their SOS (KRACH)ranking and they were ranked at 61 out of 90, but 6 here. Not sure if this ranking is worth anything. But in my opinion the KRACH is more indicative of what true reality is...Regardless as the season goes for this to clear up. That's not to say Breck is 61either, but based on who they played the KRACH ranking seems a lot more sensible/reliable.

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2016 11:33 pm
by LSQRANK
itsfoilcoach .... I agree early in the season there is not enough data to form a strong network solution that why I noted that you need greater than 12 connection per team before prediction are close. Just for kicks, if you follow NCAA college football, I have been running the data week by week for Jason Gay at the Wall Street Journal. Below is the current top 25 according to LSQRank's basic method.

Code: Select all

  1  BIG10            NCAA  1000.0000            OhioState  12  (11- 1- 0) 0.917  
  2  BIG10            NCAA   999.5037             Michigan  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  3  SEC              NCAA   998.0501              Alabama  12  (12- 0- 0) 1.000  
  4  PAC12            NCAA   991.3154           Washington  12  (11- 1- 0) 0.917  
  5  ACC              NCAA   987.6430              Clemson  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  6  BIG10            NCAA   986.3558            Wisconsin  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  7  PAC12            NCAA   985.3126             Colorado  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  8  ACC              NCAA   984.8831           Louisville  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
  9  BIG10            NCAA   984.1264            PennState  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
 10  BIG12            NCAA   983.9717             Oklahoma  11  ( 9- 2- 0) 0.818  
 
 11  PAC12            NCAA   983.6768                  USC  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 12  SEC              NCAA   983.6632                  LSU  11  ( 7- 4- 0) 0.636  
 13  SEC              NCAA   982.4713               Auburn  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 14  PAC12            NCAA   982.1432      WashingtonState  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 15  ACC              NCAA   980.7629         FloridaState  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 16  ACC              NCAA   978.4621            Miami(FL)  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 17  ACC              NCAA   978.0544         VirginiaTech  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 18  BIG12            NCAA   978.0396         WestVirginia  11  ( 9- 2- 0) 0.818  
 19  BIG10            NCAA   977.7052                 Iowa  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 20  BIG12            NCAA   977.6917        OklahomaState  11  ( 9- 2- 0) 0.818  
 21  PAC12            NCAA   977.4440             Stanford  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 22  MidAmerican      NCAA   976.9740      WesternMichigan  12  (12- 0- 0) 1.000  
 23  AAC              NCAA   976.8586              Houston  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 24  SEC              NCAA   976.5270             TexasA&M  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 25  BIG12            NCAA   975.4247          KansasState  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  


  1  BIG10            NCAA  1000.0000            OhioState  12  (11- 1- 0) 0.917  
  2  BIG10            NCAA   999.5037             Michigan  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  6  BIG10            NCAA   986.3558            Wisconsin  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
  9  BIG10            NCAA   984.1264            PennState  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
 19  BIG10            NCAA   977.7052                 Iowa  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 32  BIG10            NCAA   973.8304         Northwestern  12  ( 6- 6- 0) 0.500  
 39  BIG10            NCAA   972.8583            Minnesota  12  ( 8- 4- 0) 0.667  
 41  BIG10            NCAA   972.1005             Nebraska  12  ( 9- 3- 0) 0.750  
 48  BIG10            NCAA   968.7825        MichiganState  12  ( 3- 9- 0) 0.250  
 56  BIG10            NCAA   966.5297              Indiana  12  ( 6- 6- 0) 0.500  
 72  BIG10            NCAA   961.8107             Maryland  12  ( 6- 6- 0) 0.500  
 82  BIG10            NCAA   957.2246             Illinois  12  ( 3- 9- 0) 0.250  
 97  BIG10            NCAA   952.0276               Purdue  12  ( 3- 9- 0) 0.250  
108  BIG10            NCAA   948.7433              Rutgers  12  ( 2-10- 0) 0.167

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2016 11:49 pm
by LSQRANK
itsfoilcoach ...

Last year during both the Boys & Girls Mn Hockey sectionals, LSQRank was consistently better than the human experts in predicting seeded winners, and often got the resulting score differential nuts on

I just checked the LasVegas betting line on the Wis Badgers vs Penn State game its at 2.5 pt differential

LSQRank has a ~ 2.2 pt differential, coincidence? I think not.

Code: Select all

 6  BIG10            NCAA   986.3558            Wisconsin  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833  
 9  BIG10            NCAA   984.1264            PennState  12  (10- 2- 0) 0.833

Re: 30-NOV-2016 LSQRank Girls HS Computerized ranking

Posted: Thu Dec 01, 2016 7:02 am
by nu2hockey
[quote="

Done LSQ solution.
[/code][/quote] I found this an interesting ranking. I grabbed a top ten team here which was Breck. Checked their SOS (KRACH)ranking and they were ranked at 61 out of 90, but 6 here. Not sure if this ranking is worth anything. But in my opinion the KRACH is more indicative of what true reality is...Regardless as the season goes for this to clear up. That's not to say Breck is 61either, but based on who they played the KRACH ranking seems a lot more sensible/reliable.[/quote]


The math aside, LSQRank and KRACH start each team as equal. Then, based on the games and whatever info the formula quantifies, the two systems form an ordered list ...i.e. teams. This is absent the "human filter" such as legacy, roster , etc...

Each has its own unique method of determining their list..

Interesting that you chose Breck, Breck losing to BSM really sets them back in the lists..Then BSM goes to lose 4 straight..However, Breck really comes on in its later games, scoring lots of goals..LSQRANK appears to recognize such and places Breck higher( actually close to what they should be if all the "human filters" are recognized)

At years end, the two are almost identical but come to their respective conclusions differently.
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