2014 LSQRANK ratings - updated 26-JAN-2014 (Overall A &
Posted: Mon Jan 27, 2014 11:01 pm
Ran the Least Squares program on the data yesterday. TRFs dropped significantly after its one and first lose of the season, as did EGFs with its tie to Bemidji. EP looking strong, but realistically there is little or no difference between teams with a GD differential smaller than about 0.6 (approx 1/2 goal)
Code: Select all
LSQRANK Team SEC Score GD SOS PPc PKc ADJPTS (W - L-T) percent
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1 EdenPrairie 2 AA EP 0.16 0.0 0.88 25.5 85.7 1.2 (15- 6-0) 0.714
2 HillMurray 4 AA HM 25.24 0.3 0.78 26.7 96.3 1.3 (19- 3-0) 0.864
3 BSM 6 AA BSM 34.48 0.3 0.84 45.8 71.4 1.5 (18- 2-1) 0.881
4 Hopkins 6 AA HOP 43.20 0.4 0.86 28.9 85.9 1.5 (21- 3-0) 0.875
5 Edina 2 AA EDN 44.96 0.4 0.89 30.9 83.6 1.2 (15- 6-2) 0.696
6 Minnetonka 6 AA MTK 66.95 0.7 0.90 33.3 80.8 1.5 (16- 2-2) 0.850
7 Wayzata 6 AA WYZ 75.19 0.8 0.86 42.6 83.6 1.2 (16- 6-1) 0.717
8 DodgeCounty 1 AA DC 108.18 1.1 0.75 28.4 88.5 1.1 (19- 5-0) 0.792
9 Achiever 4 A ACH 128.87 1.3 0.78 23.9 87.8 1.2 (18- 4-1) 0.804
10 LakevilleS 1 AA LVS 149.30 1.5 0.84 29.1 87.9 1.1 (16- 7-0) 0.696
11 Burnsville 3 AA BNV 159.27 1.6 0.83 27.2 85.7 1.0 (14- 8-1) 0.630
12 MapleGrove 6 AA MG 159.93 1.6 0.82 27.5 84.3 1.1 (14- 5-2) 0.714
13 LakevilleN 1 AA LVN 160.65 1.6 0.85 15.4 90.9 1.2 (15- 5-2) 0.727
14 Stillwater 4 AA STW 161.83 1.6 0.83 24.1 71.4 1.1 (15- 6-1) 0.705
15 Blaine 5 AA BLA 175.06 1.8 0.80 22.1 88.6 1.3 (18- 3-2) 0.826
16 EastGrandForks 8 A EGF 175.28 1.8 0.72 27.5 93.3 1.3 (21- 1-1) 0.935
17 Irondale 5 AA IRO 185.49 1.9 0.77 41.2 73.3 1.2 (18- 5-0) 0.783
18 ThiefRiverFalls 8 A TRF 191.47 1.9 0.74 22.9 95.1 1.4 (21- 1-0) 0.955
19 MoundsView 5 AA MSV 223.77 2.2 0.83 40.8 81.5 0.9 (12- 8-3) 0.587
20 Andover 7 AA AND 232.13 2.3 0.81 34.0 83.3 0.9 (12- 7-2) 0.619
21 EastRidge 3 AA ERG 237.65 2.4 0.76 25.8 82.7 1.0 (15- 7-1) 0.674
22 Eagan 3 AA EAG 238.27 2.4 0.85 29.4 73.1 0.7 ( 9-12-1) 0.432
23 Warroad 8 A WAR 242.05 2.4 0.78 16.0 78.3 0.8 (12- 9-1) 0.568
24 Eastview 3 AA EVW 242.84 2.4 0.82 16.7 67.9 1.0 (14- 8-1) 0.630
25 CDH 4 AA CDH 245.82 2.5 0.82 41.2 53.1 1.0 (15- 8-0) 0.652
26 BloomJeff 2 AA BLJ 248.70 2.5 0.83 33.3 84.4 1.1 (15- 7-1) 0.674
27 RochesterCENT 1 AA RCT 249.48 2.5 0.63 39.2 76.0 1.0 (19- 3-0) 0.864
28 Roseville 4 AA ROS 266.17 2.7 0.81 14.8 81.8 1.0 (14- 8-0) 0.636
29 ArmstrongCooper 6 AA ARM 270.80 2.7 0.82 28.8 83.9 0.9 (12- 8-2) 0.591
30 ElkRiver 7 AA ER 275.73 2.8 0.81 22.9 79.7 0.9 (12- 7-4) 0.609
31 StCloud 8 AA STC 280.11 2.8 0.68 21.2 80.4 1.0 (17- 4-1) 0.795
32 RochesterJM 1 AA RJM 284.74 2.8 0.65 30.0 93.0 1.0 (18- 4-0) 0.818
33 Roseau 8 AA RSU 287.25 2.9 0.78 14.0 79.6 0.8 (13-11-0) 0.542
34 Orono 5 A ORO 296.46 3.0 0.74 13.6 80.7 0.9 (12- 6-2) 0.650
35 Buffalo 8 AA BUF 296.73 3.0 0.80 24.7 78.5 0.8 (11-10-1) 0.523
36 Blake 5 A BLK 301.61 3.0 0.80 21.4 77.3 1.1 (16- 6-0) 0.727
37 Centennial 5 AA CEN 303.89 3.0 0.84 21.6 70.5 0.8 ( 9-10-2) 0.476
38 RedWing 1 A RW 305.84 3.1 0.74 45.0 90.0 1.0 (16- 6-0) 0.727
39 Bismark 1 ND BIS 306.24 3.1 0.64 0.0 100.0 1.1 ( 5- 1-0) 0.833
40 AppleValley 3 AA APV 312.62 3.1 0.84 17.1 70.0 0.5 ( 7-14-1) 0.341
41 ChamplinPark 5 AA CHP 313.50 3.1 0.82 25.0 73.2 0.6 ( 9-13-0) 0.409
42 Chaska 2 AA CHK 342.19 3.4 0.79 11.7 84.3 1.0 (14- 7-1) 0.659
43 Hanover 1 NH HAN 343.13 3.4 0.74 0.0 0.0 0.9 ( 2- 1-0) 0.667
44 Anoka 5 AA ANK 353.32 3.5 0.83 25.0 77.6 0.6 ( 8-13-1) 0.386
45 Hastings 3 AA HAS 375.01 3.8 0.80 23.7 75.8 0.8 (11-10-1) 0.523
46 Bemidji 8 AA BMJ 377.58 3.8 0.77 7.3 80.4 0.6 ( 8-10-3) 0.452
47 SouthStPaul 4 A SSP 390.76 3.9 0.75 13.9 87.2 0.9 (13- 6-2) 0.667
48 SSR 8 AA SSR 391.81 3.9 0.70 23.3 93.3 1.0 (15- 4-3) 0.750
49 HolyFamily 2 AA HF 399.67 4.0 0.77 11.9 84.2 0.7 (11-10-0) 0.524
50 GrandRapids 7 AA GR 407.78 4.1 0.76 19.7 82.8 0.8 (12- 9-2) 0.565
51 WhiteBearLake 4 AA WBL 408.70 4.1 0.80 20.6 81.8 0.7 ( 9-11-3) 0.457
52 NorthWRCTY 8 AA NWC 418.29 4.2 0.75 16.2 80.0 0.8 (11- 8-2) 0.571
53 Breck 5 A BRK 426.71 4.3 0.81 18.0 86.4 0.7 ( 9-13-1) 0.413
54 ForestLake 7 AA FL 427.56 4.3 0.81 16.7 85.0 0.5 ( 7-14-1) 0.341
55 Farmington 1 AA FAM 431.80 4.3 0.72 13.3 77.8 0.6 (11-11-1) 0.500
56 Duluth 7 AA DUL 435.09 4.4 0.72 7.3 75.7 0.6 (10-11-1) 0.477
57 SpringLakePark 5 AA SLK 436.27 4.4 0.69 34.4 61.4 0.8 (14- 7-1) 0.659
58 ParkCG 3 AA PCG 437.76 4.4 0.80 17.2 85.1 0.3 ( 4-17-2) 0.217
59 PriorLake 2 AA PRL 449.03 4.5 0.82 11.1 77.9 0.4 ( 5-18-0) 0.217
60 MoundWestonka 5 A MWT 460.33 4.6 0.71 12.3 80.8 0.8 (12- 7-3) 0.614
61 FargoWest 1 ND FW 474.52 4.7 0.66 11.1 77.8 0.8 ( 7- 3-0) 0.700
62 Alexandria 6 A ALX 479.07 4.8 0.69 17.9 89.1 0.7 (11- 9-1) 0.548
63 ProctorHerm 7 A PRH 488.28 4.9 0.68 17.9 85.5 0.7 (13-10-0) 0.565
64 Rogers 5 AA ROG 497.91 5.0 0.71 22.2 83.3 0.7 (11- 8-2) 0.571
65 Cloquet 7 AA CLQ 498.95 5.0 0.77 13.1 80.9 0.5 ( 6-14-1) 0.310
66 NewPrague 1 A NP 501.98 5.0 0.70 13.2 84.1 0.7 (12-11-0) 0.522
67 CoonRapids 5 AA CR 502.38 5.0 0.82 12.3 57.6 0.3 ( 3-16-3) 0.205
68 RiverLakes 8 AA RL 505.37 5.1 0.67 15.2 75.9 0.8 (12- 8-0) 0.600
69 Tartan 4 AA TAR 516.26 5.2 0.73 16.0 66.7 0.7 (10-10-0) 0.500
LSQRANK Team SEC Score GD SOS PPc PKc ADJPTS (W - L-T) percent
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70 Owatonna 1 AA OWT 517.66 5.2 0.59 23.7 93.0 0.7 (14- 7-0) 0.667
71 NorthStPaul 4 AA NSP 518.20 5.2 0.78 16.2 75.9 0.5 ( 7-14-1) 0.341
72 SPAVIS 4 A SPU 518.91 5.2 0.71 14.6 81.8 0.8 (12- 8-2) 0.591
73 ChisagoLakes 4 A CHL 523.52 5.2 0.70 22.8 81.2 0.5 ( 9-13-0) 0.409
74 USMW 1 WI USM 528.20 5.3 0.58 4.8 87.5 0.9 ( 6- 1-1) 0.813
75 NewUlm 3 A NU 534.48 5.3 0.52 22.8 83.0 0.6 (15- 6-0) 0.714
76 Shakopee 2 AA SHK 534.61 5.3 0.75 18.4 78.3 0.6 ( 8-12-3) 0.413
77 FortFrances 1 ON FFR 538.74 5.4 0.55 0.0 50.0 0.9 ( 8- 1-0) 0.889
78 TotinoGrace 5 A TG 542.34 5.4 0.73 22.5 85.2 0.7 (11-10-1) 0.523
79 Hibbing 7 A HIB 544.72 5.4 0.67 21.6 91.5 0.7 (11- 9-2) 0.545
80 Mahtomedi 4 A MAH 555.50 5.6 0.70 21.0 85.9 0.6 (11-11-1) 0.500
81 CentralWIS 1 WI CWI 560.57 5.6 0.67 12.5 95.2 0.8 ( 4- 3-1) 0.563
82 StFrancis 7 AA STF 575.49 5.8 0.66 18.4 80.3 0.5 ( 8-11-4) 0.435
83 Hayward 1 WI HAY 589.26 5.9 0.63 20.4 87.0 0.8 ( 9- 5-0) 0.643
84 MooseLake 7 A MOO 589.66 5.9 0.60 18.3 83.7 0.7 (13- 8-2) 0.609
85 Woodbury 3 AA WBY 606.61 6.1 0.78 13.9 71.6 0.4 ( 6-16-1) 0.283
86 FergusFalls 6 A FF 631.85 6.3 0.67 38.5 73.1 0.5 ( 7-12-2) 0.381
87 MankatoEast 2 A MKE 632.73 6.3 0.61 20.0 82.1 0.7 (13- 8-0) 0.619
88 Onalaska 1 WI ONA 639.79 6.4 0.69 28.0 82.4 0.6 ( 4- 4-0) 0.500
89 Princeton 5 A PRC 641.53 6.4 0.60 16.1 78.6 0.6 (14- 9-0) 0.609
90 IFALLS 7 A IFS 642.86 6.4 0.57 19.4 89.4 0.5 (12- 9-2) 0.565
91 StCroix 1 WI SCX 653.79 6.5 0.65 31.3 91.9 0.7 ( 7- 6-1) 0.536
92 NewRichmond 1 WI NEW 670.60 6.7 0.63 25.0 80.0 0.3 ( 1- 4-0) 0.200
93 MplsNovas 5 A MPL 675.40 6.8 0.64 15.1 74.7 0.5 ( 8-10-1) 0.447
94 Moorhead 8 AA MOR 693.14 6.9 0.76 26.4 77.6 0.5 ( 6-12-1) 0.342
95 Hudson 1 WI HUD 697.26 7.0 0.62 18.4 81.3 0.6 ( 5- 4-2) 0.545
96 NorthMetro 6 AA NM 702.07 7.0 0.82 5.6 73.1 0.2 ( 3-19-0) 0.136
97 Cambridge 7 AA CAM 707.22 7.1 0.71 5.4 75.0 0.3 ( 4-17-0) 0.190
98 WSFLG 1 WI WSF 710.83 7.1 0.59 21.4 75.0 0.4 ( 4- 6-1) 0.409
99 Northfield 1 A NF 716.17 7.2 0.64 8.9 87.1 0.4 ( 8-14-0) 0.364
100 DetroitLakes 6 A DL 720.57 7.2 0.61 9.7 76.1 0.5 ( 7- 8-4) 0.474
101 Rosemont 3 AA RSM 725.66 7.3 0.82 10.0 61.3 0.1 ( 1-21-0) 0.045
102 Sibley 4 A SIB 736.49 7.4 0.72 10.4 73.8 0.1 ( 2-20-0) 0.091
103 Simley 4 A SIM 737.17 7.4 0.70 9.3 70.8 0.3 ( 6-18-0) 0.250
104 LDC 2 A LDC 742.23 7.4 0.62 10.7 87.1 0.3 ( 7-13-0) 0.350
105 HolyAngels 5 A HA 783.84 7.8 0.68 12.7 77.1 0.4 ( 5-13-3) 0.310
106 Crookston 8 A CRK 787.43 7.9 0.70 9.8 90.9 0.3 ( 6-15-1) 0.295
107 FargoSouth 1 ND FS 793.99 7.9 0.67 7.1 53.3 0.2 ( 2- 8-0) 0.200
108 SunPraire 1 WI SUN 803.84 8.0 0.63 11.1 87.5 0.2 ( 1- 7-1) 0.167
109 StPaulBlades 4 A SPB 805.09 8.1 0.62 28.0 64.5 0.3 ( 4-12-4) 0.300
110 PequotLakes 6 A PLK 821.55 8.2 0.58 12.8 77.8 0.4 ( 8-13-0) 0.381
111 ParkRapids 8 A PR 827.89 8.3 0.59 12.5 74.3 0.3 ( 8-12-1) 0.405
112 GrandForks 1 ND GFK 837.51 8.4 0.72 0.0 83.3 0.3 ( 2- 5-0) 0.286
113 Brainard 8 AA BRN 839.68 8.4 0.72 5.4 73.8 0.0 ( 1-19-0) 0.050
114 Dryden 1 ON DRY 841.48 8.4 0.69 16.7 80.0 0.2 ( 1- 4-0) 0.200
115 MankatoWest 2 A MKW 843.37 8.4 0.58 19.2 78.8 0.3 ( 7-14-0) 0.333
116 Winona 1 A WNN 846.60 8.5 0.65 18.1 66.7 0.3 ( 6-15-0) 0.286
117 MHHAunited 4 A MHH 856.10 8.6 0.61 1.6 79.2 0.1 ( 2-16-1) 0.132
118 StLouisPark 6 AA SLP 862.92 8.6 0.66 14.1 74.7 0.2 ( 3-19-1) 0.152
119 Faribault 1 A FBL 867.98 8.7 0.57 11.9 84.9 0.3 ( 7-14-1) 0.341
120 Hutchinson 2 A HUT 875.25 8.8 0.59 6.1 75.9 0.3 ( 5-13-1) 0.289
121 Willmar 2 A WIL 877.08 8.8 0.59 10.0 71.9 0.2 ( 5-16-0) 0.238
122 FargoNorth 1 ND FN 888.50 8.9 0.71 0.0 75.0 0.0 ( 0- 9-0) 0.000
123 RochesterMayo 1 AA RMY 890.61 8.9 0.66 12.1 76.2 0.4 ( 6-15-0) 0.286
124 Luverne 3 A LUV 892.00 8.9 0.30 34.4 89.3 0.4 (15- 3-0) 0.833
125 AlbertLea 1 A ABL 901.31 9.0 0.61 12.5 69.0 0.3 ( 7-13-0) 0.350
126 Eveleth 7 A EVE 955.95 9.6 0.60 8.6 85.7 0.3 ( 5-16-2) 0.261
127 Austin 1 A AUS 958.15 9.6 0.58 6.0 83.3 0.2 ( 5-16-1) 0.250
128 SilverBay 7 A SLB 1012.19 10.1 0.59 8.7 65.9 0.1 ( 2-18-1) 0.119
129 Superior 1 WI SUP 1026.79 10.3 0.64 13.8 66.7 0.1 ( 1- 9-0) 0.100
130 LPGE 6 A LPG 1126.06 11.3 0.41 10.0 92.7 0.2 ( 8-13-1) 0.386
131 Waseca 1 A WAS 1159.24 11.6 0.35 15.8 86.0 0.1 ( 5- 8-1) 0.393
132 Marshall 3 A MAR 1220.15 12.2 0.32 15.0 80.0 0.1 ( 7-11-1) 0.395
133 Fairmont 3 A FMT 1296.14 13.0 0.26 14.8 87.5 0.1 ( 9- 8-0) 0.529
134 Brookings 1 SD BRO 1320.15 13.2 0.28 0.0 0.0 0.0 ( 0- 1-0) 0.000
135 StPeter 2 A STP 1330.47 13.3 0.43 11.6 76.1 0.1 ( 5-14-1) 0.275
136 LOW 8 A LOW 1371.80 13.7 0.52 0.0 81.3 0.0 ( 0-11-0) 0.000
137 Morris 6 A MOR 1656.14 16.6 0.38 9.1 91.7 0.0 ( 1- 9-0) 0.100
138 Windom 3 A WIN 1923.94 19.2 0.25 2.4 74.4 0.0 ( 3-14-1) 0.194
139 Worthington 3 A WOR 2316.00 23.2 0.28 4.8 54.5 0.0 ( 0-14-0) 0.000