AA Rankings for 1/20/13
Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 9:49 am
With only one month to go until sections, we’re heading into the final push for section seeds and high rankings. The top two spots seem to be solidifying, but beyond that, nothing is really settling into place quite yet. The simple truth is that this is one of the most wide-open races we’ve seen, and that we’ll have plenty of movement in the last few weeks of the season as well. But right now, this is where they stand:
1. Wayzata (15-2)
-While most of the rest of the top ten outside of the top two descends into turmoil, the Trojans simply keep on plugging along, as they nailed down two-goal wins over section rivals Holy Family and Eden Prairie. Their steadiness has been remarkable, yet the Lake schedule leaves them with no time to enjoy that success: this week, they bring two more top ten teams into the Plymouth Ice Center, including a section rival and one of the two teams to beat them. Two more wins would certainly silence the doubters here.
This week: Thurs vs. #6 Minnetonka, Sat vs. #7 Edina
2. Hill-Murray (14-2-1)
-The Pioneers rolled to two easy wins, including a demolition of decent Lakeville North. They are now deep into the Classic Suburban portion of their schedule, which should free them up for their share of stat-padding—except this coming Thursday, of course, when they take their third crack at the team with the best résumé in the state to date.
This week: Thurs vs. St. Thomas Academy, Sat vs. Tartan
3. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (12-5)
-One could pick names out of a hat in order to sort out the teams ranked 3-7 this week, and it would probably make as much sense as what I have here. Just when it seemed like the Red Knights were rounding into form, they saw a lead slip away in the frigid wind on Pokegama Lake and lost to Grand Rapids. Given the game conditions, I’m giving them something of a reprieve, but the losses are starting to mount here; they’re really only staying at #3 because of their very difficult schedule, and because I’m not quite convinced that any of the teams behind them deserve to move up this high. Their only game this week is against Elk River, whom they defeated 5-3 in late December.
This week: Tues vs. #14 Elk River
4. Eagan (13-3-1)
-The Wildcats sandwiched a narrow victory over Bloomington Jefferson between two blowout wins, which puts them comfortably atop the South Suburban. Their lack of games against teams in this elite tier really complicates their ranking, and another misstep will probably have them at the back of this pack. Seven of their last eight are in the conference; both of this week’s games should be wins, though Lakeville South gave them a good run back in December.
This week: Tues vs. Lakeville South, Thurs at Rosemount
5. Duluth East (13-4)
-The Hounds gave up a few more goals than they might have liked in their 3-game week, but they also found some offensive spark in back-to-back double digit wins. They’ve had their moments of doubt this season, but they do have wins over the two teams right below them, and if they can find a happy medium between the defensive dominance they showed earlier in the month and the scoring outburst this past week, they’ll be tough to beat. Up next is 7AA opponent Forest Lake, and who knows what they can expect out of Maple Grove this coming Saturday.
This week: Tues vs. Forest Lake, Sat vs. Maple Grove
6. Minnetonka (11-4-1)
-After a long stretch of less-than-convincing play, the Skippers rebounded this past week by scoring a big win at Edina and dispatching of Hopkins with relative ease. There’s a case for putting them higher, but then, one can make a case for just about anything in this part of the rankings, and I want a second big win before deciding to write off that tough stretch they went through. Their ugly loss to Benilde is their only section game to date, but that will change this coming week, as they face both Wayzata and Eden Prairie. Time to learn where this team belongs in the 6AA picture.
This week: Tues at Holy Angels, Thurs at #1 Wayzata, Sat vs. Eden Prairie
7. Edina (13-4)
-In this mess in the 3-7 range, someone has to drop by a seemingly unfair number of spots. The Hornets are the odd team out, largely because of their recent struggles—while all of their losses are quality losses, they have lost to the two teams immediately ahead of them, and their one win against a team in the top seven—Wayzata—was a long time ago. It’s not all bad news here: Edina has been known to go into slumps around this point in January, and Connor Hurley, who had been quiet lately, broke out of his slump with a big game against Holy Angels. But giving up 6 goals to the Stars isn’t exactly confidence-inspiring, either. A win over Wayzata would turn all of this around in a hurry.
This week: Thurs vs. Hopkins, Sat at #1 Wayzata
8. Centennial (13-3-1)
-The Cougars just keep on winning, and the victory over Jefferson is a nice added boost to the résumé as well. Though they’ll be favored in all three games this week, the Mounds View game could certainly be an interesting one, and we’ll see what sort of shape Maple Grove is in for the big 5AA match-up on Thursday.
This week: Tues vs. Mounds View, Thurs at Maple Grove, Sat vs. Champlin Park
9. Burnsville (9-7-1)
-Took care of business against the Lakevilles, which helps strengthen the weakest record among the top ten. On paper this is one of their easier weeks of South Suburban play, but with Eastview on the rise lately, they can’t take anything for granted.
This week: Tues vs. Rosemount, Sat vs. Eastview
10. Blaine (11-4-1)
-A host of suspensions took some of the drama out of the Bengals’ meeting with Maple Grove, and they coasted to some measure of revenge for that ugly loss in sections last season. They continue with a fairly easy stretch against Northwest Suburban teams this week, all in preparation for the early February meeting with Centennial.
This week: Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Armstrong, Sat at Osseo
11. Bloomington Jefferson (10-6)
-It was a tough week for the Jaguars, who dropped two one-goal games against top ten teams. Their competitiveness is a good sign, as is a tighter loss to Eagan the second time around, but it also shows they’re still on the outside looking in when it comes to the top ten. This week, they have rematches of their two biggest wins to date; if they can repeat those results, they should lock themselves into this section of the rankings, and could take some strides toward locking up a spot in the top 3 in 2AA.
This week: Tues at #12 Prior Lake, Thurs vs. Eden Prairie, Sat vs. Bloomington Kennedy
12. Prior Lake (10-6)
-The Lakers’ stint in the top ten was short-lived, and unsurprisingly, it was their offense that abandoned them in a loss to surging Eastview. The week ahead is a big moment for them; they lost to both Jefferson and South in their first meetings, and a second loss to Jefferson could really trouble their hopes to avoid Edina in the semifinal round of the playoffs.
This week: Tues vs. #11 Bloomington Jefferson, Sat at Lakeville South
13. Grand Rapids (11-4-3)
-A big overtime victory over Benilde vaults the Thunderhawks back into the top 15. This team has had its valleys this year, and a second tie against Cloquet proves they aren’t going to be sailing through sections. But they certainly have shown that they can beat anyone when they’re on, and this win should be enough to secure a top-3 seed in 7AA, at the very least. There’s a case for putting them higher, but there are just enough question marks here that one big outdoor win can’t get me to pull the trigger. With the two teams above them facing off this week, there’s a good chance they’ll be sliding up further fairly soon anyway. Their schedule over the last four weeks is rather sparse, with only six games, all against northern teams.
This week: Fri at International Falls
14. Elk River (11-7)
-Escaped a key section game against Andover with an overtime victory, and beat Champlin Park as well. It hasn’t always been pretty, but the Elks are doing what they need to do to stay relevant in the rankings. A huge test against Benilde looms; I’m curious to see what they make of it, especially after section opponent Rapids’ win over the Red Knights.
This week: Tues at #3 Benilde-St. Margaret’s, Thurs at Anoka
15. Holy Family (10-4)
-Played a pretty even game with Wayzata, which is a good sign for their chances heading into sections; the narrow loss actually makes me more satisfied with their place in the top 15 than any number of wins over conference opponents. They face three Class A teams this week, though one of them gave them a one-goal game the first time around, and Lourdes has some talent that could make things interesting, too.
This week: Tues at Litchfield-Dassel-Cokato, Thurs vs. Rochester Lourdes, Fri vs. Delano
The Next Ten
Cloquet (11-4-2)
-A second tie with Grand Rapids has the Jacks edging up the 7AA table, and a convincing win over a decent Denfeld squad is another big plus. They can lock up a spot in the top four in the section with a win over Andover in their only game this week, which falls on Tuesday.
Eastview (11-6)
-Two wins in a row over top teams for the surprising Lightning, who are doing a fine job of shutting down some quality opponents. We’ll see if they can keep the momentum going through the final month of South Suburban play. Burnsville poses this biggest challenge this week, though they can’t take Lakeville North for granted, either. If they knock off the Blaze, look out.
Eden Prairie (7-8-1)
-The Eagles are oddly consistent, though that isn’t really a good thing. Their last thirteen games have been decided by two goals or less, and in their last twelve, they have scored between one and four goals while giving up between one and four goals. All of this has come against a very difficult schedule, too. A below .500 season is becoming a distinct possibility, though all of these tough games mean they’ll never be short of opportunities to move up with a big win or two. This week they play at Jefferson, who beat them in December, and section opponent Minnetonka.
Maple Grove (9-8)
-Lost to Blaine, but the focus on the Crimson this week was off the ice, as the team must cope with a number of suspensions. The incident came at a very bad time, as they continue to face several top teams. Ranking teams in such situations is never easy, as one can logically argue that these games should be ignored as unrepresentative of a team’s abilities, or kept in play as punishment for their transgressions. I’ve settled for dropping them a few spots, though I will give them something of a pass on ugly results this week. For section seeding purposes, however, any losses this week—even to Anoka—should be taken into account.
Mounds View (11-4-2)
-Losing to Benilde is perfectly excusable, and the Mustangs hung with the Red Knights for longer than the 8-2 final score would suggest. The 5-1 loss to Cretin, however, is a second nasty loss to a Suburban East team. While they remain the class of the conference, losses like that make it very hard to consider them anything more than the best among a muddled group of borderline contenders.
White Bear Lake (7-7-1)
-With two one-goal losses to top ten teams and two comfortable wins against SEC competition in their last four, it looks like the youthful Bears are pulling it together. The week ahead is a huge one, with games against both Stillwater and Mounds View; they could be up to #2 or down to #5 or #6 in 4AA, depending on how those two go.
Brainerd (13-4)
-The streaking Warriors have won nine in a row, including wins over Moorhead and Roseau that suddenly have them sitting atop 8AA. They have a lot to do if they want to stay there—most notably this coming week, when they face a St. Cloud Tech team that beat them in December, plus a second Roseau game in eight days, with this one coming on the road. A perfect week would leave them in great shape for the top week in the section; a loss or two makes it very messy.
Moorhead (9-8-1)
-The Spuds restored some order this past week, ending a five-game skid with a win over previously undefeated East Grand Forks, and coasting to victory over Warroad. Only one game this week, but it’s a huge one, as they head up to Roseau to battle for positioning in 8AA.
Lakeville South (8-8)
-It wasn’t an overly impressive week for the Cougars, who gave up six to Burnsville and only narrowly defeated Rosemount. They kick off a very difficult two-week stretch on Tuesday when they visit Eagan, and Prior Lake also looms this week. Unless someone like Rochester Mayo knocks off the Lakevilles, there’s a decent chance the 1AA champion will not have a winning record in the regular season.
Roseau (10-6-1)
-The Rams’ offense abandoned them in consecutive shutout losses to East Grand Forks and Brainerd, though they atoned for that in a romp over St. Clout Tech. This week is their moment of truth, as both Moorhead and Brainerd make their way up to Memorial Arena—can they take move back to the top of 8AA, or will they drop out of the top 25?
On the bubble: Cretin-Derham Hall, Andover
As always, I appreciate your feedback. Until next week…
1. Wayzata (15-2)
-While most of the rest of the top ten outside of the top two descends into turmoil, the Trojans simply keep on plugging along, as they nailed down two-goal wins over section rivals Holy Family and Eden Prairie. Their steadiness has been remarkable, yet the Lake schedule leaves them with no time to enjoy that success: this week, they bring two more top ten teams into the Plymouth Ice Center, including a section rival and one of the two teams to beat them. Two more wins would certainly silence the doubters here.
This week: Thurs vs. #6 Minnetonka, Sat vs. #7 Edina
2. Hill-Murray (14-2-1)
-The Pioneers rolled to two easy wins, including a demolition of decent Lakeville North. They are now deep into the Classic Suburban portion of their schedule, which should free them up for their share of stat-padding—except this coming Thursday, of course, when they take their third crack at the team with the best résumé in the state to date.
This week: Thurs vs. St. Thomas Academy, Sat vs. Tartan
3. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (12-5)
-One could pick names out of a hat in order to sort out the teams ranked 3-7 this week, and it would probably make as much sense as what I have here. Just when it seemed like the Red Knights were rounding into form, they saw a lead slip away in the frigid wind on Pokegama Lake and lost to Grand Rapids. Given the game conditions, I’m giving them something of a reprieve, but the losses are starting to mount here; they’re really only staying at #3 because of their very difficult schedule, and because I’m not quite convinced that any of the teams behind them deserve to move up this high. Their only game this week is against Elk River, whom they defeated 5-3 in late December.
This week: Tues vs. #14 Elk River
4. Eagan (13-3-1)
-The Wildcats sandwiched a narrow victory over Bloomington Jefferson between two blowout wins, which puts them comfortably atop the South Suburban. Their lack of games against teams in this elite tier really complicates their ranking, and another misstep will probably have them at the back of this pack. Seven of their last eight are in the conference; both of this week’s games should be wins, though Lakeville South gave them a good run back in December.
This week: Tues vs. Lakeville South, Thurs at Rosemount
5. Duluth East (13-4)
-The Hounds gave up a few more goals than they might have liked in their 3-game week, but they also found some offensive spark in back-to-back double digit wins. They’ve had their moments of doubt this season, but they do have wins over the two teams right below them, and if they can find a happy medium between the defensive dominance they showed earlier in the month and the scoring outburst this past week, they’ll be tough to beat. Up next is 7AA opponent Forest Lake, and who knows what they can expect out of Maple Grove this coming Saturday.
This week: Tues vs. Forest Lake, Sat vs. Maple Grove
6. Minnetonka (11-4-1)
-After a long stretch of less-than-convincing play, the Skippers rebounded this past week by scoring a big win at Edina and dispatching of Hopkins with relative ease. There’s a case for putting them higher, but then, one can make a case for just about anything in this part of the rankings, and I want a second big win before deciding to write off that tough stretch they went through. Their ugly loss to Benilde is their only section game to date, but that will change this coming week, as they face both Wayzata and Eden Prairie. Time to learn where this team belongs in the 6AA picture.
This week: Tues at Holy Angels, Thurs at #1 Wayzata, Sat vs. Eden Prairie
7. Edina (13-4)
-In this mess in the 3-7 range, someone has to drop by a seemingly unfair number of spots. The Hornets are the odd team out, largely because of their recent struggles—while all of their losses are quality losses, they have lost to the two teams immediately ahead of them, and their one win against a team in the top seven—Wayzata—was a long time ago. It’s not all bad news here: Edina has been known to go into slumps around this point in January, and Connor Hurley, who had been quiet lately, broke out of his slump with a big game against Holy Angels. But giving up 6 goals to the Stars isn’t exactly confidence-inspiring, either. A win over Wayzata would turn all of this around in a hurry.
This week: Thurs vs. Hopkins, Sat at #1 Wayzata
8. Centennial (13-3-1)
-The Cougars just keep on winning, and the victory over Jefferson is a nice added boost to the résumé as well. Though they’ll be favored in all three games this week, the Mounds View game could certainly be an interesting one, and we’ll see what sort of shape Maple Grove is in for the big 5AA match-up on Thursday.
This week: Tues vs. Mounds View, Thurs at Maple Grove, Sat vs. Champlin Park
9. Burnsville (9-7-1)
-Took care of business against the Lakevilles, which helps strengthen the weakest record among the top ten. On paper this is one of their easier weeks of South Suburban play, but with Eastview on the rise lately, they can’t take anything for granted.
This week: Tues vs. Rosemount, Sat vs. Eastview
10. Blaine (11-4-1)
-A host of suspensions took some of the drama out of the Bengals’ meeting with Maple Grove, and they coasted to some measure of revenge for that ugly loss in sections last season. They continue with a fairly easy stretch against Northwest Suburban teams this week, all in preparation for the early February meeting with Centennial.
This week: Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Armstrong, Sat at Osseo
11. Bloomington Jefferson (10-6)
-It was a tough week for the Jaguars, who dropped two one-goal games against top ten teams. Their competitiveness is a good sign, as is a tighter loss to Eagan the second time around, but it also shows they’re still on the outside looking in when it comes to the top ten. This week, they have rematches of their two biggest wins to date; if they can repeat those results, they should lock themselves into this section of the rankings, and could take some strides toward locking up a spot in the top 3 in 2AA.
This week: Tues at #12 Prior Lake, Thurs vs. Eden Prairie, Sat vs. Bloomington Kennedy
12. Prior Lake (10-6)
-The Lakers’ stint in the top ten was short-lived, and unsurprisingly, it was their offense that abandoned them in a loss to surging Eastview. The week ahead is a big moment for them; they lost to both Jefferson and South in their first meetings, and a second loss to Jefferson could really trouble their hopes to avoid Edina in the semifinal round of the playoffs.
This week: Tues vs. #11 Bloomington Jefferson, Sat at Lakeville South
13. Grand Rapids (11-4-3)
-A big overtime victory over Benilde vaults the Thunderhawks back into the top 15. This team has had its valleys this year, and a second tie against Cloquet proves they aren’t going to be sailing through sections. But they certainly have shown that they can beat anyone when they’re on, and this win should be enough to secure a top-3 seed in 7AA, at the very least. There’s a case for putting them higher, but there are just enough question marks here that one big outdoor win can’t get me to pull the trigger. With the two teams above them facing off this week, there’s a good chance they’ll be sliding up further fairly soon anyway. Their schedule over the last four weeks is rather sparse, with only six games, all against northern teams.
This week: Fri at International Falls
14. Elk River (11-7)
-Escaped a key section game against Andover with an overtime victory, and beat Champlin Park as well. It hasn’t always been pretty, but the Elks are doing what they need to do to stay relevant in the rankings. A huge test against Benilde looms; I’m curious to see what they make of it, especially after section opponent Rapids’ win over the Red Knights.
This week: Tues at #3 Benilde-St. Margaret’s, Thurs at Anoka
15. Holy Family (10-4)
-Played a pretty even game with Wayzata, which is a good sign for their chances heading into sections; the narrow loss actually makes me more satisfied with their place in the top 15 than any number of wins over conference opponents. They face three Class A teams this week, though one of them gave them a one-goal game the first time around, and Lourdes has some talent that could make things interesting, too.
This week: Tues at Litchfield-Dassel-Cokato, Thurs vs. Rochester Lourdes, Fri vs. Delano
The Next Ten
Cloquet (11-4-2)
-A second tie with Grand Rapids has the Jacks edging up the 7AA table, and a convincing win over a decent Denfeld squad is another big plus. They can lock up a spot in the top four in the section with a win over Andover in their only game this week, which falls on Tuesday.
Eastview (11-6)
-Two wins in a row over top teams for the surprising Lightning, who are doing a fine job of shutting down some quality opponents. We’ll see if they can keep the momentum going through the final month of South Suburban play. Burnsville poses this biggest challenge this week, though they can’t take Lakeville North for granted, either. If they knock off the Blaze, look out.
Eden Prairie (7-8-1)
-The Eagles are oddly consistent, though that isn’t really a good thing. Their last thirteen games have been decided by two goals or less, and in their last twelve, they have scored between one and four goals while giving up between one and four goals. All of this has come against a very difficult schedule, too. A below .500 season is becoming a distinct possibility, though all of these tough games mean they’ll never be short of opportunities to move up with a big win or two. This week they play at Jefferson, who beat them in December, and section opponent Minnetonka.
Maple Grove (9-8)
-Lost to Blaine, but the focus on the Crimson this week was off the ice, as the team must cope with a number of suspensions. The incident came at a very bad time, as they continue to face several top teams. Ranking teams in such situations is never easy, as one can logically argue that these games should be ignored as unrepresentative of a team’s abilities, or kept in play as punishment for their transgressions. I’ve settled for dropping them a few spots, though I will give them something of a pass on ugly results this week. For section seeding purposes, however, any losses this week—even to Anoka—should be taken into account.
Mounds View (11-4-2)
-Losing to Benilde is perfectly excusable, and the Mustangs hung with the Red Knights for longer than the 8-2 final score would suggest. The 5-1 loss to Cretin, however, is a second nasty loss to a Suburban East team. While they remain the class of the conference, losses like that make it very hard to consider them anything more than the best among a muddled group of borderline contenders.
White Bear Lake (7-7-1)
-With two one-goal losses to top ten teams and two comfortable wins against SEC competition in their last four, it looks like the youthful Bears are pulling it together. The week ahead is a huge one, with games against both Stillwater and Mounds View; they could be up to #2 or down to #5 or #6 in 4AA, depending on how those two go.
Brainerd (13-4)
-The streaking Warriors have won nine in a row, including wins over Moorhead and Roseau that suddenly have them sitting atop 8AA. They have a lot to do if they want to stay there—most notably this coming week, when they face a St. Cloud Tech team that beat them in December, plus a second Roseau game in eight days, with this one coming on the road. A perfect week would leave them in great shape for the top week in the section; a loss or two makes it very messy.
Moorhead (9-8-1)
-The Spuds restored some order this past week, ending a five-game skid with a win over previously undefeated East Grand Forks, and coasting to victory over Warroad. Only one game this week, but it’s a huge one, as they head up to Roseau to battle for positioning in 8AA.
Lakeville South (8-8)
-It wasn’t an overly impressive week for the Cougars, who gave up six to Burnsville and only narrowly defeated Rosemount. They kick off a very difficult two-week stretch on Tuesday when they visit Eagan, and Prior Lake also looms this week. Unless someone like Rochester Mayo knocks off the Lakevilles, there’s a decent chance the 1AA champion will not have a winning record in the regular season.
Roseau (10-6-1)
-The Rams’ offense abandoned them in consecutive shutout losses to East Grand Forks and Brainerd, though they atoned for that in a romp over St. Clout Tech. This week is their moment of truth, as both Moorhead and Brainerd make their way up to Memorial Arena—can they take move back to the top of 8AA, or will they drop out of the top 25?
On the bubble: Cretin-Derham Hall, Andover
As always, I appreciate your feedback. Until next week…