Page 1 of 2

Were the Class AA pairings randomly drawn?

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 11:32 am
by rudy
Let the voting begin.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 11:35 am
by EHSHack
Is it suspicious? Sure. But remember theres a 25% chance that East would draw Lakeville South. I believe East draws first. If East drew according to game time, there would have been a 50% chance of East drawing Lakeville South.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 11:46 am
by Roseauverrated
Lakeville South should just be happy they're in the tournament. There are plenty of teams not in the tournament that would smoke them. Yeah they've had a tough draw the last couple years but I feel no sympathy for them.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 12:08 pm
by MHGr8ness
EHSHack wrote: If East drew according to game time, there would have been a 50% chance of East drawing Lakeville South.
Doesn't matter. It would still be 25%, because the two teams that drew first each still could have gotten South.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 12:09 pm
by MHGr8ness
Roseauverrated wrote:Lakeville South should just be happy they're in the tournament. There are plenty of teams not in the tournament that would smoke them. Yeah they've had a tough draw the last couple years but I feel no sympathy for them.
They weren't in it the last couple of years.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 12:22 pm
by Roseauverrated
MHGr8ness wrote:
Roseauverrated wrote:Lakeville South should just be happy they're in the tournament. There are plenty of teams not in the tournament that would smoke them. Yeah they've had a tough draw the last couple years but I feel no sympathy for them.
They weren't in it the last couple of years.
You're right, my mistake. I should have said I feel no sympathy for the 1AA representative in general over the last few years.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 12:41 pm
by EHSHack
MHGr8ness wrote:
EHSHack wrote: If East drew according to game time, there would have been a 50% chance of East drawing Lakeville South.
Doesn't matter. It would still be 25%, because the two teams that drew first each still could have gotten South.
No, because in explaining this years seeding, if they went by game time, the only two teams left when East picked would have been LS and HM (I forget) therefore 50%.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 12:51 pm
by Doc Holliday
It's still 25%, regardless of if it's done by game time.

The first game, LS would have a 75% of NOT being selected. If not selected, the 2nd game, LS would at that point have a 66.7% chance of NOT being selected. .75 x .667 still results in .50, or more simply realized, 2 out of 4 teams are selected, so they'd have a 50% chance of being in the upper bracked as well as a 50% chance of NOT being in the upper bracket. At that point, there's a 50% chance of NOT being selected in the 6PM game for LS. You still have to take into that account the 50% chance of not being selected, so .5 x .5 is 25%.

I'm actually now going to stop caring. I'm guessing that MSHSL listened to what most people were saying and that 1 should draw 8. After Edina lost to Grand Rapids in '07 & Moorhead in '09 when they were definitely NOT the "8th" seed, they probably said just seed it 1 through 8. I'm now cool with it, and actually excited for the late game on Thursday night & all the speed that will be on that ice along with what should be a fantastic Friday night if the first three Thursday games go chalk.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 1:14 pm
by Sats81
Roseauverrated wrote:Lakeville South should just be happy they're in the tournament. There are plenty of teams not in the tournament that would smoke them. Yeah they've had a tough draw the last couple years but I feel no sympathy for them.
Thats funny. True though.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 1:20 pm
by green4
it's clearly not random... DE gets the 8 seed and Edina vs BSM is exactly what everyone wanted. I have no problem with edina playing benilde should be a great game but what exactly caused Eagan to jump from 4 to 3?? was it the 10-1 game over Hastings? i don't get it

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 1:32 pm
by Rich Clarke
The one thing that I question is that if they were seeding 1-8, Hill Murray would certainly have been seeded higher than Moorhead by virtue of a similar record and a 6-1 win over the Spuds at the end of the year. It seems like they are matching up 1 vs. 8 and 4 vs. 5, but switching the 6th and 7th seeds to maintain the appearance of a random draw. Last year it was the same, with second seed Edina getting Blaine, who would have been six, and East getting White Bear, the obvious 7th. No. 4 Eagan got Moorhead, the highest ranked of the unseeded teams.

But I think we all agree. End the duplicity and admit what you're doing. I liked it a lot better when the sections were rotated and you knew in November what section champ your section was facing even though the current format makes the path for the higher seeds easier. Then again, if that was the key, they should go further and start the seeding the top sixty four so that we don't lose top teams to better teams in sectional play. I admit that would never work, however.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 1:41 pm
by goldy313
The odds the #1 team draws the #8 team five times in a row is 864 to 1. They need to just stop with the random draw bit, it's not random.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 2:15 pm
by SPUDNUT
They just make up their own rules as they go along - MSHSL / NCAA, whats the difference ?

Where's Slapshooter when you need him ?

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 2:29 pm
by keepyourheadup
In defense of south, they got beat by 4 in their first game by edina. They played a top 15 schedule and never lost by more than two. Not so sure there are "a lot" of teams out there that would smoke them.

aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 2:44 pm
by rudy
Guess: 1st 4 get seeded and No. 1 picks who it wants, etc etc. That leaves edina with bsm cuz bsm is looking dangerous right now. That can also explain why spuds and hm landed where they did.

Re: aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 3:04 pm
by almostashappy
rudy wrote:Guess: 1st 4 get seeded and No. 1 picks who it wants, etc etc. That leaves edina with bsm cuz bsm is looking dangerous right now. That can also explain why spuds and hm landed where they did.
MG would rather play H-M than Moorhead? :?

aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 3:07 pm
by rudy
Hm barely beat roseville.

Re: aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 3:17 pm
by DubCHAGuy
rudy wrote:Hm barely beat roseville.
And Moorhead has a goalie that can steal any game

Re: aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 3:23 pm
by almostashappy
DubCHAGuy wrote:
rudy wrote:Hm barely beat roseville.
And Moorhead has a goalie that can steal any game
Fair enough. Just didn't think that Spuds were any more dominant over Brainerd, and H-M did beat them 6-1 end of season, right?

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 3:54 pm
by longdistancespectator8
2good4u wrote:can't wait to watch those tools from lakeville get their ***** handed to them, hope east puts up twenty on them

Good input, I am glad you are a part of this forum.

Re: aa

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 8:57 pm
by East Side Pioneer Guy
DubCHAGuy wrote:
rudy wrote:Hm barely beat roseville.
And Moorhead has a goalie that can steal any game
And how many goals did Hill score on him?

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 9:00 pm
by East Side Pioneer Guy
I just wish channel 45 would put the drawing on it's website. Or MSHSL could put it on You Tube.

Then the conspiracy theories would mostly end.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 9:48 pm
by GordonBombay99
Anyone who looks at the first ound games should get the thought that it is not a random drawing, it sure looks like it was a full 8 team ranking.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 9:50 pm
by goldy313
East Side Pioneer Guy wrote:I just wish channel 45 would put the drawing on it's website. Or MSHSL could put it on You Tube.

Then the conspiracy theories would mostly end.
Channel 45 blew the wrestling finals tonight, it rarely worked. I hope they get it fixed before the hockey tournament as this was an embarrassment for the MSHSL and Channel 45.

Posted: Sat Mar 03, 2012 10:04 pm
by Mnhockey83
Roseauverrated- Why do you always feel its necessary for you to bash 1AA? Yeah everyone understands that this section has been weak the past couple years. But, it's not the kids fault there section is bad. Are they just supposed to give up and just tell another section they can go to the tournament? There trying there best and there nothing they can do about it.