Re: PageStat 2025-26
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 9:54 pm
Predicting the Minnesota boys' section hockey tournament games, by method:
PageStat: 106-19
Seedings: 99-26
W/L record: 96-29
PageStat disagreed with the seedings 11 times this year, winning nine of those games.
PageStat, once again, beats the seedings. In the past eleven seasons, PageStat has won the overall disagreements in nine seasons and tied twice. The seedings haven't won the annual "competition" since 2014. Since 2015, there have been 125 games where PageStat has disagreed with the seedings. The PageStat picked team has won 84 of those, the higher seeded team 41 games.
Always looking to improve the system, I'll be doing a detailed analysis of the various PageStat methods available to me to see if a change in goal cap or momentum adjustment is necessitated next year.
Lee
PageStat: 106-19
Seedings: 99-26
W/L record: 96-29
PageStat disagreed with the seedings 11 times this year, winning nine of those games.
PageStat, once again, beats the seedings. In the past eleven seasons, PageStat has won the overall disagreements in nine seasons and tied twice. The seedings haven't won the annual "competition" since 2014. Since 2015, there have been 125 games where PageStat has disagreed with the seedings. The PageStat picked team has won 84 of those, the higher seeded team 41 games.
Always looking to improve the system, I'll be doing a detailed analysis of the various PageStat methods available to me to see if a change in goal cap or momentum adjustment is necessitated next year.
Lee
