Posted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 5:18 pm
thestickler07 wrote:Because if you remove the word plenty from my post your point is still refuted. You are moving the goalposts by going from "don't compete at all" to "don't compete enough consistently". One is provable (I have done so), one is your deeply held opinion which I'm guessing isn't going to change.rainier wrote:How is it not the principle?
(First of all, I can't find anywhere in this discussion where I said small schools "don't compete at all". What I can find is where I listed statistics such as metro privates winning 18 of 25 total in girls and boys Class A and 11 of 14 in boys. I'm not sure how listing numbers that actually show small schools winning a couple titles would back up a claim of "don't compete at all". And you are conveniently avoiding the real issue here, which is that it is true that small schools "don't compete enough consistently", something made rather obvious by the Class A title statistics I provided. Is it really a deeply held opinion that small school "don't compete enough consistently" when metro privates have won 11 of the last 14 Class A titles? Are you saying 3 out of 14 is competing consistently enough? I know you have an aversion to applying actual judgement to these types of things, but I would imagine very few people would consider 3 titles in 14 years competing consistently. But if you do, then hey, go for it.)
Thanks. You couldn't have expected me to avoid highlighting that you went against your own point before ending that sentence though right?rainier wrote:You're good.
(Yes, you caught me in an inconsistency, a very slight one that has little to do with our overall discussion, but an inconsistency nonetheless. But I also see you neglected to say anything about your huge error of admitting that STA has a .660 winning percentage against AA teams. I didn't know this and now it is even more insane that STA didn't move up sooner. You have got yourself so turned around that you don't even know when you are serving me up argument winning info on a silver platter. You couldn't have expected me to avoid highlighting that again, right? Perhaps at some point you can just take over for me and write my entire side of the argument. Nice work, Perry Mason. I hope you're not a lawyer, because if your client had a speeding ticket they'd end up in the electric chair.)
I take it you agree with me that coaching means getting more out of a team than a sum of its parts? Glad we finally have closure on what it means to be a good coach.rainier wrote:But instead of being forced to be wrong, you weasel out by pulling a third candidate out of thin air.
(Okay, we agree on what a good coach is. Now let's look at some more actual historical facts to see how great those guys patrolling the bench at STA have been at "getting more out of a team than the sum of its parts. It would appear that in 2009 as a #1 seed and with a PageStat rating of 11, the STA coaches got so much out of their troops that they lost to the #3 seed 4-1! And this #3 seed had a PageStat rating 18 spots lower than STA! Wow, what a freak accident right? Not quite, because it appears that it happened again the very next season, when #1 STA with a PageStat rating of 11 once again lost to a lower seed. Those guys were really squeezing blood out of a rock there, weren't they? Remember the part where I told you the Hibbing coach never lost to a lower seed during his 10 year 7A title game streak? I wonder who was getting more out of their team? According to PageStat, since 2007, STA was the #1 rated Class A team 4 times and the #2 rated Class A team 2 times. And they ended up winning 4 titles during this span? Wow! The overachievement meter is off the charts. Those guys really know how get those kids to play beyond their talent.)
In regards to your hypothetical "would you rather have a D1 player vs a nobody with all else equal" doesn't really contribute to the discussion does it? You already admitted to not knowing the specifics of the hiring situation in Hibbing and neither do I.
(You said playing D1 didn't make someone a better coach, and I agreed, but I was using this example to show that if we are going to compare coaches, the fact that someone played D1 has to at least factor in somewhat, right? I just wanted to show you that if given only two options, a former D1 player or non-former D1 player and everything else were equal, you would select the former D1 player. But you avoided it and magically added a third candidate to the question to avoid having to admit it.)
Of course past accomplishments can have positive externalities for people.
But you have already stated that their coaching abilities are the same. What do you perceive the advantage of hiring the former D1 guy to be?
(The advantage is that he has played hockey at a very high level. It is no guarantee, but you can't guarantee the success of any coach. I really hope you are never in the position of hiring a coach for a high school hockey team. You will end up with the janitor running your squad.)
What's your point? Because you aren't the only person that holds that opinion it must be true? That surely can't be the your ace in the hole on this one...rainier wrote:What are you saying about yourself? And it took a whole 2 minutes for someone to come on here and second my claim that the Hibbing coach is very good.
(Just saying that his reputation is so good that immediately someone came to his defense. This happens in minutes, yet, ironically, I still don't see anyone coming to the defense of the STA guys, even though the Sandbag Patrol is out in full force today.)
Clarify something for me. On one hand you say that you'd take the coach who has competed in the AA playoffs before(DeCenzo), but then you go on to say that you don't think that the Vannellis are "significantly better" than him. By saying you don't think they are "significantly better" you are saying that the Vannellis are better, do you understand that? My last question would be why would you want a coach that isn't as good?rainier wrote:Fair enough, but I would take the guy who has actually competed in AA playoffs before. I'm not saying the Vannellis are bad coaches, but I sure as heck don't think they are significantly better than DeCenzo. I don't think anybody does.
(The original argument you had was that in order for a small school team to become as good as STA, they should hire better coaches. What I am saying is that I refute this claim because the Hibbing coaches are good enough so that no one could classify the STA coaches as being "significantly better". You are taking that statement out of context. And not only do I not think the STA guys are "significantly better", I don't think they are "better" at all. )
What can I say? You entertain me. (And own you.)rainier wrote:It seems to factor enough for you to keep commenting on them.
And I deal with people that stonewall more than you do on a daily basis in my line of work so its not something I mind.
(And I don't mind people who stray away from the salient points in order to get out of losing debates. Keep on reverting back to semantics and other things that have nothing to do with the content of the argument, it's apparently all you got.)
You can use whatever predictive or hypothetical metric you want, I'm just looking at the actual results of games. Warroad/Roseau are hardly lambs being led to the slaughter against STA, I give their programs a lot more credit than that. STA vs Richfield/Simley? Not so much.rainier wrote:My point was that I don't think they would have beaten STA more than once or twice over the last 6-7 years. I know it's an assertion, but given STA's consistently high PageStat ratings, I think it's supported by what little evidence is out there. You are free to disagree without anything to back up your claim.
(I am also looking at the actual results of games. Specifically, Class A title games, in which 11 of the last 14 have been won by team from a major metropolitan area of 2.5 million people. This is what leads me to believe these schools enjoy an enormous advantage over schools like Warroad and Roseau. You don't appear to think this is the case. Fine.)
And its funny that you would say "without anything to back up your claim" when I'm the only one that actually posted a score or record.
(Wow, you finally added a stat to your argument, it only took you 10 posts to start. Did you notice the PageStat ratings, section final scores, names of players, and Hibbing playoff stats I have been using on a regular basis? Now which one of us would be using opinion more and which one of us would be using actual facts to back up our argument more? I would say you are embarrassing yourself, but I don't feel like typing it right now. Keep trying sticky buns!)