PageStat 2025-26

[east hockey]

Predicting the Minnesota boys' section hockey tournament games, by method:

PageStat: 106-19
Seedings: 99-26
W/L record: 96-29

PageStat disagreed with the seedings 11 times this year, winning nine of those games.

PageStat, once again, beats the seedings. In the past eleven seasons, PageStat has won the overall disagreements in nine seasons and tied twice. The seedings haven't won the annual "competition" since 2014. Since 2015, there have been 125 games where PageStat has disagreed with the seedings. The PageStat picked team has won 84 of those, the higher seeded team 41 games.

Always looking to improve the system, I'll be doing a detailed analysis of the various PageStat methods available to me to see if a change in goal cap or momentum adjustment is necessitated next year.

Lee

[blueblood]

impressive history Lee

[east hockey]

impressive history Lee

I don't know if it points to how good PageStat is, how lucky it is, or how bad the section seeders are?

Lee

[east hockey]

Updated PageStat ratings through 2/27:

https://leepagen.com/ps2026.htm

Lee

[east hockey]

PageStat picks for today's Class A quarterfinal games:

Hibbing over Dodge County by 5
Mahtomedi over St. Cloud Cathedral by 2
Delano over Mankato West by 2
Warroad over Northern Lakes by 3

[elliott70]

PageStat picks for today's Class A quarterfinal games:

Hibbing over Dodge County by 5
Mahtomedi over St. Cloud Cathedral by 2
Delano over Mankato West by 2
Warroad over Northern Lakes by 3

Pretty risky picks here by pagestat.

[east hockey]

PageStat picks for today's Class A quarterfinal games:

Hibbing over Dodge County by 5
Mahtomedi over St. Cloud Cathedral by 2
Delano over Mankato West by 2
Warroad over Northern Lakes by 3

Pretty risky picks here by pagestat.

Yeah, picking the top seed in every game. Took some courage.

Lee

[east hockey]

Four teams changed their PageStat ranking today:

Hibbing dropped from #10 to #11
Warroad rose from #15 to #14
Delano rose from #25 to #24
Mankato West dropped from #57 to #59

Lee

[east hockey]

Today's PageStat picks:

St Cloud Cathedral over Dodge County by 1
Northern Lakes over Mankato West by 1

Minnetonka over Gentry Academy by 3
Rosemount over Grand Rapids by 2
Moorhead over Lakeville South by 3
Edina over Andover by 3

[elliott70]

Today's PageStat picks:

St Cloud Cathedral over Dodge County by 1
Northern Lakes over Mankato West by 1

Minnetonka over Gentry Academy by 3
Rosemount over Grand Rapids by 2
Moorhead over Lakeville South by 3
Edina over Andover by 3

St Cloud Cathedral over Dodge County by 3
Northern Lakes over Mankato West by 4

Minnetonka over Gentry Academy by 3
Rosemount loses Grand Rapids by 1
Moorhead over Lakeville South by
Edina over Andover in OT

Mine are a little more dramatic picks then pagestat.