east hockey wrote:HAL has made up two games and now sits -2 to the seedings; four upcoming games have HAL picking the lower seeded team:
Mankato West over Rochester Lourdes
Mahtomedi over South St Paul
Duluth Denfeld over St Cloud Cathedral
East Grand Forks over Park Rapids
It ain't over yet! (but the pick of West over Lourdes makes me cringe a bit)
Lee
HAL is now down by a single game. Sorry for Park Rapids and their fine season, but hey....HAL knew
Besides the three games still to be played where HAL has picked the lower seeded team, we also have a possible conflict should Blake and Breck advance in 2A. In other words, HAL needs at least two of the three remaining disagreements in order to claim a tie. Blake vs Breck could decide the whole thing on 2/28. So.....go Mustangs!
And, yes, I have too much free time on my hands this week.
east hockey wrote:HAL has made up two games and now sits -2 to the seedings; four upcoming games have HAL picking the lower seeded team:
Mankato West over Rochester Lourdes
Mahtomedi over South St Paul
Duluth Denfeld over St Cloud Cathedral
East Grand Forks over Park Rapids
It ain't over yet! (but the pick of West over Lourdes makes me cringe a bit)
Lee
HAL is now down by a single game. Sorry for Park Rapids and their fine season, but hey....HAL knew
Besides the three games still to be played where HAL has picked the lower seeded team, we also have a possible conflict should Blake and Breck advance in 2A. In other words, HAL needs at least two of the three remaining disagreements in order to claim a tie. Blake vs Breck could decide the whole thing on 2/28. So.....go Mustangs!
And, yes, I have too much free time on my hands this week.
Lee
must be overtime available at the office
Either we pay for it, OR WE PAY FOR IT!!!
The only soft spot I see is the one between my legs
east hockey wrote:
HAL is now down by a single game. Sorry for Park Rapids and their fine season, but hey....HAL knew
Besides the three games still to be played where HAL has picked the lower seeded team, we also have a possible conflict should Blake and Breck advance in 2A. In other words, HAL needs at least two of the three remaining disagreements in order to claim a tie. Blake vs Breck could decide the whole thing on 2/28. So.....go Mustangs!
And, yes, I have too much free time on my hands this week.
Lee
must be overtime available at the office
Either we pay for it, OR WE PAY FOR IT!!!
And for that, my wife and I thank you. All the way to Hawai`i.
No one noticed those robots in East Grand Forks uniforms last night, but that doesn't mean we don't know they were there. Clearly HAL isn't above playing dirty...
Neutron 14 wrote:HAL picks up another, WBL over Roseville.
It didn't because HAL adds .12 to the home team's PS2 rating in keeping with the study done quite some time ago which showed the home team winning by that average margin. There was one other game where it switched the prediction too...can't remember how it turned out. I also don't know if the .12 addition has made a difference over the past eight years.
Neutron 14 wrote:HAL picks up another, WBL over Roseville.
It didn't because HAL adds .12 to the home team's PS2 rating in keeping with the study done quite some time ago which showed the home team winning by that average margin. There was one other game where it switched the prediction too...can't remember how it turned out. I also don't know if the .12 addition has made a difference over the past eight years.
Lee
Was that a neutral site study?
The only soft spot I see is the one between my legs
Neutron 14 wrote:HAL picks up another, WBL over Roseville.
It didn't because HAL adds .12 to the home team's PS2 rating in keeping with the study done quite some time ago which showed the home team winning by that average margin. There was one other game where it switched the prediction too...can't remember how it turned out. I also don't know if the .12 addition has made a difference over the past eight years.
Lee
Was that a neutral site study?
As I recall, it was done using the teams designated as "home" by Varsity Online for a single season. It gets tough at times because some teams have more than one home rink. Some games are played at neutral sites, and those were ignored.
It's not an exact science because few teams play an equal number of home/away games. Because of that, I don't know if added that number helps the system, hurts it, or doesn't matter. I might ignore it next year but more research is needed. Always that damn research. I need an assistant.
FWIW, HAL's brother AL does not consider home ice.
He's +3 vs. the seedings this year.
AL does admit that he certainly does not beat HAL every year.
To the seedings, HAL and AL rarely lose.
east hockey wrote: As I recall, it was done using the teams designated as "home" by Varsity Online for a single season. It gets tough at times because some teams have more than one home rink. Some games are played at neutral sites, and those were ignored.
It's not an exact science because few teams play an equal number of home/away games. Because of that, I don't know if added that number helps the system, hurts it, or doesn't matter. I might ignore it next year but more research is needed. Always that damn research. I need an assistant.
Mitch Hawker wrote:FWIW, HAL's brother AL does not consider home ice.
He's +3 vs. the seedings this year.
AL does admit that he certainly does not beat HAL every year.
To the seedings, HAL and AL rarely lose.
east hockey wrote: As I recall, it was done using the teams designated as "home" by Varsity Online for a single season. It gets tough at times because some teams have more than one home rink. Some games are played at neutral sites, and those were ignored.
It's not an exact science because few teams play an equal number of home/away games. Because of that, I don't know if added that number helps the system, hurts it, or doesn't matter. I might ignore it next year but more research is needed. Always that damn research. I need an assistant.
Sparlimb wrote:Oh oh, SSP taking out Mahtomedi (which surprised even me) really did HAL in. Best he can do now is tie. Wonder what he has up his sleeve now?
Sparlimb wrote:Oh oh, SSP taking out Mahtomedi (which surprised even me) really did HAL in. Best he can do now is tie. Wonder what he has up his sleeve now?
HAL can still win; three disagreements remain.
Lee
I stand corrected. Or did a choice change between refreshes? HAL is tricky like that. BTW, Thanks to both of you (Mitch and Lee) for the computer rankings which takes some amount of time to process every week. It is sure fun to use for discussion points during the year...
Sparlimb wrote:Oh oh, SSP taking out Mahtomedi (which surprised even me) really did HAL in. Best he can do now is tie. Wonder what he has up his sleeve now?
HAL can still win; three disagreements remain.
Lee
I stand corrected. Or did a choice change between refreshes? HAL is tricky like that. BTW, Thanks to both of you (Mitch and Lee) for the computer rankings which takes some amount of time to process every week. It is sure fun to use for discussion points during the year...
The Breck vs Blake disagreement was added after they both won their semfinal games.
Thanks. I still don't know how HALjr (PS3) would have done.
