Scores (sorted by team) through January 25, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Disclaimer: The D3 rankings are new and it is unclear to me how well connected the East/West schedules are and therefore still unclear how accurate the relative rankings between regions are. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 2013 National Champions: Wisconsin-Eau Claire See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,St Norbert,________________________ 14 2 2, 2.3, 7.5, 9.75, 9.52 2,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 14 4 0, 1.4, 8.1, 9.54, 8.87 3,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 11 4 2, 1.4, 8.1, 9.49, 10.12 4,Trinity,___________________________ 14 1 1, 2.1, 7.3, 9.35, 9.61 5,Oswego,____________________________ 12 2 3, 1.9, 7.3, 9.26, 8.71 6,Norwich,___________________________ 16 2 1, 2.5, 6.7, 9.20, 8.64 7,St Thomas,_________________________ 11 3 3, 1.3, 7.8, 9.13, 9.27 8,Adrian,____________________________ 13 3 3, 1.6, 7.5, 9.09, 8.10 9,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 14 4 1, 1.3, 7.8, 9.02, 8.83 10,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 13 4 1, 1.4, 7.5, 8.94, 8.28 11,Hobart,____________________________ 12 6 0, 1.1, 7.7, 8.79, 8.75 12,Amherst,___________________________ 11 3 2, 0.9, 7.8, 8.77, 8.88 13,Lake Forest,_______________________ 11 3 5, 1.3, 7.4, 8.69, 9.03 14,Babson,____________________________ 14 3 2, 2.0, 6.6, 8.64, 7.95 15,Williams,__________________________ 11 3 2, 1.1, 7.5, 8.57, 9.48 16,St John's,_________________________ 8 5 4, 0.5, 8.0, 8.54, 8.18 17,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 6 3, 0.6, 7.9, 8.45, 9.54 18,Nazareth,__________________________ 8 7 3, 0.2, 8.3, 8.45, 9.26 19,Utica,_____________________________ 8 6 4, 0.6, 7.8, 8.40, 8.03 20,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 15 3 1, 1.5, 6.7, 8.19, 8.39 21,Neumann,___________________________ 9 5 4, 0.7, 7.5, 8.19, 8.24 22,Elmira,____________________________ 9 6 3, 0.5, 7.7, 8.16, 8.22 23,Bowdoin,___________________________ 9 5 3, 1.0, 7.1, 8.13, 7.28 24,Augsburg,__________________________ 8 9 0, 0.1, 8.0, 8.09, 7.63 25,St Scholastica,____________________ 10 7 2, 0.6, 7.4, 8.01, 8.29 26,Geneseo,___________________________ 8 7 3, 0.5, 7.5, 8.01, 7.87 27,St Mary's,_________________________ 8 7 2, 0.5, 7.5, 7.94, 8.29 28,Hamilton,__________________________ 6 6 4, 0.4, 7.5, 7.93, 8.01 29,Middlebury,________________________ 7 6 3, -0.1, 7.9, 7.84, 9.16 30,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 11 8 0, 0.4, 7.5, 7.83, 8.14 31,Brockport,_________________________ 9 7 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.76, 7.94 32,Hamline,___________________________ 7 6 4, -0.2, 8.0, 7.75, 8.65 33,Connecticut College,_______________ 7 7 2, 0.1, 7.6, 7.71, 7.88 34,Nichols,___________________________ 12 3 2, 1.7, 5.9, 7.60, 9.30 35,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 6 7 6, -0.2, 7.5, 7.37, 7.82 36,Marian,____________________________ 7 11 1, -0.5, 7.9, 7.36, 7.03 37,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 7 12 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.29, 6.11 38,Manhattanville,____________________ 7 7 4, -0.3, 7.4, 7.07, 7.76 39,Buffalo State,_____________________ 7 10 2, -1.0, 7.9, 6.94, 7.21 40,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 10 6 1, 1.1, 5.9, 6.94, 7.64 41,Colby,_____________________________ 5 10 2, -0.7, 7.6, 6.92, 7.46 42,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 8 5, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 5.82 43,Curry,_____________________________ 9 5 2, 0.4, 6.4, 6.87, 8.19 44,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 7 9 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.81, 8.43 45,St Olaf,___________________________ 6 11 2, -0.8, 7.6, 6.72, 6.62 46,Tufts,_____________________________ 6 9 1, -0.8, 7.5, 6.71, 7.09 47,Cortland,__________________________ 7 8 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.55, 5.69 48,Potsdam,___________________________ 6 9 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.47, 5.82 49,New England College,_______________ 7 9 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.47, 6.95 50,Lawrence,__________________________ 6 12 1, -1.3, 7.7, 6.44, 5.64 51,Fredonia,__________________________ 4 8 5, -0.9, 7.3, 6.40, 6.16 52,Castleton,_________________________ 6 12 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.24, 6.36 53,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 6 13 0, -1.1, 7.3, 6.24, 5.34 54,Salve Regina,______________________ 5 8 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.23, 5.62 55,Stonehill,_________________________ 9 4 3, 0.9, 5.3, 6.21, 6.71 56,University of New England,_________ 7 11 1, -0.7, 6.7, 6.00, 6.57 57,St Michael's,______________________ 6 10 2, -0.6, 6.6, 5.96, 5.43 58,Bethel,____________________________ 2 14 2, -1.9, 7.8, 5.93, 5.60 59,Northland,_________________________ 2 14 3, -1.7, 7.6, 5.83, 6.43 60,Plymouth State,____________________ 7 7 3, -0.1, 5.9, 5.82, 4.12 61,Suffolk,___________________________ 10 5 1, 0.3, 5.5, 5.79, 4.67 62,Canton,____________________________ 5 12 1, -0.9, 6.7, 5.74, 6.22 63,Finlandia,_________________________ 4 14 1, -1.8, 7.5, 5.74, 6.71 64,St Anselm,_________________________ 5 11 2, -0.8, 6.5, 5.70, 5.82 65,Wesleyan,__________________________ 2 14 0, -1.7, 7.4, 5.63, 5.46 66,Wentworth,_________________________ 8 7 2, -0.5, 6.0, 5.50, 5.55 67,Salem State,_______________________ 8 8 1, 0.1, 5.3, 5.39, 5.40 68,Fitchburg State,___________________ 7 7 2, 0.5, 4.8, 5.34, 6.56 69,Skidmore,__________________________ 4 12 3, -1.4, 6.7, 5.30, 6.48 70,So New Hampshire,__________________ 8 9 1, -0.3, 5.6, 5.24, 5.61 71,Aurora,____________________________ 1 15 1, -2.4, 7.4, 5.01, 4.60 72,Assumption,________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 5.3, 5.01, 5.02 73,Southern Maine,____________________ 4 13 0, -2.1, 6.9, 4.74, 4.73 74,Westfield State,___________________ 9 8 0, -0.2, 4.8, 4.64, 3.00 75,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 5 10 2, -1.1, 5.7, 4.61, 5.94 76,Becker,____________________________ 4 13 0, -1.5, 5.6, 4.10, 4.13 77,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 3 13 0, -1.9, 5.9, 3.94, 3.75 78,Western New England,_______________ 1 12 3, -2.0, 5.8, 3.75, 3.36 79,Framingham State,__________________ 3 10 2, -1.3, 4.8, 3.44, 2.96 80,Worcester State,___________________ 3 11 2, -1.4, 4.8, 3.40, 3.55 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Trinity,___________________________ 14 1 1, 0.8, 7.1, 7.95, 8.25 2,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 14 4 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.86, 7.50 3,St Norbert,________________________ 14 2 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.81, 7.65 4,Amherst,___________________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 7.76 5,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 11 4 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.75, 8.09 6,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 14 4 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 7.37 7,St Thomas,_________________________ 11 3 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.73, 8.15 8,Oswego,____________________________ 12 2 3, 0.6, 7.1, 7.73, 7.50 9,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 13 4 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.71, 7.42 10,Williams,__________________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.69, 7.83 11,Norwich,___________________________ 16 2 1, 0.7, 6.9, 7.68, 7.53 12,Adrian,____________________________ 13 3 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 7.29 13,Hobart,____________________________ 12 6 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.57, 7.80 14,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 15 3 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.53, 7.60 15,Lake Forest,_______________________ 11 3 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.60 16,Babson,____________________________ 14 3 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.49, 7.20 17,Nazareth,__________________________ 8 7 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.48, 7.56 18,St John's,_________________________ 8 5 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.46, 7.30 19,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 6 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.44, 7.85 20,Elmira,____________________________ 9 6 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 7.51 21,Utica,_____________________________ 8 6 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.47 22,Neumann,___________________________ 9 5 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 7.44 23,Middlebury,________________________ 7 6 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 8.03 24,Hamline,___________________________ 7 6 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 7.63 25,Bowdoin,___________________________ 9 5 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.23 26,St Scholastica,____________________ 10 7 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.27, 7.42 27,Brockport,_________________________ 9 7 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.27 28,Connecticut College,_______________ 7 7 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.39 29,Augsburg,__________________________ 8 9 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.25, 7.17 30,Geneseo,___________________________ 8 7 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.28 31,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 11 8 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.22, 7.43 32,Hamilton,__________________________ 6 6 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.20 33,Nichols,___________________________ 12 3 2, 0.5, 6.6, 7.17, 7.45 34,Manhattanville,____________________ 7 7 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.16, 7.33 35,St Mary's,_________________________ 8 7 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 7.37 36,Buffalo State,_____________________ 7 10 2, -0.2, 7.3, 7.15, 7.43 37,Curry,_____________________________ 9 5 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.11, 7.67 38,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 6 7 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 7.21 39,Marian,____________________________ 7 11 1, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 6.75 40,Tufts,_____________________________ 6 9 1, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 7.04 41,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 8 5, -0.2, 7.2, 6.99, 6.54 42,Colby,_____________________________ 5 10 2, -0.3, 7.3, 6.97, 7.14 43,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 7 9 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.94, 7.32 44,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 10 6 1, 0.2, 6.7, 6.94, 7.23 45,St Olaf,___________________________ 6 11 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.91, 7.09 46,Fredonia,__________________________ 4 8 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.61 47,Cortland,__________________________ 7 8 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.88, 6.61 48,Potsdam,___________________________ 6 9 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.87, 6.49 49,Lawrence,__________________________ 6 12 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 6.69 50,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.37 51,Suffolk,___________________________ 10 5 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.80, 6.35 52,Stonehill,_________________________ 9 4 3, 0.3, 6.5, 6.80, 6.70 53,New England College,_______________ 7 9 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.77, 6.92 54,Wentworth,_________________________ 8 7 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.74, 6.68 55,University of New England,_________ 7 11 1, -0.2, 6.9, 6.69, 7.16 56,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 6 13 0, -0.4, 7.1, 6.68, 6.52 57,St Michael's,______________________ 6 10 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.67, 6.30 58,Plymouth State,____________________ 7 7 3, 0.0, 6.6, 6.63, 6.19 59,Salve Regina,______________________ 5 8 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.63, 6.45 60,Castleton,_________________________ 6 12 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.62, 6.60 61,Finlandia,_________________________ 4 14 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.58, 6.83 62,Bethel,____________________________ 2 14 2, -0.7, 7.2, 6.57, 6.33 63,Canton,____________________________ 5 12 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.53, 6.95 64,St Anselm,_________________________ 5 11 2, -0.3, 6.8, 6.51, 6.27 65,Northland,_________________________ 2 14 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.50, 6.47 66,So New Hampshire,__________________ 8 9 1, -0.1, 6.5, 6.48, 6.81 67,Skidmore,__________________________ 4 12 3, -0.4, 6.9, 6.47, 6.85 68,Salem State,_______________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.46, 6.16 69,Wesleyan,__________________________ 2 14 0, -0.8, 7.2, 6.45, 6.19 70,Southern Maine,____________________ 4 13 0, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.62 71,Westfield State,___________________ 9 8 0, 0.1, 6.3, 6.33, 6.07 72,Fitchburg State,___________________ 7 7 2, 0.0, 6.3, 6.31, 6.79 73,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 5 10 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.28, 6.40 74,Aurora,____________________________ 1 15 1, -0.8, 7.1, 6.25, 6.21 75,Assumption,________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 6.5, 6.20, 6.17 76,Becker,____________________________ 4 13 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.03, 6.06 77,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 3 13 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.99, 5.92 78,Western New England,_______________ 1 12 3, -0.7, 6.6, 5.95, 5.99 79,Framingham State,__________________ 3 10 2, -0.5, 6.3, 5.80, 5.76 80,Worcester State,___________________ 3 11 2, -0.5, 6.3, 5.79, 5.78 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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