2003-04 Ohio High School Hockey Rankings
(Scores through 3/07/04)
Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the
2003-2004 Ohio HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date)
The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.
A teams Total value only has meaning
in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared
from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state).
The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).
Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.
Only teams with at least 3 games against OH teams are listed in the ratings.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W
RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1
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More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given
their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when
calculating the rankings.
As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and
the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams
but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores.
The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details.
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
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1,Bowling Green,OH,___________________ 30 1 1, 2.7, 8.4, 11.12, 10.62
2,St. Edwards,OH,_____________________ 31 6 1, 1.6, 8.8, 10.45, 11.35
3,University School,OH,_______________ 20 13 2, 0.8, 9.4, 10.28, 9.36
4,Padua,OH,___________________________ 18 8 5, 0.9, 8.4, 9.30, 9.28
5,Shaker Heights,OH,__________________ 19 10 2, 0.8, 8.5, 9.25, 9.77
6,St. Ignatius,OH,____________________ 13 18 5, -0.3, 9.1, 8.87, 9.27
7,Mentor,OH,__________________________ 25 9 2, 1.1, 7.3, 8.43, 8.80
8,Gilmour Varsity,OH,_________________ 16 16 4, -0.2, 8.4, 8.12, 8.18
9,Toledo St. Johns,OH,________________ 14 13 4, -0.0, 8.0, 7.98, 8.01
10,Toledo St. Francis,OH,______________ 18 12 3, 0.9, 6.8, 7.73, 8.27
11,Findlay,OH,_________________________ 16 11 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.56, 6.60
12,Bay,OH,_____________________________ 29 5 0, 1.8, 5.8, 7.53, 8.24
13,Normandy,OH,________________________ 19 10 0, 1.1, 6.4, 7.46, 6.20
14,Trinity,OH,_________________________ 18 11 2, 0.5, 6.7, 7.21, 7.73
15,Hudson,OH,__________________________ 18 12 1, 0.9, 6.2, 7.09, 7.84
16,Benedictine,OH,_____________________ 13 7 2, 1.2, 5.8, 7.02, 7.29
17,Lake Catholic,OH,___________________ 15 17 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.85, 7.29
18,North Olmsted,OH,___________________ 14 16 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.82, 7.40
19,Strongsville,OH,____________________ 17 11 2, 0.4, 6.3, 6.74, 7.41
20,Sylvania Northview,OH,______________ 11 12 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 5.97
21,Oxford Talawanda,OH,________________ 19 10 2, 0.9, 5.7, 6.57, 8.43
22,Avon Lake,OH,_______________________ 21 8 0, 1.0, 5.3, 6.32, 4.43
23,Centerville,OH,_____________________ 17 7 0, 1.5, 4.8, 6.29, 6.83
24,Elyria Catholic,OH,_________________ 12 16 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.27, 5.88
25,St. Charles Prep,OH,________________ 19 16 3, 0.2, 6.0, 6.24, 5.67
26,Troy,OH,____________________________ 25 4 3, 1.7, 4.3, 6.01, 5.17
27,Upper Arlington,OH,_________________ 15 8 4, 0.5, 5.4, 5.96, 5.98
28,Rocky River,OH,_____________________ 12 14 0, -0.2, 6.1, 5.87, 5.24
29,Worthington Kilbourne,OH,___________ 15 15 3, -0.1, 5.9, 5.82, 5.47
30,Dublin Coffman,OH,__________________ 18 10 4, 0.6, 5.1, 5.72, 5.44
31,Mayfield,OH,________________________ 17 10 1, 0.5, 5.1, 5.64, 4.12
32,Kent Roosevelt,OH,__________________ 22 8 1, 1.1, 4.3, 5.47, 5.05
33,Olmsted Falls,OH,___________________ 16 12 0, 0.1, 5.3, 5.43, 5.95
34,Clay,OH,____________________________ 16 10 1, 0.4, 4.8, 5.19, 5.55
35,Thomas Worthington,OH,______________ 12 19 0, -0.7, 5.7, 5.02, 3.07
36,Moeller,OH,_________________________ 15 22 1, -0.4, 5.3, 4.89, 5.73
37,Toledo Whitmer,OH,__________________ 17 8 0, 0.7, 4.1, 4.77, 4.06
38,Orange,OH,__________________________ 13 7 0, 0.8, 3.8, 4.67, 6.39
39,Western Reserve,OH,_________________ 4 11 3, -1.4, 6.1, 4.67, 5.54
40,Dublin Scioto,OH,___________________ 16 14 2, 0.0, 4.6, 4.56, 4.53
41,Poland,OH,__________________________ 7 2 0, 2.1, 2.4, 4.49
42,Cleveland Heights,OH,_______________ 7 17 0, -1.5, 5.9, 4.47, 4.06
43,Sylvania Southview,OH,______________ 10 20 0, -1.2, 5.7, 4.46, 4.57
44,PRPC,OH,____________________________ 20 5 2, 1.5, 2.7, 4.19, 5.00
45,Westerville,OH,_____________________ 16 5 3, 1.7, 2.5, 4.18, 4.70
46,Olentangy,OH,_______________________ 16 10 1, 0.9, 2.9, 3.82, 3.15
47,Massillon Jackson,OH,_______________ 26 9 1, 2.0, 1.8, 3.80, 5.44
48,Amherst Steele,OH,__________________ 20 8 0, 1.0, 2.8, 3.76, 3.31
49,Sycamore,OH,________________________ 14 18 2, -0.2, 3.9, 3.67, 4.27
50,NDCL,OH,____________________________ 11 13 0, -0.1, 3.8, 3.64, 4.04
51,Perrysburg,OH,______________________ 7 14 3, -0.8, 4.4, 3.56, 4.49
52,Athens,OH,__________________________ 9 11 2, 0.4, 2.8, 3.13, 3.52
53,Boardman,OH,________________________ 4 1 0, 1.7, 1.4, 3.12
54,St. Xavier,OH,______________________ 9 20 1, -1.3, 4.3, 3.06, 2.71
55,North Canton Hoover,OH,_____________ 16 12 1, 0.3, 2.7, 3.05, 3.24
56,Parma,OH,___________________________ 10 12 1, -0.7, 3.7, 3.02, 3.02
57,Toledo Central Catholic,OH,_________ 8 19 1, -1.5, 4.5, 3.01, 4.19
58,NE Storm,OH,________________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 2.8, 2.98, 1.73
59,Maumee,OH,__________________________ 8 13 0, -0.4, 3.2, 2.81, 2.56
60,Beavercreek,OH,_____________________ 3 16 0, -2.1, 4.9, 2.75, 2.54
61,Aurora,OH,__________________________ 17 7 1, 1.9, 0.8, 2.71, 2.61
62,Solon,OH,___________________________ 6 20 0, -1.5, 4.1, 2.62, 2.79
63,Kenston,OH,_________________________ 11 11 0, 0.4, 2.0, 2.42, 2.77
64,Medina,OH,__________________________ 10 5 2, 0.5, 1.8, 2.26, 0.93
65,Brecksville,OH,_____________________ 10 7 0, 0.8, 1.4, 2.26, 2.74
66,Lakewood,OH,________________________ 9 12 1, -0.6, 2.7, 2.12, 3.18
67,Start,OH,___________________________ 11 9 0, 0.3, 1.6, 1.90, 0.18
68,Springboro,OH,______________________ 4 22 1, -2.4, 4.2, 1.81, 1.58
69,Garfield Heights,OH,________________ 10 12 3, -0.9, 2.6, 1.68, 1.98
70,Newark,OH,__________________________ 2 19 3, -1.8, 3.0, 1.21, 2.14
71,Ottawa Hills,OH,____________________ 11 6 0, 0.7, 0.5, 1.19, 2.00
72,Euclid,OH,__________________________ 6 19 2, -1.7, 2.8, 1.18, -0.18
73,North Royalton,OH,__________________ 10 9 2, 0.1, 1.1, 1.14, 0.88
74,Riverside,OH,_______________________ 6 7 2, -0.2, 1.1, 0.88, 1.91
75,CVCA,OH,____________________________ 7 16 1, -1.5, 2.0, 0.51, 0.81
76,Canfield,OH,________________________ 8 14 1, -0.9, 1.4, 0.51, 1.91
77,Gahanna Lincoln,OH,_________________ 1 27 0, -3.3, 3.6, 0.35, 1.05
78,Twinsburg,OH,_______________________ 6 19 3, -1.2, 1.5, 0.29, -0.07
79,VASJ,OH,____________________________ 2 7 0, -0.6, 0.8, 0.24
80,Midview,OH,_________________________ 7 10 0, -1.3, 1.3, -0.04, -2.16
81,Holy Name,OH,_______________________ 3 13 1, -1.9, 1.8, -0.09, -0.12
82,Lake,OH,____________________________ 10 14 1, -0.5, 0.4, -0.18, -0.77
83,Hilliard,OH,________________________ 2 21 0, -3.5, 3.3, -0.26, -0.96
84,Elder,OH,___________________________ 0 5 0, -4.0, 3.5, -0.48
85,Chagrin Falls,OH,___________________ 4 20 0, -2.2, 1.1, -1.12, -0.96
86,Anthony Wayne,OH,___________________ 0 21 0, -3.3, 2.1, -1.27, -1.23
87,Holland Springfield,OH,_____________ 2 12 0, -2.2, 0.9, -1.33, -0.09
88,Valley Forge,OH,____________________ 3 17 0, -1.4, 0.0, -1.38, -1.72
89,Fremont Ross,OH,____________________ 0 4 1, -1.4, -0.6, -1.98
90,West Geauga,OH,_____________________ 3 21 0, -3.0, 0.9, -2.07, -2.59
91,Brush,OH,___________________________ 3 13 0, -2.3, 0.1, -2.15, -1.10
92,Brooklyn,OH,________________________ 0 23 0, -4.0, -1.6, -5.57
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