I left in non-MN teams that have played at least two games vs. MN teams and against others who have. I will probably raise the requirement to at least 3 games as the season progresses. My program starts all teams with some equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected scores and actual scores is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next). * signifies teams that have only two games included in the rankings, and --- indicates teams that only have one game score included in the rankings. RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Duluth East __________________________ 21 1 0 4.6 17.5 22.18 2 Bloomington Jefferson ________________ 20 2 0 3.8 18.2 21.93 3 Anoka ________________________________ 17 3 2 2.8 18.8 21.57 4 Roseau _______________________________ 17 4 1 2.5 18.8 21.34 5 Warroad ______________________________ 19 2 1 3.0 18.3 21.32 6 Hastings _____________________________ 19 1 2 4.2 16.9 21.05 7 Elk River ____________________________ 15 4 3 1.4 19.1 20.51 * Vail(CO) _____________________________ 2 1 0 0.7 19.8 20.50 9 Hill-Murray __________________________ 11 8 2 1.2 19.1 20.31 10 Red Wing _____________________________ 21 1 0 4.5 15.7 20.23 11 Maple Grove __________________________ 13 8 1 2.1 18.0 20.18 12 Edina ________________________________ 18 4 0 2.5 17.4 19.95 13 Lakeville ____________________________ 16 6 0 2.7 17.2 19.90 14 Grand Rapids _________________________ 12 9 1 1.5 18.3 19.78 15 Lake of the Woods (Baudette) _________ 18 4 0 4.5 15.2 19.73 16 Hibbing ______________________________ 13 8 1 1.4 18.2 19.54 17 Osseo ________________________________ 15 7 1 1.0 18.5 19.52 18 Greenway (Coleraine) _________________ 12 7 1 1.4 18.0 19.44 19 Eden Prairie _________________________ 15 6 1 1.3 18.1 19.42 20 Forest Lake __________________________ 14 8 0 1.5 17.9 19.36 21 Bemidji ______________________________ 12 8 1 1.5 17.8 19.30 22 Roseville Area _______________________ 11 9 1 0.4 18.9 19.29 23 Blaine _______________________________ 14 7 1 1.2 18.1 19.26 24 Grand Forks Red River (ND) ___________ 12 5 2 1.9 17.3 19.23 25 Eagan ________________________________ 11 9 2 1.0 18.1 19.12 26 East Grand Forks _____________________ 15 5 1 1.2 17.8 19.02 27 Holy Angels Academy __________________ 19 3 0 3.3 15.7 19.01 28 Moorhead _____________________________ 8 8 5 -0.2 18.9 18.75 29 White Bear Lake ______________________ 13 8 0 0.4 18.3 18.74 30 Rochester John Marshall ______________ 16 3 1 2.3 16.3 18.69 31 Rochester Mayo _______________________ 17 3 2 2.2 16.4 18.61 32 Wayzata ______________________________ 16 6 0 1.3 17.3 18.55 * Fargo North (ND) _____________________ 5 2 0 1.9 16.6 18.47 34 Eveleth-Gilbert ______________________ 16 6 0 2.0 16.4 18.43 35 Centennial ___________________________ 19 3 0 2.9 15.5 18.41 36 St. Paul Johnson _____________________ 13 7 3 1.6 16.7 18.30 37 St. Cloud Apollo _____________________ 17 5 1 2.1 16.0 18.10 38 Cloquet/Esko/Carlton _________________ 15 7 0 0.9 17.1 18.01 39 Armstrong ____________________________ 17 5 0 1.3 16.7 18.00 40 Burnsville ___________________________ 14 8 0 0.1 17.8 17.90 41 Champlin Park ________________________ 9 12 1 -0.5 18.2 17.75 42 Rosemount ____________________________ 11 10 1 0.3 17.5 17.75 43 Hermantown ___________________________ 16 4 1 2.9 14.7 17.65 * Grafton (ND) _________________________ 2 2 1 -1.0 18.5 17.52 45 Benilde-St. Margaret's _______________ 15 5 0 2.0 15.5 17.48 46 Cretin-Derham Hall ___________________ 14 6 2 1.5 16.0 17.46 47 Stillwater ___________________________ 7 13 2 -0.9 18.3 17.42 48 Breck ________________________________ 17 5 0 2.6 14.7 17.37 49 South St. Paul _______________________ 14 7 1 0.3 17.0 17.33 50 Albert Lea ___________________________ 14 8 0 1.1 16.0 17.16 51 Totino Grace _________________________ 15 7 0 2.0 15.0 17.01 52 Fargo South (ND) _____________________ 3 5 0 -0.4 17.4 16.99 53 Bloomington Kennedy __________________ 9 15 0 -0.3 17.3 16.97 54 Blake ________________________________ 12 10 0 1.8 15.2 16.94 55 Red Lake Falls _______________________ 17 3 1 3.0 13.8 16.88 56 Henry Sibley _________________________ 11 9 1 0.3 16.4 16.75 57 Simley _______________________________ 10 9 4 0.1 16.7 16.74 58 International Falls __________________ 6 12 2 -0.8 17.5 16.73 * Grand Forks Central (ND) _____________ 0 6 0 -3.2 19.9 16.69 60 Mahtomedi ____________________________ 16 5 1 2.8 13.9 16.64 61 Minnetonka ___________________________ 7 15 0 -0.8 17.4 16.58 62 Thief River Falls ____________________ 5 15 0 -1.9 18.5 16.57 63 Silver Bay ___________________________ 14 6 1 2.1 14.4 16.51 64 Fergus Falls _________________________ 9 11 0 -0.3 16.8 16.48 65 St. Louis Park _______________________ 12 10 0 0.3 16.2 16.46 66 Crookston ____________________________ 5 17 0 -1.3 17.7 16.46 67 Owatonna _____________________________ 12 9 1 1.0 15.5 16.44 68 Hutchinson ___________________________ 14 8 0 1.2 15.2 16.44 69 Brainerd _____________________________ 10 12 0 0.2 16.2 16.38 70 Hopkins ______________________________ 6 16 0 -0.8 17.1 16.30 71 Tartan _______________________________ 10 12 0 -0.1 16.3 16.23 72 Woodbury _____________________________ 9 10 3 -0.4 16.6 16.15 73 Apple Valley _________________________ 3 18 1 -2.4 18.5 16.11 74 Virginia/Mountain Iron-Buhl __________ 7 13 1 -0.9 17.0 16.11 75 Alexandria ___________________________ 8 13 1 -1.3 17.1 15.80 76 Coon Rapids __________________________ 5 17 0 -2.3 18.0 15.73 77 Duluth Denfeld _______________________ 7 13 1 -1.3 17.1 15.72 78 Superior (WI) ________________________ 5 7 1 -1.1 16.8 15.72 79 Buffalo ______________________________ 11 10 0 1.0 14.7 15.67 80 New Prague/Montgomery-Lonsdale _______ 12 10 0 0.5 15.1 15.62 81 Park (Cottage Grove) _________________ 6 16 0 -1.5 17.1 15.60 82 Park Center __________________________ 3 16 1 -2.8 18.4 15.54 83 Irondale _____________________________ 11 10 1 0.5 14.9 15.43 84 St. Cloud Tech _______________________ 8 13 1 -0.7 16.0 15.26 85 Mound-Westonka _______________________ 14 4 0 2.4 12.8 15.22 86 Mounds View __________________________ 5 17 1 -3.0 18.2 15.19 87 Farmington ___________________________ 11 11 1 -0.3 15.5 15.19 88 Mesabi East/Babbitt-Embarrass ________ 9 13 0 -0.4 15.6 15.16 89 Proctor ______________________________ 11 11 0 -0.3 15.5 15.14 90 Minneapolis Southwest ________________ 14 9 0 2.3 12.7 15.08 91 Duluth Central _______________________ 8 14 0 -0.5 15.6 15.07 92 St. Thomas Academy ___________________ 6 15 0 -1.6 16.7 15.04 93 Faribault ____________________________ 11 10 0 -0.5 15.5 14.98 94 Chaska _______________________________ 7 14 0 -1.7 16.6 14.87 * Fort Frances (ONT) ___________________ 2 5 0 -1.4 16.2 14.78 96 Willmar ______________________________ 12 10 0 -0.5 15.2 14.72 97 Spring Lake Park/St. Anthony Village _ 10 8 1 0.2 14.5 14.69 * Bismarck (ND) ________________________ 0 3 0 -5.3 20.0 14.69 99 Mora/Hinckley-Finlayson ______________ 15 7 1 2.4 12.3 14.65 100 Minneapolis South ____________________ 14 7 0 2.9 11.8 14.61 101 Detroit Lakes ________________________ 13 9 0 0.8 13.8 14.59 102 Duluth Marshall ______________________ 10 10 0 -0.4 14.9 14.53 * West Fargo (ND) ______________________ 2 1 0 0.0 14.5 14.47 104 Northfield ___________________________ 8 13 0 -1.3 15.7 14.38 105 Cooper _______________________________ 4 16 0 -3.0 17.3 14.36 106 St. Bernard's/St. Agnes ______________ 14 6 0 0.7 13.7 14.33 * Jamestown (ND) _______________________ 1 3 0 -2.5 16.7 14.25 108 Eastview _____________________________ 5 15 0 -2.5 16.6 14.01 109 North St. Paul _______________________ 6 17 0 -1.9 15.9 13.95 110 Little Falls _________________________ 11 11 0 0.5 13.3 13.82 111 Sauk Rapids __________________________ 13 9 0 0.9 12.7 13.65 112 Austin _______________________________ 6 14 1 -1.8 15.3 13.51 113 Mankato West _________________________ 9 10 2 -0.1 13.6 13.49 114 New Ulm ______________________________ 12 9 1 0.7 12.8 13.45 115 St. Paul Como Park ___________________ 6 9 2 -0.5 13.7 13.20 116 Cambridge ____________________________ 5 14 2 -1.3 14.4 13.15 117 Prior Lake ___________________________ 7 16 0 -2.4 15.6 13.12 * Spooner (WI) _________________________ 3 1 0 3.8 9.4 13.11 119 Winona _______________________________ 5 13 1 -1.4 14.3 12.95 120 St. Cloud Cathedral __________________ 13 7 1 1.7 11.2 12.89 121 St. Michael-Albertville ______________ 16 5 1 1.5 11.4 12.89 122 St. Paul Harding _____________________ 8 14 0 -0.8 13.7 12.89 123 Pine City ____________________________ 14 6 2 1.3 11.6 12.85 124 Moose Lake/Willow River/Barnum _______ 13 8 0 2.3 10.5 12.79 125 Chisago Lakes ________________________ 11 9 2 1.0 11.7 12.79 126 St. Francis __________________________ 7 15 0 -1.3 13.9 12.62 127 Richfield ____________________________ 3 17 1 -3.7 16.2 12.57 128 Two Harbors __________________________ 5 16 0 -2.5 15.0 12.52 * Bismarck Century (ND) ________________ 0 3 0 -3.0 15.3 12.28 130 Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato _____________ 5 14 2 -1.5 13.6 12.11 131 LeSueur-Henderson/St. Peter __________ 9 10 2 -0.4 12.5 12.09 132 Mankato East _________________________ 6 16 2 -1.1 13.2 12.08 133 Orono ________________________________ 5 16 1 -1.6 13.6 11.98 134 Wadena-Deer Creek ____________________ 9 13 0 -0.9 12.8 11.95 135 Shakopee _____________________________ 2 18 0 -3.7 15.6 11.91 136 St. Paul CHPH ________________________ 6 10 1 -0.9 12.8 11.85 137 Fridley ______________________________ 10 11 1 -0.5 12.4 11.83 138 Park Rapids Area _____________________ 12 8 1 1.1 10.6 11.76 139 Ely __________________________________ 4 16 2 -1.9 13.6 11.75 140 Delano/Rockford/Watertown-Mayer ______ 10 9 2 0.2 11.4 11.64 * Amery (WI) ___________________________ 5 1 0 2.3 9.2 11.53 142 Rochester Lourdes ____________________ 3 15 1 -1.6 13.2 11.52 143 Princeton ____________________________ 7 11 1 0.0 11.3 11.34 * Wahpeton (ND) ________________________ 3 2 0 -0.8 12.1 11.27 145 Brooklyn Center ______________________ 7 11 0 -1.2 12.3 11.13 146 Crosby-Ironton/Aitkin/Pequot Lakes ___ 8 12 1 -0.6 11.4 10.79 147 Benson _______________________________ 14 7 0 1.8 8.8 10.57 148 Monticello ___________________________ 4 18 0 -3.9 14.2 10.36 149 St. Paul Academy _____________________ 6 14 2 -2.0 12.3 10.30 150 Kittson Central ______________________ 7 11 0 -1.1 11.3 10.15 151 Minneapolis Edison ___________________ 7 14 0 -1.2 10.9 9.75 152 Minnehaha Academy ____________________ 4 16 2 -3.8 13.5 9.70 153 Fairmont _____________________________ 6 11 0 -1.1 10.8 9.65 154 Minneapolis Washburn _________________ 6 14 1 -1.4 10.9 9.43 155 River Lake ___________________________ 7 6 2 0.2 9.1 9.34 156 Marshall _____________________________ 10 7 1 0.7 8.5 9.24 157 Long Prairie-Grey Eagle ______________ 10 12 0 -0.7 9.9 9.20 158 Chisholm/Cook ________________________ 1 20 0 -6.5 15.5 9.04 * LaCrescent ___________________________ 2 3 0 2.0 6.9 8.89 * Barron (WI) __________________________ 2 1 0 2.3 6.4 8.74 161 Columbia Heights _____________________ 4 17 1 -3.1 11.3 8.19 162 Annandale/Maple Lake _________________ 5 15 0 -3.0 11.0 8.09 163 Bagley/Fosston _______________________ 7 14 0 -1.7 9.3 7.60 164 Sartell ______________________________ 4 15 1 -2.5 9.4 6.91 165 Morris Area __________________________ 3 18 1 -3.1 9.6 6.49 166 Sauk Centre __________________________ 1 21 0 -5.0 9.9 4.91 167 North Branch _________________________ 1 20 0 -9.3 11.1 1.79 168 Indus ________________________________ 0 9 0 -7.3 9.0 1.62 169 Minneapolis North/Henry ______________ 0 15 0 -9.9 10.5 0.57
last updated February 19, 1998