Women's NCAA Division 3 College Hockey Rankings

Based on Scores (sorted by team) through March 8, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Minimum 5 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 24 3 1, 2.2, 8.0, 10.19, 11.04 2,Adrian,____________________________ 20 2 4, 2.0, 7.6, 9.67, 9.14 3,Middlebury,________________________ 20 4 3, 1.6, 7.7, 9.26, 8.97 4,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 19 5 2, 1.3, 7.9, 9.23, 8.50 5,Lake Forest,_______________________ 14 8 3, 1.2, 8.1, 9.22, 9.77 6,Elmira,____________________________ 24 2 1, 2.6, 6.6, 9.17, 8.51 7,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 18 8 2, 0.9, 8.3, 9.17, 8.93 8,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 23 2 2, 2.4, 6.6, 9.06, 9.77 9,St Norbert,________________________ 16 7 4, 1.0, 7.8, 8.86, 8.93 10,Trinity,___________________________ 18 6 2, 1.4, 7.4, 8.76, 9.32 11,Bethel,____________________________ 15 10 3, 0.9, 7.7, 8.58, 9.71 12,St Scholastica,____________________ 11 11 4, 0.5, 8.0, 8.57, 9.13 13,St Thomas,_________________________ 14 9 4, 0.6, 7.8, 8.39, 8.47 14,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 15 12 0, 0.3, 8.1, 8.36, 7.45 15,Amherst,___________________________ 17 5 4, 1.1, 7.2, 8.32, 7.41 16,Norwich,___________________________ 21 4 3, 1.7, 6.5, 8.25, 9.04 17,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 13 3, 0.1, 7.9, 8.01, 7.39 18,St Anselm,_________________________ 18 6 2, 1.5, 6.3, 7.87, 7.67 19,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 12 11 5, -0.1, 7.9, 7.82, 8.67 20,Holy Cross,________________________ 15 7 3, 1.2, 6.6, 7.79, 8.78 21,Bowdoin,___________________________ 11 10 5, 0.1, 7.6, 7.63, 7.53 22,Connecticut College,_______________ 12 10 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.62, 6.94 23,Augsburg,__________________________ 9 11 5, -0.1, 7.7, 7.58, 7.77 24,St Mary's,_________________________ 11 12 3, -0.3, 7.7, 7.47, 6.01 25,St Catherine,______________________ 9 11 5, -0.2, 7.5, 7.31, 8.43 26,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 20 6 1, 1.7, 5.6, 7.30, 7.80 27,Williams,__________________________ 9 13 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.28, 7.10 28,Colby,_____________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.47 29,Hamilton,__________________________ 10 11 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 8.01 30,Oswego,____________________________ 19 7 1, 0.9, 6.1, 6.98, 6.59 31,Wesleyan,__________________________ 8 14 1, -0.4, 7.3, 6.88, 6.24 32,Salve Regina,______________________ 16 9 1, 0.8, 6.0, 6.81, 6.61 33,St Benedict,_______________________ 7 13 2, -1.0, 7.8, 6.76, 6.23 34,Marian,____________________________ 6 18 2, -1.4, 8.1, 6.68, 6.48 35,Stevenson,_________________________ 16 8 1, 1.1, 5.5, 6.54, 6.43 36,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 5 21 1, -1.9, 8.4, 6.51, 5.99 37,Utica,_____________________________ 11 11 5, 0.1, 6.3, 6.48, 7.21 38,Castleton,_________________________ 14 12 2, -0.0, 6.3, 6.30, 6.66 39,Hamline,___________________________ 6 17 2, -1.2, 7.4, 6.23, 7.77 40,Manhattanville,____________________ 10 11 5, -0.2, 6.3, 6.11, 5.42 41,Buffalo State,_____________________ 10 13 3, -0.2, 6.1, 5.94, 5.28 42,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 10 13 4, -0.4, 6.1, 5.70, 4.52 43,Southern Maine,____________________ 8 15 3, -0.9, 6.5, 5.59, 6.14 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 11 3, -0.6, 6.1, 5.52, 5.90 45,St Olaf,___________________________ 1 21 3, -2.4, 7.8, 5.46, 4.76 46,Chatham,___________________________ 10 14 1, -0.5, 5.7, 5.22, 5.75 47,Neumann,___________________________ 7 16 2, -1.1, 6.2, 5.14, 5.19 48,University of New England,_________ 6 15 5, -0.8, 5.9, 5.14, 5.98 49,Cortland,__________________________ 8 16 2, -1.2, 6.1, 4.99, 5.04 50,Potsdam,___________________________ 9 15 1, -1.1, 6.1, 4.98, 4.16 51,Finlandia,_________________________ 0 21 0, -3.5, 8.4, 4.95, 4.52 52,St Michael's,______________________ 5 20 1, -1.5, 6.4, 4.82, 4.34 53,Nichols,___________________________ 8 18 0, -1.5, 6.2, 4.62, 5.04 54,Plymouth State,____________________ 3 20 2, -1.9, 6.5, 4.55, 3.28 55,William Smith,_____________________ 3 21 1, -2.2, 6.3, 4.06, 5.66 56,New England College,_______________ 1 23 1, -2.5, 5.9, 3.42, 3.04 57,Canton,____________________________ 2 22 1, -2.6, 5.8, 3.16, 2.44 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Middlebury,________________________ 20 4 3, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.60 2,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 24 3 1, 0.8, 7.1, 7.89, 7.86 3,Elmira,____________________________ 24 2 1, 0.8, 7.0, 7.84, 7.68 4,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 23 2 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.80, 8.31 5,Adrian,____________________________ 20 2 4, 0.7, 7.1, 7.76, 7.41 6,Trinity,___________________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.66, 8.31 7,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 19 5 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 7.05 8,Amherst,___________________________ 17 5 4, 0.5, 7.2, 7.64, 7.24 9,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 18 8 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.61, 7.62 10,Norwich,___________________________ 21 4 3, 0.6, 6.9, 7.55, 7.85 11,Lake Forest,_______________________ 14 8 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.44, 7.84 12,St Norbert,________________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.41 13,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 15 12 0, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 6.93 14,Bowdoin,___________________________ 11 10 5, 0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.31 15,St Anselm,_________________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 6.8, 7.28, 7.13 16,St Thomas,_________________________ 14 9 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.69 17,Connecticut College,_______________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 6.87 18,Colby,_____________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.34 19,Oswego,____________________________ 19 7 1, 0.4, 6.8, 7.26, 7.19 20,Holy Cross,________________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.25, 7.74 21,Bethel,____________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.23, 7.65 22,St Scholastica,____________________ 11 11 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 7.37 23,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 20 6 1, 0.5, 6.6, 7.14, 7.34 24,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 12 11 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.32 25,Williams,__________________________ 9 13 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 7.01 26,Hamilton,__________________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.41 27,Salve Regina,______________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 6.8, 7.05, 6.77 28,St Mary's,_________________________ 11 12 3, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 6.26 29,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.82 30,Castleton,_________________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.96, 7.14 31,Augsburg,__________________________ 9 11 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.95, 6.73 32,Wesleyan,__________________________ 8 14 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.94, 6.39 33,Utica,_____________________________ 11 11 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 7.16 34,Stevenson,_________________________ 16 8 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.91, 6.84 35,St Catherine,______________________ 9 11 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.50 36,Manhattanville,____________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 6.9, 6.83, 6.46 37,St Benedict,_______________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 6.51 38,Marian,____________________________ 6 18 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.73, 6.58 39,Buffalo State,_____________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.73, 6.38 40,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 5 21 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.68, 6.83 41,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 10 13 4, -0.1, 6.8, 6.68, 6.44 42,Southern Maine,____________________ 8 15 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.66, 6.77 43,Potsdam,___________________________ 9 15 1, -0.2, 6.8, 6.59, 6.07 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 11 3, -0.2, 6.8, 6.58, 6.86 45,Chatham,___________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 6.7, 6.56, 6.82 46,Cortland,__________________________ 8 16 2, -0.3, 6.9, 6.56, 6.64 47,Hamline,___________________________ 6 17 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.53, 7.14 48,Neumann,___________________________ 7 16 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.51, 6.84 49,Nichols,___________________________ 8 18 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.42, 6.28 50,University of New England,_________ 6 15 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.40, 6.72 51,St Olaf,___________________________ 1 21 3, -0.8, 7.1, 6.30, 6.14 52,St Michael's,______________________ 5 20 1, -0.6, 6.9, 6.30, 6.35 53,Finlandia,_________________________ 0 21 0, -1.0, 7.3, 6.28, 6.25 54,Plymouth State,____________________ 3 20 2, -0.7, 6.9, 6.24, 5.77 55,William Smith,_____________________ 3 21 1, -0.7, 6.9, 6.17, 6.61 56,Canton,____________________________ 2 22 1, -0.8, 6.7, 5.90, 5.77 57,New England College,_______________ 1 23 1, -0.9, 6.8, 5.89, 5.71 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Women's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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