Men's NCAA Division 1 College Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through March 8, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 25 7 3, 1.4, 7.3, 8.73, 8.12 2,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 26 8 2, 1.4, 7.2, 8.63, 9.17 3,Boston University,_________________ 21 7 5, 1.2, 7.2, 8.47, 7.92 4,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 20 13 3, 0.5, 7.9, 8.47, 7.72 5,North Dakota,______________________ 25 7 3, 1.0, 7.3, 8.36, 8.43 6,Miami,_____________________________ 21 12 1, 0.6, 7.6, 8.26, 8.49 7,Denver,____________________________ 20 12 2, 0.6, 7.5, 8.13, 8.56 8,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 10 6, 0.5, 7.6, 8.11, 7.49 9,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 12 3, 0.8, 7.3, 8.11, 6.74 10,Yale,______________________________ 17 7 5, 1.1, 6.9, 8.06, 8.94 11,St Cloud State,____________________ 16 17 1, 0.1, 7.9, 8.03, 8.22 12,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 15 5, 0.4, 7.6, 7.98, 8.24 13,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 0.6, 7.3, 7.93, 8.02 14,Harvard,___________________________ 17 11 3, 0.8, 7.1, 7.93, 7.55 15,Providence,________________________ 21 11 2, 0.8, 7.1, 7.91, 8.05 16,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 18 10 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.88, 8.53 17,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 13 3, 0.8, 7.0, 7.87, 7.86 18,Michigan,__________________________ 19 13 0, 0.7, 7.1, 7.81, 7.84 19,Bowling Green,_____________________ 21 10 5, 0.6, 7.2, 7.80, 6.57 20,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 17 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.66, 9.64 21,Vermont,___________________________ 20 13 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.66, 6.82 22,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 9 4, 0.6, 7.1, 7.65, 8.00 23,Colgate,___________________________ 19 11 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.59, 8.79 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.56, 6.55 25,Union,_____________________________ 18 16 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 8.52 26,Penn State,________________________ 18 12 4, 0.5, 6.9, 7.40, 7.47 27,Alaska,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 8.12 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 17 10 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.38, 7.13 29,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 4, -0.1, 7.5, 7.34, 6.70 30,Michigan State,____________________ 16 14 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 8.52 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 17 17 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.89 32,Ferris State,______________________ 16 19 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.13, 7.90 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 6.73 34,Cornell,___________________________ 11 14 6, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 5.49 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 16 6, -0.3, 7.2, 6.96, 6.53 36,Ohio State,________________________ 12 18 2, -0.6, 7.4, 6.80, 8.17 37,Maine,_____________________________ 14 22 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.78, 6.36 38,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.73, 6.38 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 22 7 5, 1.1, 5.6, 6.72, 5.51 40,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 22 4, -0.8, 7.3, 6.47, 7.47 41,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 7, -0.9, 7.2, 6.38, 5.77 42,RIT,_______________________________ 15 14 5, 0.4, 5.9, 6.30, 7.53 43,Colorado College,__________________ 6 24 3, -1.5, 7.8, 6.23, 7.69 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 23 2, -1.1, 7.3, 6.20, 5.64 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 24 3, -1.2, 7.3, 6.10, 6.96 46,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 24 4, -1.3, 7.2, 5.97, 5.70 47,Canisius,__________________________ 16 11 7, 0.3, 5.7, 5.92, 6.63 48,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.2, 5.7, 5.92, 4.75 49,Brown,_____________________________ 8 20 3, -1.3, 7.2, 5.89, 6.22 50,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 24 4, -1.8, 7.6, 5.80, 4.53 51,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 26 2, -1.6, 7.4, 5.79, 5.03 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 14 4, 0.0, 5.8, 5.78, 4.59 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 18 5, -0.0, 5.7, 5.67, 3.99 54,Air Force,_________________________ 16 19 4, -0.2, 5.8, 5.55, 6.60 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 17 6, -0.4, 5.9, 5.50, 7.46 56,Princeton,_________________________ 4 23 3, -1.9, 7.2, 5.37, 5.03 57,Army,______________________________ 8 22 4, -1.1, 5.7, 4.52, 4.12 58,Niagara,___________________________ 7 26 4, -1.5, 6.1, 4.51, 6.49 59,American International,____________ 4 25 7, -1.6, 5.9, 4.33, 3.14 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 25 7 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.66, 7.98 2,Minnesota State,___________________ 25 7 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 7.36 3,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 26 8 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.56, 7.60 4,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 20 13 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.55, 7.17 5,Miami,_____________________________ 21 12 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.52, 7.76 6,Boston University,_________________ 21 7 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.12 7,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 7.19 8,Denver,____________________________ 20 12 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 7.49 9,Boston College,____________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.58 10,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 9 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36, 7.23 11,Providence,________________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.47 12,Bowling Green,_____________________ 21 10 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 6.94 13,St Cloud State,____________________ 16 17 1, -0.0, 7.4, 7.33, 7.35 14,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 18 10 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.49 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.83 16,Yale,______________________________ 17 7 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.55 17,Vermont,___________________________ 20 13 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.06 18,Bemidji State,_____________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.24, 7.58 19,Colgate,___________________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.79 20,Harvard,___________________________ 17 11 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.10 21,Michigan,__________________________ 19 13 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.07 22,Alaska,____________________________ 19 13 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.87 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 17 10 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.36 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.18, 6.86 25,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 6.72 26,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 13 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 6.93 27,Penn State,________________________ 18 12 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.13, 7.32 28,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 17 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.92 29,Michigan State,____________________ 16 14 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 7.47 30,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 16 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 7.17 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 17 17 5, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 7.22 32,Union,_____________________________ 18 16 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.57 33,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 16 6, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.95 34,Cornell,___________________________ 11 14 6, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.61 35,Ferris State,______________________ 16 19 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 7.29 36,Robert Morris,_____________________ 22 7 5, 0.4, 6.5, 6.96, 6.44 37,Ohio State,________________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.95, 7.42 38,Maine,_____________________________ 14 22 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.70 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 10 19 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 6.44 40,Massachusetts,_____________________ 11 23 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 6.86 41,Colorado College,__________________ 6 24 3, -0.5, 7.3, 6.77, 7.16 42,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 20 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.41 43,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 24 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 7.24 44,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.69, 6.67 45,Canisius,__________________________ 16 11 7, 0.1, 6.5, 6.67, 7.08 46,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 24 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.66, 6.22 47,Brown,_____________________________ 8 20 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.65, 6.61 48,Bentley,___________________________ 16 13 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.64, 6.13 49,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 26 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.64, 6.33 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 14 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.63, 5.95 51,RIT,_______________________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.63, 7.32 52,Wisconsin,_________________________ 4 24 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.57, 6.12 53,Air Force,_________________________ 16 19 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.49, 6.71 54,Sacred Heart,______________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.95 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 14 18 5, -0.1, 6.5, 6.43, 6.10 56,Princeton,_________________________ 4 23 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.43, 6.22 57,Niagara,___________________________ 7 26 4, -0.5, 6.6, 6.13, 6.84 58,Army,______________________________ 8 22 4, -0.4, 6.5, 6.13, 5.93 59,American International,____________ 4 25 7, -0.6, 6.6, 6.03, 5.75 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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