Connecticut High School Hockey Rankings

Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the Connecticut HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date) Please send CT scores to Joe Katz for consolidation. Thanks Joe!   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning  in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared  from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. Only teams with at least 3 games against CT teams are listed in the ratings. Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes Here is your chance to Rate the Rankings. Quick and easy EZBoard registration is required, if not already registered.

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2005-2006 New England Rankings - Over 360 teams. April 2, 2008 - 2007-2008 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1500 teams ranked). All rankings dated after 12/23/06 do not consider games between teams ranked more than 4 goals apart. Previous Rankings

March 16, 2008

RANK TEAM W L T >4 GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,East Haven,CT,______________________ 19 3 0, 6 2.4, 8.7, 11.09, 11.31 2,Hamden,CT,__________________________ 17 4 1, 0 1.5, 9.5, 11.05, 10.55 3,South Windsor,CT,___________________ 19 4 0, 4 1.5, 9.2, 10.70, 10.64 4,Glastonbury,CT,_____________________ 20 4 1, 6 1.7, 8.8, 10.49, 11.12 5,Notre Dame-West Haven,CT,___________ 11 9 1, 0 0.8, 9.5, 10.30, 9.81 6,Fairfield Prep,CT,__________________ 13 10 1, 0 0.0, 10.2, 10.28, 11.37 7,Notre Dame-Fairfield,CT,____________ 15 9 1, 1 0.5, 9.2, 9.75, 10.92 8,Darien,CT,__________________________ 18 6 0, 4 1.2, 8.5, 9.70, 9.61 9,Simsbury,CT,________________________ 15 9 0, 4 0.8, 8.8, 9.62, 10.56 10,New Canaan,CT,______________________ 16 8 0, 2 1.3, 8.3, 9.60, 10.01 11,Conard,CT,__________________________ 16 6 1, 2 1.3, 8.1, 9.44, 9.37 12,Ridgefield,CT,______________________ 17 6 0, 1 1.5, 7.8, 9.22, 8.76 13,North Haven,CT,_____________________ 12 7 0, 1 -0.2, 9.0, 8.83, 7.90 14,Greenwich,CT,_______________________ 14 9 0, 1 0.9, 7.8, 8.64, 8.19 15,Amity,CT,___________________________ 20 5 1, 1 1.5, 6.9, 8.42, 9.81 16,Fermi,CT,___________________________ 15 8 0, 0 0.7, 7.6, 8.30, 7.82 17,West Haven,CT,______________________ 7 12 2, 0 -0.6, 8.8, 8.24, 7.62 18,Trinity Catholic,CT,________________ 18 6 0, 2 1.0, 7.2, 8.18, 7.65 19,Immaculate,CT,______________________ 7 14 0, 0 -1.0, 9.0, 7.97, 7.85 20,Xavier,CT,__________________________ 7 10 4, 0 -0.3, 8.2, 7.94, 7.64 21,Sheehan,CT,_________________________ 17 7 0, 3 1.0, 6.7, 7.70, 6.61 22,Cheshire,CT,________________________ 16 7 1, 1 1.0, 6.5, 7.48, 7.95 23,Fairfield Warde/Ludlowe,CT,_________ 13 11 1, 1 0.1, 7.4, 7.44, 8.32 24,Daniel Hand,CT,_____________________ 10 10 1, 0 -0.2, 7.5, 7.28, 8.10 25,Tri-Town,CT,________________________ 13 12 0, 2 -0.2, 7.4, 7.25, 8.54 26,Avon-St Paul,CT,____________________ 16 6 0, 2 1.2, 5.9, 7.13, 6.01 27,New Milford,CT,_____________________ 14 9 0, 2 0.8, 6.3, 7.11, 7.96 28,North Branford,CT,__________________ 14 9 1, 0 0.7, 6.4, 7.08, 7.68 29,Rockville-Manchester,CT,____________ 17 7 0, 2 0.8, 6.1, 6.93, 7.93 30,Westhill,CT,________________________ 10 12 1, 0 -0.4, 7.3, 6.89, 7.81 31,East Catholic,CT,___________________ 14 8 0, 0 0.5, 6.2, 6.79, 5.63 32,Staples-Weston,CT,__________________ 11 10 0, 0 0.5, 6.1, 6.63, 5.85 33,Bolton-Coventry-Lyman Memorial,CT,__ 19 5 0, 2 1.1, 5.3, 6.34, 5.92 34,Trumbull,CT,________________________ 9 13 0, 0 -0.8, 7.0, 6.22, 5.48 35,Farmington,CT,______________________ 10 10 1, 0 -0.1, 6.2, 6.11, 5.35 36,Enfield,CT,_________________________ 8 13 0, 0 -0.7, 6.1, 5.46, 5.76 37,Guilford,CT,________________________ 11 11 0, 3 0.2, 5.2, 5.43, 5.87 38,Branford,CT,________________________ 8 14 0, 1 -0.7, 6.1, 5.42, 5.03 39,Watertown-Pomperaug,CT,_____________ 10 13 0, 0 -0.0, 5.4, 5.37, 6.00 40,Hall,CT,____________________________ 8 12 2, 1 0.1, 5.1, 5.27, 5.36 41,St Joseph,CT,_______________________ 5 14 1, 1 -0.7, 6.0, 5.23, 5.61 42,Suffield-Granby-Windsor Locks,CT,___ 9 12 0, 0 -0.3, 5.5, 5.23, 6.41 43,Wilton,CT,__________________________ 7 13 0, 1 -0.9, 6.1, 5.16, 3.96 44,Southington,CT,_____________________ 11 11 0, 1 0.1, 4.9, 5.00, 5.47 45,Stamford,CT,________________________ 3 16 1, 3 -1.9, 6.8, 4.90, 4.83 46,Northwest Catholic,CT,______________ 9 11 1, 1 0.0, 4.8, 4.83, 4.55 47,Milford Coop,CT,____________________ 7 13 0, 0 -0.6, 5.4, 4.80, 4.91 48,Bethel-Brookfield,CT,_______________ 16 7 1, 0 0.9, 3.8, 4.75, 5.05 49,St Bernard-Bacon,CT,________________ 6 14 1, 3 -1.6, 6.3, 4.70, 5.89 50,Wethersfield,CT,____________________ 5 15 0, 6 -1.2, 5.9, 4.67, 3.60 51,Housatonic Regional,CT,_____________ 11 10 0, 0 -0.0, 4.6, 4.59, 4.30 52,EO Smith-Tolland-Windham,CT,________ 7 12 1, 1 -0.5, 5.0, 4.44, 4.53 53,Rocky Hill-RHAM,CT,_________________ 8 13 0, 2 -1.2, 5.4, 4.28, 3.48 54,Newington,CT,_______________________ 4 16 0, 2 -1.5, 5.6, 4.13, 2.89 55,Lyman Hall,CT,______________________ 2 18 0, 4 -2.4, 6.5, 4.10, 4.76 56,Masuk,CT,___________________________ 11 9 2, 1 0.2, 3.7, 3.94, 3.00 57,New Fairfield,CT,___________________ 8 14 0, 0 -0.5, 3.9, 3.43, 3.90 58,Newtown,CT,_________________________ 5 13 0, 1 -1.5, 4.4, 2.96, 2.69 59,Norwich Free Academy,CT,____________ 4 9 2, 0 -0.7, 3.6, 2.95, 3.82 60,Joel Barlow,CT,_____________________ 9 12 0, 1 -0.5, 2.9, 2.42, 2.66 61,Norwalk-McMahon,CT,_________________ 0 20 0, 7 -3.2, 5.3, 2.14, 2.88 62,Shelton-Wilbur Cross,CT,____________ 4 16 0, 3 -2.0, 3.3, 1.27, 1.23 63,Windsor,CT,_________________________ 2 17 1, 6 -2.6, 3.8, 1.18, 1.71 64,Shepaug-Litchfield-Wamogo,CT,_______ 0 20 0, 5 -3.3, 4.3, 1.02, 0.93 65,Fitch-East Lyme-Ledyard,CT,_________ 0 20 0, 10 -3.9, 2.2, -1.65, -1.78
Since some "mismatch" games are not used in determining the rankings, the Sched column can be somewhat misleading as it only reflects the average opponent strength of only the opponents ranked within 4 goals of each team. The GAMES Column indicates how many games each team's rating is based upon (i.e. how many of their games were against teams rated within 4 goals of themselves).
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